FC Premier
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · FC Premier (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 04:00 PM
Ocean View High School, Stadium Turf ↗ · turf
●●●○○ Toss-up to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.2 for, 2.0 against · 1.47 expected points)
| Season so far | FC Premier | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 5th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-0-2 | 3-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals for / game | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Goals against / game | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | L W L | D W L W L |
| Biggest win | 2–1 at Downey United Football Club | 7–3 at Culver City |
| Worst loss | 0–1 vs Bell Gardens Football Club | 0–6 at FC Golden State Force (2) |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.26 | -0.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.62 | +0.48 |
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs Bell Gardens Football Club.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 42% / draw 20% / loss 37%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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What a win does
City SC Los Angeles 2 sit 7th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.00.A win moves us above City SC Los Angeles 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Premier – Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Win 1.50 PPG |
7th▲ up 1 | 4th▲ up 4 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 8th— holds |
| Loss 0.75 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 9th▼ down 1 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–2 draw we stay 8th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 4%
- 5th 8%
- 6th 12%
- 7th 16%
- 8th 23%
- 9th 18%
- 10th 11%
- 11th 6%
- 12th 2%
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.55) | 63 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 2.25 (+1.25) | 3rd (1.92) | 47 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection |
| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 1.80 (+0.80) | 4th (1.54) | 37 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 4 | Autobahn SA | 1.67 (+0.67) | 2nd (2.06) | 34 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection |
| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 1.67 (+0.67) | 5th (1.52) | 34 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection |
| 6 | Pride FC | 1.50 (+0.50) | 6th (1.51) | Win next game |
| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 1.50 (+0.50) | 7th (1.36) | Win next game |
How the results connect
5 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link FC Premier to Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.06 · 1st hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 11 10:25 AM no score posted |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 24 04:00 PM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home Ocean View High School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 42% |
2–2 | 1.47 | 1.10 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM |
Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away Culver City High School |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–2 | 1.67 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 04:00 PM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home Fullerton High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.59 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 8 04:00 PM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home Fullerton High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
1–2 | 1.11 | 1.11 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 05:00 PM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home Fullerton High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.45 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
1–1 | 1.44 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sun Feb 28 04:15 PM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away Lawndale High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–1 | 1.18 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 03:35 PM |
Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14 |
Away Lincoln Middle Schol |
●●●●● Very tough | 14% |
1–2 | 0.56 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.19 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 04:00 PM |
Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14 |
Home St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.78 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 04:00 PM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
2–2 | 1.32 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 05:00 PM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Home St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 38% |
1–1 | 1.36 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 32% |
1–2 | 1.17 | 1.18 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 25 04:00 PM |
Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Home St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
3–2 | 2.00 | 1.23 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 9% |
1–3 | 0.41 | 1.19 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Away TBD |
●●●●● Very tough | 22% |
1–2 | 0.83 | 1.17 | Upside |
| Tue May 25 04:00 PM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Fullerton High School · turf |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.73 | 1.20 | Swing game |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.46 | 1.21 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.07 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sat Nov 14 at Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.34 | -0.24 | 88% | 3.2 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | -0.02 | -0.08 | 32% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.10 | -0.24 | 97% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | +0.48 | -0.20 | 32% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.54 | +0.03 | 32% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.41 | +0.03 | 13% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Premier | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.62 | +0.06 | 5% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.17 | -0.03 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Culver City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.44 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Downey United Football Club | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.51 | -0.08 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | LAIFC (2) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | 1% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Downey United Football Club · Tue May 25 at FC Premier · Tue May 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.