TableChase Clubs

LAFC

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU15 · 17 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
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16th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-10 goal diff · 1–11
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.3
+0.59 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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LAFC
16th · 0.00 PPG
at
LA Breakers FC
12th · 0.50 PPG

Bell Gardens Sports Complex, Field 3 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.1 for, 2.0 against · 0.83 expected points)

Season so farLAFCLA Breakers FC
Position16th12th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-30-2-2
Points per game0.000.50
Goals for / game0.30.8
Goals against / game3.72.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L LL D L D
Biggest win——
Worst loss0–5 at Beach Futbol Club0–4 vs Beach Futbol Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.45-0.57
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.59+0.64

Common opponents: Beach Futbol Club — we 0–5; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LA Breakers FC average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 1.7); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–5 at Beach Futbol Club, 0–1 at Utah Royals FC-AZ.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at Bell Gardens Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Eagles SC sit 15th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Eagles SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC – LA Breakers FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG
12th▲ up 4 12th▲ up 4 14th▲ up 2
Draw
0.25 PPG
15th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 1 16th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
16th— holds 16th— holds 16th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 3%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 19%
  16. 16th 36%
  17. 17th 21%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.31) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 Beach Futbol Club 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.33) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.28) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Blues 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (2.04) 48 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Legends FC 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.62) 36 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Utah Royals FC-AZ 1.80 (+1.80) 7th (1.61) 29 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Legends FC Del Mar 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.65) 27 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 SLAMMERS FC 1.60 (+1.60) 8th (1.60) 26 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 Rebels SC 1.33 (+1.33) 9th (1.35) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.33 (+1.33) 10th (1.28) 22 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
11 Phoenix Rising FC 1.25 (+1.25) 11th (1.21) 20 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12 LA Breakers FC 0.50 (+0.50) 12th (0.95) A point next game
13 LV Heat Surf 0.40 (+0.40) 15th (0.80) A point next game
14 Arizona Arsenal 0.40 (+0.40) 13th (0.92) A point next game
15 Eagles SC 0.00 (+0.00) 14th (0.82) Already ahead

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC to LA Breakers FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 favour them
-1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–5 4–0 0–1 2–0 2–2 1–5 0–0 LAFC 16th Beach Futbol Club 2nd Utah Royals FC-AZ 6th Phoenix Rising FC 11th LV Heat Surf 13th LA Breakers FC 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 12th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
12th · 0-2-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.83 0.21 Upside
Sat Oct 31
12:15 PM
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away far trip
Saddleback College · turf
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–4 0.11 0.19 Upside
Sat Nov 7
04:30 PM
Legends FC
5th · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.53 0.24 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM
Eagles SC
15th · 0-0-2 · GD -4
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–2 1.12 0.37 Upside
Sat Nov 21
02:45 PM
Blues
4th · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
6%
0–3 0.30 0.36 Upside
Sat Mar 13
02:45 PM
Rebels SC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
19%
1–2 0.74 0.40 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
14th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.06 0.47 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
SLAMMERS FC
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%
0–2 0.41 0.46 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
LV Heat Surf
13th · 0-2-3 · GD -5
Away
●●●●● Very tough
23%
1–1 0.94 0.50 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Legends FC Del Mar
7th · 1-2-0 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 0.49 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -23
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
58%
2–1 1.91 0.59 Swing game
Sat May 1
TBD
San Diego Surf
3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +10
Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.17 0.57 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.86 0.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 163+13 123.00 WWWW -0.87 +0.19 94% 2.4
2 Beach Futbol Club 4400 120+12 123.00 WWWW -0.54 +0.35 95% 2.3
3 San Diego Surf 2200 111+10 63.00 WW -1.25 +0.07 93% 2.4
4 Blues 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -1.19 +0.12 69% 4.0
5 Legends FC 4301 128+4 92.25 WLWW -0.86 +0.26 11% 7.0
6 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5302 74+3 91.80 LLWWW -0.06 +0.13 11% 7.0
7 Legends FC Del Mar 3120 41+3 51.67 DDW -0.16 +0.02 14% 6.6
8 SLAMMERS FC 5221 86+2 81.60 WDDWL +0.25 -0.11 10% 7.0
9 Rebels SC 3111 56-1 41.33 DLW +0.44 -0.08 2% 9.2
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 3111 23-1 41.33 LWD +0.04 +0.02 1% 9.8
11 Phoenix Rising FC 4121 76+1 51.25 DLWD -0.59 +0.22 0% 10.3
12 LA Breakers FC 4022 38-5 20.50 DLDL +0.64 -0.13 0% 12.7
13 LV Heat Surf 5023 38-5 20.40 DDLLL +0.09 +0.05 0% 13.8
14 Arizona Arsenal 5023 511-6 20.40 DLDLL +0.43 -0.12 0% 12.8
15 Eagles SC 2002 26-4 00.00 LL +0.08 +0.07 0% 13.7
16 LAFC 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +0.59 -0.01 0% 15.3
17 Sporting California USA 4004 427-23 00.00 LLLL +1.13 -0.29 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.