Downey United Football Club

Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · Downey United Football Club (all teams)

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11th

1-0-5 record · 6 played

0.50 points per game

-13 goal diff · 4–17

WLLLLlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.3

+0.51 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 03:35 PM

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Downey United Football Club
11th · 0.50 PPG

FC Golden State Force (2)
2nd · 2.25 PPG

St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA), Stadium ↗ · turf?

14% 15% 71%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–3 (expected goals 1.4 for, 3.1 against · 0.57 expected points)

Season so far	Downey United Football Club	FC Golden State Force (2)
Position	11th	2nd
Record (W-D-L)	1-0-5	3-0-1
Points per game	0.50	2.25
Goals for / game	0.7	3.5
Goals against / game	2.8	2.5
Clean sheets	1	1
Held scoreless	3	0
Form (recent first)	L L L L W	W W W L
Biggest win	2–0 vs Bell Gardens Football Club	6–0 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club
Worst loss	0–5 at Pride FC	1–5 at Los Angeles SC 2
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.35	+0.66
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.51	+0.34

Common opponents: Autobahn SA — we 0–4; they 2–1. Los Angeles SC 2 — we 1–3; they 1–5.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–3 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2, 0–5 at Pride FC, 0–4 vs Autobahn SA.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 14%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
They arrive in form
FC Golden State Force (2) have won 3 straight.
Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.
What a win does
Culver City sit 10th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.50.
A point moves us above Culver City on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Golden State Force (2) game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Downey United Football Club – FC Golden State Force (2)) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.43 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	11th— holds
Win 0.86 PPG	9th▲ up 2	9th▲ up 2	10th▲ up 1
Draw 0.57 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	11th— holds
Loss 0.43 PPG	11th— holds	11th— holds	11th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–3 loss we stay 11th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

11.3 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th <1%
6th <1%
7th <1%
8th 2%
9th 5%
10th 11%
11th 25%
12th 57%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Los Angeles SC 2	3.00 (+2.50)	1st (2.55)	63 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 54 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	FC Golden State Force (2)	2.25 (+1.75)	3rd (1.92)	47 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
3	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2	1.80 (+1.30)	4th (1.54)	37 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
4	Autobahn SA	1.67 (+1.17)	2nd (2.06)	34 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
5	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club	1.67 (+1.17)	5th (1.52)	34 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6	Pride FC	1.50 (+1.00)	6th (1.51)	30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7	City SC Los Angeles 2	1.50 (+1.00)	7th (1.36)	30 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
8	FC Premier	1.00 (+0.50)	8th (1.21)	19 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
9	Bell Gardens Football Club	0.75 (+0.25)	9th (1.01)	A point next game
10	Culver City	0.75 (+0.25)	11th (0.86)	A point next game

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Downey United Football Club to FC Golden State Force (2) through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us

1 even

5 favour them

-2.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.08 · 8th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sun Oct 25 03:35 PM	FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	14%	1–3	0.57	0.51	Upside
Sun Nov 1 05:20 PM	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2	Away Glendale High School · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	15%	1–3	0.61	0.52	Upside
Sat Nov 14 06:30 PM	Autobahn SA 4th · 3-1-2 · GD +14	Away Santa Monica High School	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–3	0.22	0.49	Upside
Sun Nov 15 03:35 PM	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	20%	1–2	0.78	0.52	Upside
Sun Nov 22 03:35 PM	City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.88	0.55	Upside
Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM	Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.88	0.58	Upside
Sat Mar 13 05:00 PM	FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1	Away St John Bosco High School · turf	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–2	0.76	0.59	Upside
Sun Mar 14 03:35 PM	Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	18%	1–2	0.71	0.60	Upside
Sun Apr 4 03:35 PM	Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	37%	2–2	1.28	0.65	Upside
Sun Apr 11 12:00 AM	Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	3%	0–3	0.16	0.62	Upside
Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM	FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	9%	1–3	0.38	0.60	Upside
Sun May 2 12:00 AM	City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	16%	1–2	0.66	0.60	Upside
Sun May 16 03:35 PM	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–2	0.85	0.62	Upside
Tue May 25 03:35 PM	LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3	Home St. Pius X - St. Matthias Academy (PMA) · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–1	1.14	0.64	Upside
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13	Away Culver City High School	●●●●○ Tough	26%	2–3	0.95	0.66	Upside
Tue May 25 12:00 AM	LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3	Away TBD	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.89	0.67	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Los Angeles SC 2

+16

3.00

WWWWW

-0.07

-0.30

100%

1.1

W	Sun Oct 11	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	5–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	5–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	4–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sat Nov 14 at Culver City · Sun Nov 15 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Culver City (10th)	5–1	89%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	4–1	82%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	3–1	61%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–1	85%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–1	69%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–0	90%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Pride FC (6th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat May 1	vs	FC Premier (8th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Pride FC (6th)	4–1	79%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	79%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–1	78%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	86%
·	Thu May 27	vs	Culver City (10th)	6–1	94%
·	Thu May 27	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–1	79%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Golden State Force (2)

2.25

LWWW

+0.34

-0.24

88%

3.2

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Culver City (10th)	5–4
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	6–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–5

Next: Sun Sep 6 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 6 (no score yet)	at	Pride FC (6th)	3–2	45%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–2	58%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–1	71%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Pride FC (6th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	23%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–2	51%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–3	23%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Culver City (10th)	5–2	82%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sun May 2	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	60%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	60%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	71%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–2	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Total Futbol Academy - OC 2

1.80

WLLWW

-0.02

-0.08

32%

5.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Pride FC (6th)	6–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–6
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–3	26%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–2	40%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Culver City (10th)	4–2	73%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–3	24%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Pride FC (6th)	2–3	34%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Premier (8th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–2	52%
·	Sat May 1	at	Culver City (10th)	4–2	60%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–1	61%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–2	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Autobahn SA

+14

1.67

LWLWD

-0.10

-0.24

97%

2.4

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–3
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	4–0
L	Sun Sep 27	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	6–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Culver City (10th)	10–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Pride FC (6th)	3–2	60%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Culver City (10th)	5–2	84%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–2	60%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	3–2	62%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	4–1	76%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–1	62%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pride FC (6th)	4–2	71%
·	Sun May 2	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–1	71%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	81%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	72%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club

-2

1.67

LWLWD

+0.48

-0.20

30%

5.6

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	3–3
W	Sun Oct 11	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	0–6
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Culver City (10th)	7–3
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Pride FC (6th)	3–3	42%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–4	8%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Pride FC (6th)	2–3	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Culver City (10th)	4–2	69%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–3	33%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–4	13%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–3	32%
·	Sun May 16	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	60%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	57%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–2	58%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–2	46%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pride FC

1.50

LWLW

-0.54

+0.03

32%

5.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–6
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	5–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–3

Next: Sun Sep 6 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 vs Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Sep 6 (no score yet)	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–3	39%
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–3	25%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–3	42%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Culver City (10th)	5–2	75%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–3	27%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–2	54%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–2	52%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	66%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	3–2	49%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	3–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	17%
·	Sat May 1	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–4	16%
·	Sun May 2	at	Culver City (10th)	4–3	63%
·	Sat May 22	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–4	10%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–2	53%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

City SC Los Angeles 2

1.50

WWLL

-0.41

+0.03

12%

6.8

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Culver City (10th)	2–3
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Pride FC (6th)	3–2
W	Sun Sep 13	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	FC Premier (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Feb 28	vs	FC Premier (8th)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–2	42%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pride FC (6th)	2–2	30%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	15%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Culver City (10th)	3–2	55%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	24%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	44%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	66%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–1	56%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–2	33%
·	Thu May 27	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	10%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Premier

-1

1.00

LWL

-0.62

+0.06

7.8

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 20	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	0–1

Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 11 (no score yet)	at	Pride FC (6th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–2	42%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Culver City (10th)	2–2	50%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Feb 28	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	61%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pride FC (6th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	1–1	38%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	32%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Culver City (10th)	3–2	61%
·	Sat May 1	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sun May 2	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–2	22%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–1	51%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	1–1	41%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Bell Gardens Football Club

-5

0.75

WLLL

+0.17

-0.03

9.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Pride FC (6th)	2–3
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	2–5
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Premier (8th)	1–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	FC Premier (8th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	Culver City (10th)	3–2	55%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Culver City (10th)	3–2	42%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Pride FC (6th)	1–3	21%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat May 1	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	15%
·	Sun May 23	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	26%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	1–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–1	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Culver City

-13

0.75

LLWL

+0.44

+0.00

10.4

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	4–5
W	Sun Sep 27	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	3–2
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	3–7
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–10

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Premier (8th)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–4	16%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Pride FC (6th)	2–5	14%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–5	5%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	2–5	9%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–3	29%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–4	19%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	2–3	30%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–2	46%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–3	41%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	2–5	10%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC Premier (8th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–4	26%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pride FC (6th)	3–4	24%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	2–3	30%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	3–3	42%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	3–2	57%
·	Thu May 27	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–6	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Downey United Football Club

-13

0.50

WLLLL

+0.51

-0.08

11.3

L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Pride FC (6th)	0–5
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	FC Premier (8th)	1–2
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	0–3

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	23%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	FC Premier (8th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Pride FC (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Culver City (10th)	2–2	37%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	9%
·	Sun May 2	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	1–2	22%
·	Tue May 25	vs	LAIFC (2) (12th)	1–1	31%
·	Tue May 25	at	Culver City (10th)	2–3	26%
·	Tue May 25	at	LAIFC (2) (12th)	1–2	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAIFC (2)

-3

0.00

+0.00

+0.01

9.3

No games played yet.

Next: Tue May 25 at Downey United Football Club · Tue May 25 at FC Premier · Tue May 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Tue May 25	at	Downey United Football Club (11th)	1–1	47%
·	Tue May 25	at	FC Premier (8th)	1–2	28%
·	Tue May 25	at	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–3	25%
·	Tue May 25	at	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	9%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Culver City (10th)	3–2	54%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	2–1	44%
·	Tue May 25	vs	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	23%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club (5th)	2–2	35%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Pride FC (6th)	2–2	30%
·	Tue May 25	at	Pride FC (6th)	1–3	21%
·	Tue May 25	at	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	1–2	22%
·	Tue May 25	at	City SC Los Angeles 2 (7th)	1–2	26%
·	Tue May 25	at	Culver City (10th)	3–3	42%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Autobahn SA (4th)	1–3	14%
·	Tue May 25	at	FC Golden State Force (2) (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Tue May 25	at	Los Angeles SC 2 (1st)	1–3	6%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 (3rd)	2–2	31%
·	Tue May 25	vs	Downey United Football Club (11th)	2–1	57%
·	Tue May 25	at	Bell Gardens Football Club (9th)	1–2	34%
·	Tue May 25	vs	FC Premier (8th)	1–1	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.