Oaks FC 2
Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · Oaks FC (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:00 AM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.4 for, 3.2 against · 1.04 expected points)
| Season so far | Oaks FC 2 | Views FC |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 6th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 2-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Goals for / game | 2.5 | 4.0 |
| Goals against / game | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | W L W L | W L D W |
| Biggest win | 6–1 at Culver City Football Club | 4–0 at LAIFC (2) |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Autobahn SA | 2–3 vs TFA-SGV |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.24 | +0.77 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.04 | -0.47 |
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Autobahn SA.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 29%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 08:00 AM at Valley United Complex.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:00 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Views FC sit 6th on 1.75 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Views FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Views FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oaks FC 2 – Views FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 1.20 PPG |
10th▼ down 3 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
| Win 1.80 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 6th▲ up 1 | 7th— holds |
| Draw 1.40 PPG |
9th▼ down 2 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
| Loss 1.20 PPG |
10th▼ down 3 | 8th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 1%
- 2nd 2%
- 3rd 6%
- 4th 7%
- 5th 11%
- 6th 15%
- 7th 17%
- 8th 15%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 9%
- 11th 4%
- 12th 1%
- 13th
- 14th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Autobahn SA | 2.40 (+0.90) | 2nd (2.15) | 57 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection |
| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 2.33 (+0.83) | 3rd (1.80) | 55 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection |
| 3 | Downey United Football Club | 2.25 (+0.75) | 1st (2.18) | 53 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection |
| 4 | TFA-SGV | 2.00 (+0.50) | 5th (1.71) | 46 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 5 | FC Man United | 1.80 (+0.30) | 6th (1.64) | Win next game |
| 6 | Views FC | 1.75 (+0.25) | 4th (1.76) | A point next game |
How the results connect
4 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Oaks FC 2 to Views FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
7 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.03 · 9th hardest of 14
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 08:00 AM |
Views FC 6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away Valley United Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.04 | 1.41 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
3–1 | 2.66 | 1.62 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–2 | 1.41 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 12:00 AM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–2 | 2.16 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 6 12:00 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.69 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sun Dec 13 12:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 10 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–3 | 0.95 | 1.57 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 17 12:00 AM |
FC Man United 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–3 | 1.13 | 1.53 | Upside |
| Sun Jan 31 12:00 AM |
Valley United Soccer Club 8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 48% |
2–2 | 1.62 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 7 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.60 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 14 12:00 AM |
Central Coast Surf Soccer 11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
2–2 | 1.57 | 1.54 | Swing game |
| Sun Feb 21 12:00 AM |
Autobahn SA 1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
2–3 | 1.11 | 1.52 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 12:00 AM |
Culver City Football Club 12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 78% |
4–1 | 2.44 | 1.57 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Views FC 6th · 2-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.38 | 1.56 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 14 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21 |
Away TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 79% |
3–1 | 2.48 | 1.61 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.05 | 1.58 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
Oxnard United Soccer Club 14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8 |
Away TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
3–2 | 1.83 | 1.59 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
LA Surf SC SFV 9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–1 | 2.00 | 1.61 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
TFA-SGV 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.08 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
2–3 | 0.66 | 1.55 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
FC Man United 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
3–2 | 1.49 | 1.55 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Central Coast Surf Soccer 11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4 |
Home Wildflower Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
3–2 | 1.91 | 1.56 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Autobahn SA | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +11 | 12 | 2.40 | WWWWL | +0.38 | -0.24 | 95% | 2.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 vs TFA-SGV · Sun Nov 15 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sat Nov 21 at LA Surf SC SFV See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 7 | 2.33 | WDW | -0.02 | -0.08 | 54% | 4.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 15 at Oaks FC 2 See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Downey United Football Club | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | -0.36 | -0.12 | 97% | 1.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 at Culver City Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | TFA-SGV | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 10 | 2.00 | WWLWD | -0.76 | +0.13 | 38% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA · Sun Nov 15 vs FC Man United See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | FC Man United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | +6 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | -0.87 | +0.12 | 29% | 6.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Nov 15 at TFA-SGV See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Views FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | -0.47 | -0.01 | 48% | 5.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Oaks FC 2 · Sun Nov 15 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 21 at FC Man United See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Oaks FC 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.04 | -0.03 | 15% | 7.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Views FC · Sun Nov 8 vs LAIFC (2) · Sun Nov 15 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Valley United Soccer Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | +1.04 | -0.13 | 14% | 7.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 vs TFA-SGV · Sun Nov 8 vs FC Man United See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LA Surf SC SFV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 1.50 | WL | +0.55 | -0.00 | 1% | 10.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Oct 17 vs Valley United Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 24 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 4 | 1.33 | LWD | -0.11 | -0.02 | 9% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Downey United Football Club · Sat Nov 7 at LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Nov 8 at Bell Gardens Football Club See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Central Coast Surf Soccer | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | +1.05 | -0.12 | 1% | 9.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LAIFC (2) · Sun Nov 8 vs Culver City Football Club · Sun Nov 15 at Autobahn SA See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Culver City Football Club | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 1 | 0.25 | DLLL | -0.21 | +0.20 | 0% | 13.0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 8 at Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 15 at Oxnard United Soccer Club · Sat Nov 21 vs Downey United Football Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | LAIFC (2) | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 23 | -21 | 1 | 0.20 | DLLLL | +0.43 | +0.14 | 0% | 13.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Central Coast Surf Soccer · Sun Nov 8 at Oaks FC 2 · Sat Nov 14 at Oxnard United Soccer Club See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Oxnard United Soccer Club | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.75 | -0.03 | 0% | 11.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 27 vs LA Surf SC SFV · Sun Oct 25 at FC Man United · Sun Nov 8 at Downey United Football Club See all 23 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.