TableChase Clubs

Eagles SC

ECNL Girls · Southwest GU15 · 17 teams · Eagles SC (all teams)

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15th
0-0-2 record · 2 played
0.00 points per game
-4 goal diff · 2–6
LLlast 2
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.7
+0.08 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Eagles SC
15th · 0.00 PPG
vs
San Diego Surf
3rd · 3.00 PPG

Pleasant Valley Fields, Field 19 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.2 for, 3.7 against · 0.32 expected points)

Season so farEagles SCSan Diego Surf
Position15th3rd
Record (W-D-L)0-0-22-0-0
Points per game0.003.00
Goals for / game1.05.5
Goals against / game3.00.5
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L LW W
Biggest win—10–1 at Sporting California USA
Worst loss2–5 vs Legends FC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.80+1.69
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.08-1.25

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    San Diego Surf score 5.5/game — well above the league's 1.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    San Diego Surf concede only 0.5/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 7%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Arizona Arsenal sit 14th on 0.40 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Arizona Arsenal on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the San Diego Surf game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Eagles SC – San Diego Surf) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1
Win
1.00 PPG
12th▲ up 3 12th▲ up 3 13th▲ up 2
Draw
0.33 PPG
15th— holds 14th▲ up 1 16th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
15th— holds 15th— holds 16th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 4%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 16%
  14. 14th 20%
  15. 15th 20%
  16. 16th 13%
  17. 17th 5%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.63 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.31) 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
2 Beach Futbol Club 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.33) 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.28) 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
4 Blues 3.00 (+3.00) 4th (2.04) 48 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
5 Legends FC 2.25 (+2.25) 6th (1.62) 36 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Utah Royals FC-AZ 1.80 (+1.80) 7th (1.61) 29 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Legends FC Del Mar 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.65) 27 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8 SLAMMERS FC 1.60 (+1.60) 8th (1.60) 26 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
9 Rebels SC 1.33 (+1.33) 9th (1.35) 22 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 1.33 (+1.33) 10th (1.28) 22 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
11 Phoenix Rising FC 1.25 (+1.25) 11th (1.21) 20 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
12 LA Breakers FC 0.50 (+0.50) 12th (0.95) A point next game
13 LV Heat Surf 0.40 (+0.40) 15th (0.80) A point next game
14 Arizona Arsenal 0.40 (+0.40) 13th (0.92) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link Eagles SC to San Diego Surf through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 favour them
-8.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–5 5–1 1–10 Eagles SC 15th Legends FC 5th Sporting California… 17th San Diego Surf 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

11 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 7 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 8th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
12:00 PM
no score posted
Sporting California USA
17th · 0-0-4 · GD -23
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
3–1 2.35 0.78 Bank it
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM
San Diego Surf
3rd · 2-0-0 · GD +10
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.32 0.67 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:00 AM
Phoenix Rising FC
11th · 1-2-1 · GD +1
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–2 1.06 0.75 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:45 AM
Slammers FC HB Koge
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +13
Away far trip
Saddleback College · turf
●●●●● Very tough
5%
0–3 0.22 0.66 Upside
Sat Nov 14
10:30 AM
LAFC
16th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.67 0.80 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
11:45 AM
SLAMMERS FC
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +2
Away far trip
Saddleback College · turf
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 0.79 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Beach Futbol Club
2nd · 4-0-0 · GD +12
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–3 0.21 0.72 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
14th · 0-2-3 · GD -6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.45 0.79 Upside
Sat Apr 10
09:00 AM
LA Breakers FC
12th · 0-2-2 · GD -5
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–1 1.18 0.83 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
LV Heat Surf
13th · 0-2-3 · GD -5
Away
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–1 1.28 0.87 Upside
Sat May 8
11:00 AM
Utah Royals FC-AZ
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–1 0.84 0.86 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD
Rebels SC
9th · 1-1-1 · GD -1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.84 0.86 Upside
Sun May 16
02:45 PM
Legends FC Del Mar
7th · 1-2-0 · GD +3
Home
Moorpark High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
18%
0–1 0.77 0.86 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Blues
4th · 2-0-0 · GD +7
Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–3 0.35 0.82 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Slammers FC HB Koge 4400 163+13 123.00 WWWW -0.87 +0.19 94% 2.4
2 Beach Futbol Club 4400 120+12 123.00 WWWW -0.54 +0.35 96% 2.3
3 San Diego Surf 2200 111+10 63.00 WW -1.25 +0.07 93% 2.4
4 Blues 2200 81+7 63.00 WW -1.19 +0.12 69% 3.9
5 Legends FC 4301 128+4 92.25 WLWW -0.86 +0.26 11% 7.0
6 Utah Royals FC-AZ 5302 74+3 91.80 LLWWW -0.06 +0.13 11% 7.0
7 Legends FC Del Mar 3120 41+3 51.67 DDW -0.16 +0.02 13% 6.6
8 SLAMMERS FC 5221 86+2 81.60 WDDWL +0.25 -0.11 9% 7.1
9 Rebels SC 3111 56-1 41.33 DLW +0.44 -0.08 2% 9.2
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 3111 23-1 41.33 LWD +0.04 +0.02 1% 9.9
11 Phoenix Rising FC 4121 76+1 51.25 DLWD -0.59 +0.22 1% 10.3
12 LA Breakers FC 4022 38-5 20.50 DLDL +0.64 -0.13 0% 12.6
13 LV Heat Surf 5023 38-5 20.40 DDLLL +0.09 +0.05 0% 13.8
14 Arizona Arsenal 5023 511-6 20.40 DLDLL +0.43 -0.12 0% 12.9
15 Eagles SC 2002 26-4 00.00 LL +0.08 +0.07 0% 13.7
16 LAFC 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +0.59 -0.01 0% 15.4
17 Sporting California USA 4004 427-23 00.00 LLLL +1.13 -0.29 0% 16.5

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.71 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.