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Pride FC

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · SoCal Pride FC (all teams)

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6th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+2 goal diff · 13–11
LWLWlast 4
31% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.6
-0.54 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Pride FC
6th · 1.50 PPG
at
Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 3.00 PPG

West Covina High School, Thyberg Field ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.7 for, 4.1 against · 0.42 expected points)

Season so farPride FCLos Angeles SC 2
Position6th1st
Record (W-D-L)2-0-25-0-0
Points per game1.503.00
Goals for / game3.34.0
Goals against / game2.80.8
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W L W LW W W W W
Biggest win5–0 vs Downey United Football Club4–0 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss3–6 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.16+1.96
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.54-0.07

Common opponents: Downey United Football Club — we 5–0; they 3–1. Bell Gardens Football Club — we 3–2; they 5–2.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Los Angeles SC 2 score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Los Angeles SC 2 concede only 0.8/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 10%; a draw (11%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Los Angeles SC 2 have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:00 AM at West Covina High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club sit 5th on 1.67 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Los Angeles SC 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pride FC – Los Angeles SC 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 8th▼ down 2
Win
1.80 PPG
3rd▲ up 3 4th▲ up 2 6th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG
7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 8th▼ down 2
Loss
1.20 PPG
7th▼ down 1 6th— holds 8th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 6th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
31% top 4
69% below the top 4
5.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 2%
  3. 3rd 8%
  4. 4th 21%
  5. 5th 20%
  6. 6th 20%
  7. 7th 14%
  8. 8th 8%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 2%
  11. 11th <1%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Los Angeles SC 2 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.55) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 FC Golden State Force (2) 2.25 (+0.75) 3rd (1.92) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.80 (+0.30) 4th (1.54) Win next game
4 Autobahn SA 1.67 (+0.17) 2nd (2.06) A point next game
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.67 (+0.17) 5th (1.52) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Pride FC to Los Angeles SC 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
6 favour them
-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–2 2–5 5–0 1–3 3–6 3–0 0–4 0–3 0–2 2–3 2–3 0–4 1–6 Pride FC 6th Bell Gardens Footba… 9th Downey United Footb… 11th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd City SC Los Angeles… 7th Autobahn SA 4th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th Los Angeles SC 2 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 6
04:05 PM
no score posted
FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Los Angeles City College
●●●●○ Tough
39%
2–3 1.33 1.47 Upside
Sun Oct 11
10:25 AM
no score posted
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–1 1.79 1.52 Swing game
Sat Oct 24
11:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.42 1.36 Upside
Sun Nov 1
10:25 AM
Autobahn SA
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14
Home
Borchard Community Park
●●●●● Very tough
25%
2–3 0.90 1.30 Upside
Sat Nov 7
01:40 PM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2
Away
Glendale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
42%
3–3 1.42 1.32 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM
Culver City
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Home
Borchard Community Park
●○○○○ Favorable
75%
5–2 2.36 1.42 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
03:10 PM
FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
Rio Hondo College · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
27%
2–3 0.98 1.38 Upside
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
3–2 1.79 1.42 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
City SC Los Angeles 2
7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–2 1.74 1.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 14
03:35 PM
Downey United Football Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.13 1.49 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
3–2 1.65 1.50 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
04:00 PM
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
St John Bosco High School · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.48 1.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
3–1 2.04 1.53 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
17%
1–3 0.64 1.48 Upside
Sat May 1
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.61 1.44 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Culver City
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
4–3 2.03 1.46 Swing game
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
53%
2–2 1.75 1.48 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
3–1 2.07 1.51 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Los Angeles SC 2 5500 204+16 153.00 WWWWW -0.07 -0.30 100% 1.1
2 FC Golden State Force (2) 4301 1410+4 92.25 LWWW +0.34 -0.24 89% 3.1
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 5302 1312+1 91.80 WLLWW -0.02 -0.08 32% 5.4
4 Autobahn SA 6312 2410+14 101.67 LWLWD -0.10 -0.24 97% 2.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 1618-2 101.67 LWLWD +0.48 -0.20 31% 5.6
6 Pride FC 4202 1311+2 61.50 LWLW -0.54 +0.03 31% 5.6
7 City SC Los Angeles 2 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.41 +0.03 12% 6.7
8 FC Premier 3102 34-1 31.00 LWL -0.62 +0.06 5% 7.8
9 Bell Gardens Football Club 4103 510-5 30.75 WLLL +0.17 -0.03 1% 9.3
10 Culver City 4103 1124-13 30.75 LLWL +0.44 +0.00 0% 10.4
11 Downey United Football Club 6105 417-13 30.50 WLLLL +0.51 -0.08 0% 11.3
12 LAIFC (2) 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.01 2% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.