Culver City
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · Culver City Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:00 AM
Culver City High School, Helms Field ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.4 for, 2.9 against · 1.15 expected points)
| Season so far | Culver City | FC Premier |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 10th | 8th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-3 | 1-0-2 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals against / game | 6.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L L | L W L |
| Biggest win | 3–2 at City SC Los Angeles 2 | 2–1 at Downey United Football Club |
| Worst loss | 1–10 at Autobahn SA | 0–1 vs Bell Gardens Football Club |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -1.60 | -0.26 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.44 | -0.62 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
FC Premier average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 1 of 3.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
-
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 33%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
-
What a win does
Bell Gardens Football Club sit 9th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.75.A point moves us above Bell Gardens Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Premier game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Culver City – FC Premier) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.80 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds |
| Win 1.20 PPG |
8th▲ up 2 | 8th▲ up 2 | 9th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 0.80 PPG |
9th▲ up 1 | 9th▲ up 1 | 10th— holds |
| Loss 0.60 PPG |
10th— holds | 10th— holds | 11th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 9th if every rival drops points, and as low as 10th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th
- 5th <1%
- 6th 1%
- 7th 3%
- 8th 7%
- 9th 14%
- 10th 22%
- 11th 31%
- 12th 23%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 3.00 (+2.25) | 1st (2.55) | 63 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 2.25 (+1.50) | 3rd (1.92) | 47 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 1.80 (+1.05) | 4th (1.54) | 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | Autobahn SA | 1.67 (+0.92) | 2nd (2.06) | 34 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 1.67 (+0.92) | 5th (1.52) | 34 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 6 | Pride FC | 1.50 (+0.75) | 6th (1.51) | 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 1.50 (+0.75) | 7th (1.36) | 30 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 8 | FC Premier | 1.00 (+0.25) | 8th (1.21) | A point next game |
| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 0.75 (+0.00) | 9th (1.01) | Already ahead |
How the results connect
3 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Culver City to FC Premier through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.00 · 5th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.15 | 0.83 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 10:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away Hoover High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
2–4 | 0.60 | 0.79 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
2–5 | 0.53 | 0.76 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 11:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 5% |
1–5 | 0.21 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
2–5 | 0.33 | 0.65 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 09:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away Rancho Vista Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
2–3 | 1.04 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
2–4 | 0.68 | 0.69 | Upside |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.04 | 0.72 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 4 03:35 PM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Away St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–2 | 1.55 | 0.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–3 | 1.39 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 10% |
2–5 | 0.38 | 0.79 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 04:00 PM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
2–3 | 0.84 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–4 | 0.91 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 24% |
3–4 | 0.84 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.05 | 0.82 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
3–3 | 1.41 | 0.85 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home Culver City High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
3–2 | 1.88 | 0.90 | Swing game |
| Thu May 27 11:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Away West Covina High School |
●●●●● Very tough | 2% |
1–6 | 0.11 | 0.86 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.07 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sat Nov 14 at Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.34 | -0.24 | 87% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | -0.02 | -0.08 | 34% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.10 | -0.24 | 97% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | +0.48 | -0.20 | 32% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 6 | Pride FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.54 | +0.03 | 28% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.41 | +0.03 | 13% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | FC Premier | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.62 | +0.06 | 6% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.17 | -0.03 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | Culver City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.44 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | Downey United Football Club | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.51 | -0.08 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | LAIFC (2) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | 1% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Downey United Football Club · Tue May 25 at FC Premier · Tue May 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.