TableChase Clubs

Nido Dallas Blue NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU18/19 · 16 teams · Club America Nido Dallas (all teams)

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14th
2-1-6 record · 9 played
0.78 points per game
-10 goal diff · 17–27
LLLWLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.2
-0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM

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Nido Dallas Blue NTX
14th · 0.78 PPG
vs
Sting Brave NTX
11th · 1.22 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.3 for, 2.6 against · 1.26 expected points)

Season so farNido Dallas Blue NTXSting Brave NTX
Position14th11th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-63-2-4
Points per game0.781.22
Goals for / game1.92.1
Goals against / game3.02.4
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless53
Form (recent first)L W L L LW L D L L
Biggest win9–2 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna3–1 vs FC Dallas Youth NTX
Worst loss0–6 at Nido Dallas NTX0–4 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.78-0.21
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.00+0.14

Common opponents: Dutch FC NTX — we 0–2; they 3–3. SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 0–3; they 0–1. NTX United FC NTX — we 0–3; they 3–4. Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna — we 9–2; they 6–4. NTX Celtic FC NTX — we 0–3; they 2–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 5 time(s): 0–2 at Dutch FC NTX, 0–3 at SOLAR WHITE NTX, 0–6 at Nido Dallas NTX, 0–3 vs NTX United FC NTX, 0–3 at NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 36%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth NTX sit 13th on 0.89 PPG; we are on 0.78.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Brave NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Nido Dallas Blue NTX – Sting Brave NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.80 PPG		 14th— holds 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Win
1.00 PPG		 12th▲ up 2 12th▲ up 2 14th— holds
Draw
0.80 PPG		 14th— holds 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Loss
0.70 PPG		 14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 13th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 21%
  14. 14th 39%
  15. 15th 15%
  16. 16th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.67 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Nido Dallas NTX 3.00 (+2.22) 2nd (2.68) 38 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 3.00 (+2.22) 1st (2.68) 38 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 NTX United FC NTX 2.00 (+1.22) 3rd (1.87) 23 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Dutch FC NTX 1.89 (+1.11) 4th (1.81) 22 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 DKSC NTX 1.71 (+0.93) 6th (1.58) 19 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 1.70 (+0.92) 5th (1.66) 19 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.63 (+0.85) 7th (1.56) 18 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 1.40 (+0.62) 8th (1.44) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.40 (+0.62) 9th (1.36) 14 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.33 (+0.55) 11th (1.18) 13 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
11 Sting Brave NTX 1.22 (+0.44) 10th (1.29) 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 0.89 (+0.11) 13th (0.95) A point next game
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 0.89 (+0.11) 12th (1.06) A point next game

How the results connect

45 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Nido Dallas Blue NTX to Sting Brave NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
8 even
25 favour them
-0.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–3 4–3 0–3 1–0 0–2 3–3 0–3 1–2 9–2 4–6 2–1 2–0 5–3 1–3 2–2 0–3 0–6 4–0 2–4 1–1 2–2 1–1 1–0 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 14th NTX United FC NTX 3rd SOLAR WHITE NTX 6th Dutch FC NTX 4th NTX Celtic FC NTX 7th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 16th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 15th FC Dallas Youth NTX… 12th Atlético Dallas You… 8th DKSC NTX 5th Atletico Dallas You… 9th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 2nd Sting Brave NTX 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

20 game days

1st 8th 16th Aug 21 Aug 29 Sep 6 Sep 19 Oct 10 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.16 · 8th hardest of 16

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:00 AM		 Sting Brave NTX
11th · 3-2-4 · GD -3		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 2–2 1.26 0.83 Upside
Sun Nov 8
05:10 PM		 FC Dallas Youth White NTX
2nd · 7-0-0 · GD +24		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.23 0.77 Upside
Sun Apr 4
11:40 AM		 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
9th · 4-2-4 · GD -4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 2–3 0.98 0.79 Upside
Sun Apr 11
09:50 AM		 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 4-0-5 · GD -6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–1 1.50 0.84 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
03:20 PM		 DKSC NTX
5th · 3-3-1 · GD +4		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 1–2 0.74 0.84 Upside
Sun Apr 25
08:00 AM		 FC Dallas Youth NTX
13th · 2-2-5 · GD -9		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 1–2 1.24 0.86 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Nido Dallas NTX 8800 326+26 243.00 WWWWW -0.18 -0.06 100% 1.5
2 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7700 295+24 213.00 WWWWW -0.19 -0.09 100% 1.5
3 NTX United FC NTX 8512 1712+5 162.00 LWWWL +0.17 -0.17 69% 4.2
4 Dutch FC NTX 9522 2917+12 171.89 LWDWL -0.24 +0.28 62% 4.5
5 DKSC NTX 7331 117+4 121.71 WWWDD -0.36 +0.29 16% 6.6
6 SOLAR WHITE NTX 10523 2016+4 171.70 LWDLW +0.03 -0.00 27% 5.7
7 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8413 2013+7 131.63 WLDWW -0.31 +0.32 20% 6.5
8 Atlético Dallas Youth NTX Hernand 10424 1513+2 141.40 WLLWW +0.06 -0.08 4% 7.8
9 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 10424 2327-4 141.40 DLWLL +0.13 +0.02 2% 8.9
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 9405 1319-6 121.33 WWLLW -0.19 +0.38 0% 10.7
11 Sting Brave NTX 9324 1922-3 111.22 LLDLW +0.14 -0.15 0% 9.7
12 FC Dallas Youth NTX Vargas 9225 1825-7 80.89 LLDWD -0.06 +0.26 0% 12.7
13 FC Dallas Youth NTX 9225 1120-9 80.89 WDLLL +0.53 -0.60 0% 11.7
14 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 9216 1727-10 70.78 LLLWL -0.00 +0.16 0% 13.2
15 FC Dallas Youth NTX Che 9207 1431-17 60.67 LWLLL -0.07 +0.43 0% 14.7
16 Kernow Storm FC NTX Penna 9009 1442-28 00.00 LLLLL -0.17 +0.67 0% 16.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.14 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.