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Views FC

Elite Academy League 2 · North U12 · 14 teams · Views FC (all teams)

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6th
2-1-1 record · 4 played
1.75 points per game
+6 goal diff · 16–10
WDLWlast 4
47% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.0
-0.47 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 10:30 AM

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Views FC
6th · 1.75 PPG
vs
Oaks FC 2
7th · 1.50 PPG

Wildflower Park, #1 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 3–2 (expected goals 3.2 for, 2.4 against · 1.80 expected points)

Season so farViews FCOaks FC 2
Position6th7th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-12-0-2
Points per game1.751.50
Goals for / game4.02.5
Goals against / game2.52.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)W L D WW L W L
Biggest win4–0 at LAIFC (2)6–1 at Culver City Football Club
Worst loss2–3 vs TFA-SGV0–3 at Autobahn SA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.77+0.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.47-0.04

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 54% / draw 16% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • What a win does
    FC Man United sit 5th on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.75.

    A point moves us above FC Man United on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Oaks FC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Views FC – Oaks FC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 6th— holds 6th— holds
Win
2.00 PPG		 4th▲ up 2 6th— holds 6th— holds
Draw
1.60 PPG		 6th— holds 6th— holds 9th▼ down 3
Loss
1.40 PPG		 9th▼ down 3 8th▼ down 2 11th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–2 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

2% finish 1st
47% top 4
53% below the top 4
5.0 average finish
  1. 1st 2%
  2. 2nd 8%
  3. 3rd 17%
  4. 4th 18%
  5. 5th 17%
  6. 6th 14%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 5%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%
  13. 13th
  14. 14th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.81 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Autobahn SA 2.40 (+0.65) 2nd (2.15) 56 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 2.33 (+0.58) 3rd (1.80) 54 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
3 Downey United Football Club 2.25 (+0.50) 1st (2.18) 52 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
4 TFA-SGV 2.00 (+0.25) 5th (1.71) Win next game
5 FC Man United 1.80 (+0.05) 6th (1.64) A point next game

How the results connect

4 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Views FC to Oaks FC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
3 favour them
+0.0 goals per chain on average. The results call it close.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
4–0 2–2 1–6 2–3 0–0 2–3 4–1 5–5 6–2 3–1 Views FC 6th LAIFC (2) 13th TFA-SGV 4th Bell Gardens Footba… 2nd Culver City Footbal… 12th FC Golden State For… 10th Valley United Socce… 8th Oaks FC 2 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 7th 14th Sep 13 Sep 26 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.01 · 6th hardest of 14

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
10:30 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Home
Wildflower Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 3–2 1.80 1.76 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
10:15 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Away
Azusa High School		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.49 1.72 Swing game
Sat Nov 21
09:00 AM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Away
Citrus College		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 3–3 1.34 1.66 Upside
Sun Nov 22
02:30 PM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Home
Valley United Complex		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
57%		 3–2 1.86 1.69 Swing game
Sun Dec 6
04:30 PM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Away
Rancho Los Amigos Sports Center		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–4 0.79 1.59 Upside
Sun Jan 10
12:00 AM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
27%		 3–4 0.94 1.52 Upside
Sun Jan 17
01:30 PM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
76%		 4–2 2.39 1.60 Bank it
Sun Jan 24
02:45 PM		 Central Coast Surf Soccer
11th · 1-0-2 · GD -4		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 4–2 2.16 1.65 Swing game
Sun Jan 31
02:45 PM		 Bell Gardens Football Club
2nd · 2-1-0 · GD +5		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 3–3 1.65 1.65 Swing game
Sun Feb 14
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Away
TBD		 ●○○○○ Favorable
77%		 4–2 2.41 1.70 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
12:00 AM		 TFA-SGV
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +6		 Away
TBD		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.23 1.67 Upside
Sun Feb 28
02:45 PM		 LAIFC (2)
13th · 0-1-4 · GD -21		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.80 1.74 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM		 Oaks FC 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +1		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
42%		 2–2 1.45 1.72 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
12:00 AM		 FC Golden State Force (2)
10th · 1-1-1 · GD +1		 Home
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 3–2 1.83 1.73 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
02:45 PM		 FC Man United
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +6		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 3–3 1.73 1.73 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM		 Valley United Soccer Club
8th · 2-0-2 · GD +0		 Away
TBD		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 3–2 1.50 1.72 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
02:45 PM		 Downey United Football Club
3rd · 3-0-1 · GD +13		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–3 1.13 1.69 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
59%		 3–2 1.93 1.70 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
02:45 PM		 Autobahn SA
1st · 4-0-1 · GD +11		 Home
Malibu Bluffs Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 3–3 1.32 1.68 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM		 Oxnard United Soccer Club
14th · 0-0-3 · GD -8		 Away
TBD		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 4–2 2.08 1.70 Swing game
Sun May 23
02:45 PM		 LA Surf SC SFV
9th · 1-0-1 · GD -4		 Home
Valley United Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
71%		 4–2 2.25 1.72 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM		 Culver City Football Club
12th · 0-1-3 · GD -12		 Home
Culver City · turf		 ●○○○○ Favorable
85%		 5–1 2.64 1.76 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Autobahn SA 5401 2413+11 122.40 WWWWL +0.38 -0.24 96% 2.0
2 Bell Gardens Football Club 3210 149+5 72.33 WDW -0.02 -0.08 52% 4.7
3 Downey United Football Club 4301 207+13 92.25 LWWW -0.36 -0.12 96% 1.8
4 TFA-SGV 5311 115+6 102.00 WWLWD -0.76 +0.13 37% 5.5
5 FC Man United 5302 2115+6 91.80 LLWWW -0.87 +0.12 29% 6.0
6 Views FC 4211 1610+6 71.75 WDLW -0.47 -0.01 47% 5.0
7 Oaks FC 2 4202 109+1 61.50 LWLW -0.04 -0.03 17% 6.9
8 Valley United Soccer Club 4202 1111+0 61.50 WWLL +1.04 -0.13 15% 7.1
9 LA Surf SC SFV 2101 37-4 31.50 WL +0.55 -0.00 1% 10.2
10 FC Golden State Force (2) 3111 65+1 41.33 LWD -0.11 -0.02 9% 7.8
11 Central Coast Surf Soccer 3102 711-4 31.00 LWL +1.05 -0.12 1% 9.6
12 Culver City Football Club 4013 618-12 10.25 DLLL -0.21 +0.20 0% 13.0
13 LAIFC (2) 5014 223-21 10.20 DLLLL +0.43 +0.14 0% 13.8
14 Oxnard United Soccer Club 3003 715-8 00.00 LLL +0.75 -0.03 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.88 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.