TableChase Clubs

LA Surf SC SFV

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · LA Surf SC SFV (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 19 hours ago.
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9th
1-0-1 record · 2 played
1.50 points per game
-4 goal diff · 3–7
WLlast 2
1% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.2
+0.55 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:15 PM

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LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1.50 PPG
at
Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2.33 PPG

Gahr High School, 9v9 Grass Field ↗ · grass

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–4 (expected goals 2.3 for, 4.3 against · 0.63 expected points)

Season so farLA Surf SC SFVBell Gardens Football Club
Position9th2nd
Record (W-D-L)1-0-12-1-0
Points per game1.502.33
Goals for / game1.54.7
Goals against / game3.53.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)L WW D W
Biggest win2–1 at TFA-SGV6–2 vs Valley United Soccer Club
Worst loss1–6 at FC Man United—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.68+0.75
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.55-0.02

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Bell Gardens Football Club score 4.7/game — well above the league's 2.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 17%; a draw (12%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Grass field
    Venue listed as "9v9 Grass Field" at Gahr High School.

    If the team trains on turf: the ball will be slower and bounce less true. Weight passes harder, favour early crosses in the final third, and bring FG/SG cleats. Warm up on the field, not the track.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:15 PM at Gahr High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Valley United Soccer Club sit 8th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Valley United Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Bell Gardens Football Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Surf SC SFV – Bell Gardens Football Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG		 11th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 2
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 5 6th▲ up 3 6th▲ up 3
Draw
1.33 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 8th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 2
Loss
1.00 PPG		 11th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–4 loss we fall to at least 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
1% top 4
99% below the top 4
10.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 2%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 22%
  11. 11th 34%
  12. 12th 18%
  13. 13th 1%
  14. 14th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 24 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Autobahn SA 2.40 (+0.90) 2nd (2.15) 60 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.33 (+0.83) 3rd (1.80) 58 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.25 (+0.75) 1st (2.18) 56 of 72 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 2.00 (+0.50) 5th (1.71) Win next game
5 FC Man United 1.80 (+0.30) 6th (1.64) A point next game
6 Views FC 1.75 (+0.25) 4th (1.76) A point next game
7 Oaks FC 2 1.50 (+0.00) 7th (1.56) A point next game
8 Valley United Soccer Club 1.50 (+0.00) 8th (1.53) A point next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 4 teams

Paths of results that link LA Surf SC SFV to Bell Gardens Football Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
0 favour them
+2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–1 3–2 5–5 LA Surf SC SFV 9th TFA-SGV 4th Views FC 6th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.00 · 5th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 27
09:00 AM
no score posted		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
Rio Vista Middle School		 ●●●●○ Tough
40%		 2–3 1.35 1.45 Upside
Sat Oct 17
10:30 AM
no score posted		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
Del Mar 9 v 9		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.17 1.38 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:15 PM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Away
Gahr High School · grass		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 2–4 0.63 1.23 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
Del Mar 9 v 9		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–2 1.19 1.22 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
18%		 2–4 0.68 1.15 Upside
Sun Nov 22
04:50 PM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Away
Fremont Park, Glendale		 ●●○○○ Lean win
68%		 3–1 2.19 1.28 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–2 1.14 1.26 Upside
Sun Dec 13
02:45 PM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 2–4 0.63 1.20 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–2 2.10 1.28 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.47 1.29 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.98 1.27 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 1–2 0.89 1.24 Upside
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.72 1.27 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.35 1.22 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 2–3 0.86 1.20 Upside
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 2–3 1.00 1.19 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 2–3 0.93 1.17 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
11%		 2–4 0.43 1.13 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 3–1 2.43 1.20 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–3 0.83 1.18 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 2–3 0.92 1.17 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 3–2 1.76 1.19 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–3 1.12 1.19 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
Citrus College		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 2–4 0.56 1.17 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 95% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 54% 4.6
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 97% 1.8
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 38% 5.4
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 29% 6.0
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 48% 5.0
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 15% 7.0
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 14% 7.2
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 9% 7.8
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 1% 9.6
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.