LAIFC (2)
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · LAIFC (all teams)
Next game — Tue May 25, 03:35 PM
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA), Stadium ↗ · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 1.5 against · 1.64 expected points)
| Season so far | LAIFC (2) | Downey United Football Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 11th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 0-0-1 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 0.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 3 |
| Form (recent first) | — | L L L L W |
| Biggest win | — | 2–0 vs Bell Gardens Football Club |
| Worst loss | — | 0–5 at Pride FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.75 | -1.35 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.00 | +0.51 |
Game plan
-
They struggle to score
Downey United Football Club average 0.7 goals/game (league avg 2.6); blanked in 3 of 6.A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 47% / draw 22% / loss 31%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Confidence is low on their side
Downey United Football Club have lost 4 straight (form: WLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
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Away game
Kickoff 03:35 PM at St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA).Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
Downey United Football Club sit 11th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.00.A point moves us above Downey United Football Club on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Tuesday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Downey United Football Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAIFC (2) – Downey United Football Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon May 24 – Sun May 30); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 0.50 PPG |
12th— holds | 11th▲ up 1 | 12th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
8th▲ up 4 | 7th▲ up 5 | 8th▲ up 4 |
| Draw 0.50 PPG |
12th— holds | 11th▲ up 1 | 12th— holds |
| Loss 0.00 PPG |
12th— holds | 12th— holds | 12th— holds |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 2%
- 6th 4%
- 7th 8%
- 8th 14%
- 9th 20%
- 10th 22%
- 11th 18%
- 12th 10%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 22 remaining known games (max 2.87 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 3.00 (+3.00) | 1st (2.55) | 69 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 59 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 2.25 (+2.25) | 3rd (1.92) | 52 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 1.80 (+1.80) | 4th (1.54) | 42 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 4 | Autobahn SA | 1.67 (+1.67) | 2nd (2.06) | 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 48 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 1.67 (+1.67) | 5th (1.52) | 39 of 66 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 6 | Pride FC | 1.50 (+1.50) | 6th (1.51) | Win next game |
| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 1.50 (+1.50) | 7th (1.36) | Win next game |
| 8 | FC Premier | 1.00 (+1.00) | 8th (1.21) | A point next game |
| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 0.75 (+0.75) | 9th (1.01) | A point next game |
| 10 | Culver City | 0.75 (+0.75) | 11th (0.86) | A point next game |
| 11 | Downey United Football Club | 0.50 (+0.50) | 12th (0.67) | A point next game |
Position over the season
8 game days
Not enough game days yet to draw a line.
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.01 · 4th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue May 25 03:35 PM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Away St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 47% |
1–1 | 1.64 | 0.82 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 04:00 PM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away Fullerton High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.05 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 05:00 PM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
2–3 | 0.93 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 06:00 PM |
Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14 |
Away Historic Belmar Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.37 | 0.80 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 23% |
1–3 | 0.86 | 0.81 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.40 | 0.75 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 54% |
3–2 | 1.79 | 0.88 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–2 | 1.08 | 0.90 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 0.94 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.53 | 0.99 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 09:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
1–2 | 1.24 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 42% |
3–3 | 1.42 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.84 | 1.03 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 34% |
1–2 | 1.23 | 1.04 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–3 | 0.26 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14 |
Home TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–3 | 0.56 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 16% |
1–3 | 0.61 | 0.95 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 31% |
2–2 | 1.13 | 0.96 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 0.96 | 0.96 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.32 | 0.97 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home TBD |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 57% |
2–1 | 1.90 | 1.02 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–3 | 0.78 | 1.01 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.07 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sat Nov 14 at Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.34 | -0.24 | 89% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | -0.02 | -0.08 | 32% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.10 | -0.24 | 97% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | +0.48 | -0.20 | 30% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.54 | +0.03 | 31% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.41 | +0.03 | 12% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Premier | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.62 | +0.06 | 5% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.17 | -0.03 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Culver City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.44 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Downey United Football Club | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.51 | -0.08 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | LAIFC (2) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | 2% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Downey United Football Club · Tue May 25 at FC Premier · Tue May 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.