Autobahn SA
Elite Academy League 2 · LA South U17 · 12 teams · Autobahn SA (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 08:20 AM
Historic Belmar Park, Historic Belmar Park ↗
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 3–1 (expected goals 3.4 for, 1.6 against · 2.30 expected points)
| Season so far | Autobahn SA | City SC Los Angeles 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 3-1-2 | 2-0-2 |
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.50 |
| Goals for / game | 4.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L W L | L L W W |
| Biggest win | 10–1 vs Culver City | 2–1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 |
| Worst loss | 0–3 at Los Angeles SC 2 | 2–3 vs Culver City |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.49 | -0.15 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.10 | -0.41 |
Common opponents: Culver City — we 10–1; they 2–3. Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 — we 6–1; they 2–1. Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club — we 3–3; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Los Angeles SC 2.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 3–1.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
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Early kickoff
Game time 08:20 AM.Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
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What a win does
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 sit 3rd on 1.80 PPG; we are on 1.67.A point moves us above Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the City SC Los Angeles 2 game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Autobahn SA – City SC Los Angeles 2) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.86 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Win 1.86 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Draw 1.57 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 7th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 1.43 PPG |
7th▼ down 3 | 5th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 4 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 3–1 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 6%
- 2nd 59%
- 3rd 27%
- 4th 6%
- 5th 2%
- 6th <1%
- 7th <1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 16 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 3.00 (+1.33) | 1st (2.55) | 56 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 47 for their projection |
| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 2.25 (+0.58) | 3rd (1.92) | 40 of 48 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection |
| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 1.80 (+0.13) | 4th (1.54) | A point next game |
How the results connect
11 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link Autobahn SA to City SC Los Angeles 2 through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.24 · 11th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 25 08:20 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Home Historic Belmar Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.30 | 1.76 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 10:25 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Away Borchard Community Park |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
3–2 | 1.95 | 1.78 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:50 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Home John Adams Middle School ( |
●○○○○ Favorable | 80% |
3–1 | 2.51 | 1.86 | Bank it |
| Sat Nov 14 06:30 PM |
Downey United Football Club 11th · 1-0-5 · GD -13 |
Home Santa Monica High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.70 | 1.95 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 15 11:00 AM |
Culver City 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -13 |
Away Culver City High School |
●○○○○ Favorable | 84% |
5–2 | 2.59 | 2.00 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 6 03:35 PM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Home Lincoln Middle Schol |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
2–1 | 2.30 | 2.03 | Bank it |
| Sun Mar 7 12:00 AM |
Los Angeles SC 2 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +16 |
Home TBD |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.97 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 12:00 AM |
Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 3rd · 3-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 60% |
3–2 | 1.96 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 04:00 PM |
FC Premier 8th · 1-0-2 · GD -1 |
Away St John Bosco High School · turf |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.05 | 1.97 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 12:00 AM |
FC Golden State Force (2) 2nd · 3-0-1 · GD +4 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–2 | 2.02 | 1.98 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 17 12:00 AM |
Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club 5th · 3-1-2 · GD -2 |
Home TBD |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
4–1 | 2.38 | 2.00 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 12:00 AM |
City SC Los Angeles 2 7th · 2-0-2 · GD +0 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
3–1 | 2.03 | 2.00 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 12:00 AM |
Pride FC 6th · 2-0-2 · GD +2 |
Home TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
4–2 | 2.26 | 2.02 | Bank it |
| Sun May 2 12:00 AM |
Bell Gardens Football Club 9th · 1-0-3 · GD -5 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
3–1 | 2.28 | 2.03 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 06:00 PM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Home Historic Belmar Park |
●○○○○ Favorable | 81% |
3–1 | 2.53 | 2.05 | Bank it |
| Tue May 25 12:00 AM |
LAIFC (2) 12th · 0-0-1 · GD -3 |
Away TBD |
●●○○○ Lean win | 72% |
3–1 | 2.31 | 2.06 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Los Angeles SC 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | +16 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -0.07 | -0.30 | 100% | 1.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Pride FC · Sun Nov 1 at FC Premier · Sat Nov 14 at Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | FC Golden State Force (2) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 9 | 2.25 | LWWW | +0.34 | -0.24 | 89% | 3.1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Oct 25 at Downey United Football Club See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 9 | 1.80 | WLLWW | -0.02 | -0.08 | 34% | 5.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Culver City See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Autobahn SA | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 10 | +14 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | -0.10 | -0.24 | 98% | 2.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 1 at Pride FC · Sun Nov 8 vs Bell Gardens Football Club See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 10 | 1.67 | LWLWD | +0.48 | -0.20 | 32% | 5.5 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at FC Premier · Sun Oct 25 vs Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 1 vs Downey United Football Club See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Pride FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 6 | 1.50 | LWLW | -0.54 | +0.03 | 29% | 5.6 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 6 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Oct 11 vs FC Premier · Sat Oct 24 at Los Angeles SC 2 See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | City SC Los Angeles 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -0.41 | +0.03 | 12% | 6.7 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Autobahn SA · Sat Nov 7 vs Bell Gardens Football Club · Sat Nov 14 at FC Premier See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | FC Premier | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 | 1.00 | LWL | -0.62 | +0.06 | 5% | 7.8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 11 at Pride FC · Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sun Oct 25 at Culver City See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Bell Gardens Football Club | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.17 | -0.03 | 1% | 9.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sat Nov 7 at City SC Los Angeles 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Autobahn SA See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Culver City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +0.44 | +0.00 | 0% | 10.4 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Premier · Sun Nov 1 at Total Futbol Academy - OC 2 · Sun Nov 8 at Pride FC See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Downey United Football Club | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 3 | 0.50 | WLLLL | +0.51 | -0.08 | 0% | 11.3 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs FC Golden State Force (2) · Sun Nov 1 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club · Sat Nov 14 at Autobahn SA See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | LAIFC (2) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | 0.00 | +0.00 | +0.01 | 1% | 9.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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No games played yet. Next: Tue May 25 at Downey United Football Club · Tue May 25 at FC Premier · Tue May 25 at Sporting So-Cal Soccer Club See all 22 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.