TableChase Clubs

FC Golden State Force (2)

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · FC Golden State Force (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 minutes ago.
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10th
1-1-1 record · 3 played
1.33 points per game
+1 goal diff · 6–5
LWDlast 3
8% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.8
-0.11 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:15 AM

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FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1.33 PPG
vs
Downey United Football Club
3rd · 2.25 PPG

Azusa High School, Field 2 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.1 for, 3.1 against · 0.92 expected points)

Season so farFC Golden State Force (2)Downey United Football Club
Position10th3rd
Record (W-D-L)1-1-13-0-1
Points per game1.332.25
Goals for / game2.05.0
Goals against / game1.71.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)D W LW W W L
Biggest win4–2 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club9–0 vs LAIFC (2)
Worst loss2–3 vs Oaks FC 21–4 at Valley United Soccer Club
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.14+1.77
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.11-0.36

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Downey United Football Club score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.9.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at TFA-SGV.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 25%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Downey United Football Club have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • What a win does
    LA Surf SC SFV sit 9th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.33.

    A point moves us above LA Surf SC SFV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Downey United Football Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Golden State Force (2) – Downey United Football Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1
Win
1.75 PPG		 7th▲ up 3 7th▲ up 3 10th— holds
Draw
1.25 PPG		 10th— holds 8th▲ up 2 11th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–3 loss we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
8% top 4
92% below the top 4
7.8 average finish
  1. 1st <1%
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 5%
  5. 5th 8%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 15%
  8. 8th 16%
  9. 9th 17%
  10. 10th 15%
  11. 11th 8%
  12. 12th 2%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 23 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Autobahn SA 2.40 (+1.07) 2nd (2.15) 59 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 52 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.33 (+1.00) 3rd (1.80) 57 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.25 (+0.92) 1st (2.18) 55 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 2.00 (+0.67) 5th (1.71) 48 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
5 FC Man United 1.80 (+0.47) 6th (1.64) 43 of 69 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
6 Views FC 1.75 (+0.42) 4th (1.76) Win next game
7 Oaks FC 2 1.50 (+0.17) 7th (1.56) A point next game
8 Valley United Soccer Club 1.50 (+0.17) 8th (1.53) A point next game
9 LA Surf SC SFV 1.50 (+0.17) 11th (1.17) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link FC Golden State Force (2) to Downey United Football Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
3 favour them
-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 1–3 4–1 0–0 3–0 0–9 4–2 3–8 3–6 0–3 FC Golden State For… 10th Oaks FC 2 7th TFA-SGV 4th Oxnard United Socce… 14th Valley United Socce… 8th LAIFC (2) 13th Autobahn SA 1st Downey United Footb… 3rd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.02 · 7th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:15 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
25%		 2–3 0.92 1.23 Upside
Sat Nov 7
02:30 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Away
Del Mar 9 v 9		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 2–2 1.62 1.31 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
09:15 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Away
Gahr High School · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 2–3 1.01 1.26 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 1.27 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:15 PM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.24 1.27 Upside
Sun Nov 22
10:15 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 2–2 1.84 1.33 Swing game
Sat Dec 5
09:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Away
Autobahn Field - Westside Neighborhood School		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–3 0.76 1.27 Upside
Sun Dec 13
10:25 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
El Marino Elementary		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–1 2.11 1.35 Swing game
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 3–1 2.42 1.44 Bank it
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 2–1 1.94 1.48 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–2 1.20 1.46 Upside
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–3 1.08 1.43 Upside
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 3–2 1.76 1.45 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
36%		 1–1 1.31 1.44 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.64 1.40 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–2 1.35 1.40 Upside
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
28%		 2–3 1.00 1.38 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 2–2 1.56 1.39 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.52 1.39 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–3 1.07 1.38 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
75%		 3–1 2.37 1.42 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 3–1 2.60 1.47 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
Azusa High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
42%		 2–2 1.43 1.47 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 96% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 55% 4.6
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 97% 1.8
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 35% 5.5
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 28% 6.1
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 50% 4.9
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 17% 6.9
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 13% 7.3
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 8% 7.8
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 1% 9.5
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.