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City SC Los Angeles 2

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · City SC Los Angeles (all teams)

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7th
2-0-2 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+0 goal diff · 9–9
WWLLlast 4
11% chance of top 4 · expected finish 6.7
-0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:20 AM

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City SC Los Angeles 2
7th · 1.50 PPG
at
Autobahn SA
4th · 1.67 PPG

Historic Belmar Park, Historic Belmar Park ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.6 for, 3.4 against · 0.56 expected points)

Season so farCity SC Los Angeles 2Autobahn SA
Position7th4th
Record (W-D-L)2-0-23-1-2
Points per game1.501.67
Goals for / game2.34.0
Goals against / game2.31.7
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)L L W WD W L W L
Biggest win2–1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 210–1 vs Culver City
Worst loss2–3 vs Culver City0–3 at Los Angeles SC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.15+1.49
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.41-0.10

Common opponents: Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 2–1; they 6–1. Culver City — we 2–3; they 10–1. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 2–3; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Autobahn SA score 4.0/game — well above the league's 2.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 14%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:20 AM at Historic Belmar Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:20 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Pride FC sit 6th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above Pride FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Autobahn SA game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (City SC Los Angeles 2 – Autobahn SA) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1
Win
1.80 PPG
4th▲ up 3 3rd▲ up 4 6th▲ up 1
Draw
1.40 PPG
7th— holds 6th▲ up 1 8th▼ down 1
Loss
1.20 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 8th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 7th even if every rival loses, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
11% top 4
89% below the top 4
6.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd 1%
  3. 3rd 3%
  4. 4th 8%
  5. 5th 15%
  6. 6th 19%
  7. 7th 22%
  8. 8th 16%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 5%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Los Angeles SC 2 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.55) 60 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 51 for their projection
2 FC Golden State Force (2) 2.25 (+0.75) 3rd (1.92) 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 1.80 (+0.30) 4th (1.54) Win next game
4 Autobahn SA 1.67 (+0.17) 2nd (2.06) A point next game
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 1.67 (+0.17) 5th (1.52) A point next game
6 Pride FC 1.50 (+0.00) 6th (1.51) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link City SC Los Angeles 2 to Autobahn SA through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
1 even
9 favour them
-3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 3–3 2–1 1–6 2–3 1–10 3–0 0–4 4–5 2–1 0–4 3–0 3–2 5–0 3–7 0–6 3–6 City SC Los Angeles… 7th Sporting So-Cal Soc… 5th Total Futbol Academ… 3rd Culver City 10th Pride FC 6th Downey United Footb… 11th FC Golden State For… 2nd Los Angeles SC 2 1st Autobahn SA 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.03 · 2nd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
08:20 AM
Autobahn SA
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14
Away
Historic Belmar Park
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.56 1.31 Upside
Sat Nov 7
12:45 PM
Bell Gardens Football Club
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
2–1 1.83 1.40 Swing game
Sat Nov 14
05:00 PM
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Away
Fullerton High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.33 1.39 Upside
Sun Nov 22
03:35 PM
Downey United Football Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13
Away
St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
57%
2–1 1.92 1.46 Swing game
Sun Feb 28
04:15 PM
FC Premier
8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.60 1.47 Swing game
Sun Mar 7
12:00 AM
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2
3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
42%
2–2 1.46 1.47 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
12:00 AM
Pride FC
6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
30%
2–2 1.09 1.44 Upside
Sun Mar 14
12:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
15%
1–3 0.59 1.37 Upside
Sun Mar 21
12:00 AM
Culver City
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
55%
3–2 1.80 1.40 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Away
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–3 0.87 1.36 Upside
Sun Apr 11
12:00 AM
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2
Away
TBD
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.25 1.35 Upside
Sun Apr 18
12:00 AM
Bell Gardens Football Club
9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%
2–1 1.54 1.37 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
12:00 AM
Autobahn SA
4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14
Home
TBD
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.81 1.33 Upside
Sun May 2
12:00 AM
Downey United Football Club
11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13
Home
TBD
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.17 1.38 Swing game
Tue May 25
09:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Away
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–1 1.56 1.39 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
LAIFC (2)
12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3
Home
TBD
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.86 1.41 Swing game
Tue May 25
12:00 AM
FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4
Home
Lawndale High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.18 1.40 Upside
Thu May 27
11:00 AM
Los Angeles SC 2
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16
Away
West Covina High School
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–3 0.40 1.36 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Los Angeles SC 2 5500 204+16 153.00 WWWWW -0.07 -0.30 100% 1.1
2 FC Golden State Force (2) 4301 1410+4 92.25 LWWW +0.34 -0.24 88% 3.2
3 Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 5302 1312+1 91.80 WLLWW -0.02 -0.08 33% 5.5
4 Autobahn SA 6312 2410+14 101.67 LWLWD -0.10 -0.24 97% 2.4
5 Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 6312 1618-2 101.67 LWLWD +0.48 -0.20 31% 5.6
6 Pride FC 4202 1311+2 61.50 LWLW -0.54 +0.03 32% 5.5
7 City SC Los Angeles 2 4202 99+0 61.50 WWLL -0.41 +0.03 11% 6.7
8 FC Premier 3102 34-1 31.00 LWL -0.62 +0.06 5% 7.8
9 Bell Gardens Football Club 4103 510-5 30.75 WLLL +0.17 -0.03 1% 9.2
10 Culver City 4103 1124-13 30.75 LLWL +0.44 +0.00 0% 10.4
11 Downey United Football Club 6105 417-13 30.50 WLLLL +0.51 -0.08 0% 11.3
12 LAIFC (2) 1001 03-3 00.00 +0.00 +0.01 2% 9.3

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.