TableChase Clubs

Los Angeles SC 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · Los Angeles SC (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 23 minutes ago.
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1st
5-0-0 record · 5 played
3.00 points per game
+16 goal diff · 20–4
WWWWWlast 5
100% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.1
-0.07 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 3.00 PPG
vs
Pride FC
6th · 1.50 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.1 for, 1.7 against · 2.48 expected points)

Season so farLos Angeles SC 2Pride FC
Position1st6th
Record (W-D-L)5-0-02-0-2
Points per game3.001.50
Goals for / game4.03.3
Goals against / game0.82.8
Clean sheets21
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W W W W WW L W L
Biggest win4–0 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club5–0 vs Downey United Football Club
Worst loss—3–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.96+0.16
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.07-0.54

Common opponents: Bell Gardens Football Club — we 5–2; they 3–2. Downey United Football Club — we 3–1; they 5–0.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 79% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pride FC game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Los Angeles SC 2 – Pride FC) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.67 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Loss
2.50 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 4–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

92% finish 1st
100% top 4
0% below the top 4
1.1 average finish
  1. 1st 92%
  2. 2nd 8%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

8 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Los Angeles SC 2 to Pride FC through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
2 favour them
+2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–2 2–3 3–1 0–5 0–3 6–3 3–0 4–0 2–0 4–0 3–2 3–2 6–1 Los Angeles SC 2 1st Bell Gardens Footba… 9th Downey United Footb… 11th Autobahn SA 4th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd City SC Los Angeles… 7th Pride FC 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.30 · 12th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Pride FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
4–1 2.48 2.91 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
04:00 PM
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.25 2.82 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Culver City
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away
Culver City High School
●○○○○ Favorable
89%
5–1 2.74 2.81 Bank it
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
4–1 2.57 2.78 Bank it
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–2 1.57 2.66 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
3–1 1.99 2.60 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.26 2.57 Bank it
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
3–1 2.64 2.58 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
3–1 2.22 2.55 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
3–0 2.78 2.57 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Pride FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
3–1 2.23 2.54 Swing game
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 2.54 Bank it
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 2.54 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
78%
3–1 2.46 2.53 Bank it
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
3–1 2.66 2.54 Bank it
Thu May 27
11:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
3–1 2.48 2.54 Bank it
Thu May 27
11:00 AM
Culver City
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Home
West Covina High School
●○○○○ Favorable
94%
6–1 2.86 2.55 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Los Angeles SC 2 5500 204+16 153.00 WWWWW -0.07 -0.30 100% 1.1
2 FC Golden State Force (2) 4301 1410+4 92.25 LWWW +0.34 -0.24 87% 3.2
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 5302 1312+1 91.80 WLLWW -0.02 -0.08 34% 5.4
4 Autobahn SA 6312 2410+14 101.67 LWLWD -0.10 -0.24 97% 2.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 1618-2 101.67 LWLWD +0.48 -0.20 32% 5.4
6 Pride FC 4202 1311+2 61.50 LWLW -0.54 +0.03 28% 5.6
7 City SC Los Angeles 2 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.41 +0.03 13% 6.7
8 FC Premier 3102 34-1 31.00 LWL -0.62 +0.06 6% 7.8
9 Bell Gardens Football Club 4103 510-5 30.75 WLLL +0.17 -0.03 1% 9.3
10 Culver City 4103 1124-13 30.75 LLWL +0.44 +0.00 0% 10.4
11 Downey United Football Club 6105 417-13 30.50 WLLLL +0.51 -0.08 0% 11.3
12 LAIFC (2) 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.01 1% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.