TableChase Clubs

Autobahn SA

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · Autobahn SA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 8 minutes ago.
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1st
4-0-1 record · 5 played
2.40 points per game
+11 goal diff · 24–13
WWWWLlast 5
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.0
+0.38 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 8, 06:00 PM

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Autobahn SA
1st · 2.40 PPG
vs
TFA-SGV
4th · 2.00 PPG

Lincoln Middle Schol, Lincoln Middle School ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.8 for, 2.0 against · 1.80 expected points)

Season so farAutobahn SATFA-SGV
Position1st4th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-13-1-1
Points per game2.402.00
Goals for / game4.82.2
Goals against / game2.61.0
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L W W W WD W L W W
Biggest win7–2 vs FC Man United3–0 at LAIFC (2)
Worst loss3–6 at Downey United Football Club1–2 vs LA Surf SC SFV
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.46+0.53
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.38-0.76

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    TFA-SGV concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 18% / loss 28%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the TFA-SGV game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Autobahn SA – TFA-SGV) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Nov 2 – Sun Nov 8); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.17 PPG		 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2
Win
2.50 PPG		 1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.17 PPG		 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2
Loss
2.00 PPG		 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 1st even if every rival loses, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

40% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
2.0 average finish
  1. 1st 40%
  2. 2nd 37%
  3. 3rd 14%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

7 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Autobahn SA to TFA-SGV through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
0 favour them
+5.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–6 9–0 0–3 8–3 2–4 0–0 3–0 3–2 6–1 1–4 7–2 6–2 5–0 6–1 2–1 Autobahn SA 1st Downey United Footb… 3rd Oxnard United Socce… 14th Oaks FC 2 7th FC Man United 5th LAIFC (2) 13th FC Golden State For… 10th Culver City Footbal… 12th LA Surf SC SFV 9th TFA-SGV 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.24 · 14th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 8
06:00 PM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
Lincoln Middle Schol		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–2 1.80 2.30 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
02:00 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
Lincoln Middle Schol		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 4–2 2.40 2.31 Bank it
Sat Nov 21
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
69%		 4–2 2.20 2.30 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
10:25 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
El Marino Elementary		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 5–2 2.61 2.33 Bank it
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
Autobahn Field - Westside Neighborhood School		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–2 2.09 2.31 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 4–3 1.92 2.27 Swing game
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 5–1 2.79 2.32 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 4–3 1.65 2.27 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 5–2 2.60 2.29 Bank it
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 4–2 2.14 2.28 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 3–3 1.56 2.23 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.73 2.20 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 3–3 1.42 2.16 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.48 2.13 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 4–2 2.10 2.12 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 4–2 2.47 2.14 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
91%		 6–1 2.77 2.17 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 3–2 1.77 2.15 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
02:45 PM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 3–3 1.53 2.13 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
95%		 5–1 2.88 2.16 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Home
Lincoln Middle Schol		 ●●○○○ Lean win
61%		 4–3 1.95 2.15 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 96% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 55% 4.6
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 95% 1.9
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 36% 5.5
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 28% 6.0
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 47% 4.9
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 17% 6.9
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 14% 7.2
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 10% 7.7
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 1% 9.7
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.