TableChase Clubs

FC Man United

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · FC Man United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 hours ago.
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5th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+6 goal diff · 21–15
LLWWWlast 5
29% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.0
-0.87 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:20 AM

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FC Man United
5th · 1.80 PPG
vs
Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0.00 PPG

Walnut Ranch Park, Field #2-9v9 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 4–2 (expected goals 5.0 for, 2.7 against · 2.33 expected points)

Season so farFC Man UnitedOxnard United Soccer Club
Position5th14th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-20-0-3
Points per game1.800.00
Goals for / game4.22.3
Goals against / game3.05.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W L LL L L
Biggest win5–0 vs LAIFC (2)—
Worst loss2–7 at Autobahn SA3–8 vs Autobahn SA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.57-1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.87+0.75

Common opponents: Autobahn SA — we 2–7; they 3–8.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Oxnard United Soccer Club concede 5.0/game; worst result 3–8 vs Autobahn SA.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 74% chance; likely score 4–2.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    Oxnard United Soccer Club have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • What a win does
    TFA-SGV sit 4th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A win moves us above TFA-SGV on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oxnard United Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Man United – Oxnard United Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 1 5th— holds 5th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 5
Loss
1.50 PPG		 6th▼ down 1 6th▼ down 1 10th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
29% top 4
71% below the top 4
6.0 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 10%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 14%
  6. 6th 16%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 8%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 21 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Autobahn SA 2.40 (+0.60) 2nd (2.15) 54 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.33 (+0.53) 3rd (1.80) 52 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.25 (+0.45) 1st (2.18) 50 of 63 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 2.00 (+0.20) 5th (1.71) Win next game

How the results connect

1 chain · 3 teams

Paths of results that link FC Man United to Oxnard United Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
0 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–7 8–3 FC Man United 5th Autobahn SA 1st Oxnard United Socce… 14th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

1 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 4th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:20 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Home
Walnut Ranch Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 4–2 2.33 1.89 Bank it
Sun Nov 8
04:30 PM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
Valley United Soccer Complex		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 3–3 1.40 1.82 Upside
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
Azusa High School · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–2 1.14 1.73 Upside
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
Citrus College		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 3–3 1.51 1.71 Swing game
Sun Nov 22
04:30 PM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Away
Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 2–4 0.69 1.61 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 3–4 1.14 1.56 Upside
Sun Jan 17
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.71 1.58 Swing game
Sun Jan 24
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 3–4 1.20 1.55 Upside
Sun Jan 31
12:00 AM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 4–2 2.08 1.59 Swing game
Sun Feb 7
12:00 AM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 4–1 2.64 1.66 Bank it
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 3–2 1.75 1.66 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 5–2 2.60 1.72 Bank it
Sun Feb 28
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
56%		 3–2 1.84 1.72 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
62%		 4–3 2.00 1.74 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.77 1.74 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.46 1.73 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
02:45 PM		 Views FC
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 3–3 1.12 1.70 Upside
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 3–3 1.02 1.67 Upside
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
46%		 3–3 1.54 1.66 Swing game
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 2–3 1.35 1.65 Upside
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
Azusa High School		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 2–2 1.40 1.64 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 95% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 54% 4.6
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 97% 1.8
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 38% 5.4
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 29% 6.0
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 48% 5.0
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 15% 7.0
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 14% 7.2
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 9% 7.8
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 1% 9.6
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.