TableChase Clubs

Culver City Football Club

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)

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12th
0-1-3 record · 4 played
0.25 points per game
-12 goal diff · 6–18
DLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.0
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 11:30 AM

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Culver City Football Club
12th · 0.25 PPG
at

Talley Fields, Field #3 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.9 against · 0.65 expected points)

Season so farCulver City Football ClubCentral Coast Surf Soccer
Position12th11th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-31-0-2
Points per game0.251.00
Goals for / game1.52.3
Goals against / game4.53.7
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L L DL W L
Biggest win—5–2 vs FC Man United
Worst loss1–6 vs Oaks FC 20–4 at Downey United Football Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.87-0.45
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21+1.05

Common opponents: FC Man United — we 2–6; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:30 AM at Talley Fields.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Central Coast Surf Soccer game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City Football Club – Central Coast Surf Soccer) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.20 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Win
0.80 PPG
11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.40 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2
Loss
0.20 PPG
12th— holds 12th— holds 14th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.0 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 11%
  13. 13th 70%
  14. 14th 17%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.58 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Autobahn SA 2.40 (+2.15) 2nd (2.15) 62 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 55 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.33 (+2.08) 3rd (1.80) 60 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.25 (+2.00) 1st (2.18) 58 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 56 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 2.00 (+1.75) 5th (1.71) 51 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
5 FC Man United 1.80 (+1.55) 6th (1.64) 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
6 Views FC 1.75 (+1.50) 4th (1.76) 45 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
7 Oaks FC 2 1.50 (+1.25) 7th (1.56) 38 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
8 Valley United Soccer Club 1.50 (+1.25) 8th (1.53) 38 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
9 LA Surf SC SFV 1.50 (+1.25) 11th (1.17) 38 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 1.33 (+1.08) 9th (1.47) 34 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 1.00 (+0.75) 10th (1.24) 25 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Culver City Football Club to Central Coast Surf Soccer through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
4 favour them
-4.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–6 2–5 1–4 3–2 5–2 2–2 0–4 0–9 4–0 0–5 Culver City Footbal… 12th FC Man United 5th TFA-SGV 4th LAIFC (2) 13th Views FC 6th Downey United Footb… 3rd Central Coast Surf … 11th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.20 · 1st hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
11:30 AM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Away
Talley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
17%
2–3 0.65 0.33 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Away
Rio Vista Middle School
●●●●● Very tough
23%
2–4 0.83 0.41 Upside
Sat Nov 21
10:25 AM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13
Home
El Marino Elementary
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–5 0.25 0.39 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:25 AM
Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Home
El Marino Elementary
●●●●● Very tough
8%
2–5 0.32 0.38 Upside
Sun Dec 6
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
7%
2–5 0.29 0.37 Upside
Sun Dec 13
10:25 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Home
El Marino Elementary
●●●●● Very tough
20%
1–3 0.74 0.41 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM
LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.76 0.44 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM
Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
12%
1–4 0.46 0.44 Upside
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.08 0.57 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM
TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.60 0.57 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM
Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
2–4 0.49 0.56 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM
FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
8%
2–5 0.32 0.55 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM
Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–4 0.45 0.54 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.95 0.57 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM
Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
34%
2–3 1.17 0.60 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.14 0.57 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–6 0.18 0.56 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
2–4 0.49 0.55 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
13%
1–3 0.50 0.55 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4
Home
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–3 1.07 0.57 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Valley United Soccer Club (2)
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.76 0.58 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6
Away
Culver City · turf
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–5 0.29 0.57 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 96% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 53% 4.7
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 97% 1.8
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 36% 5.5
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 28% 6.0
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 47% 5.0
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 17% 6.9
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 14% 7.2
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 10% 7.7
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 2% 9.6
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.