TableChase Clubs

PSA Monmouth Pre- ll

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · Princeton SA (all teams)

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12th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-10 goal diff · 3–13
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1
+0.24 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

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PSA Monmouth Pre- ll
12th · 0.00 PPG
vs
STA Pre- ll
7th · 1.00 PPG

Venue TBD

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.2 for, 2.9 against · 0.54 expected points)

Season so farPSA Monmouth Pre- llSTA Pre- ll
Position12th7th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-31-1-2
Points per game0.001.00
Goals for / game1.02.3
Goals against / game4.31.3
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L L LL L D W
Biggest win—6–0 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II
Worst loss2–6 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll2–3 at Pipeline SC Pre ll
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.54+0.60
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.24+0.19

Common opponents: Pipeline SC Pre ll — we 2–6; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs World Class FC Pre- ll.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 13%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    Match Fit Surf Pre- II sit 11th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Match Fit Surf Pre- II on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the STA Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (PSA Monmouth Pre- ll – STA Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG		 11th▲ up 1 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 12%
  11. 11th 56%
  12. 12th 28%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Maryland United FC Pre- II 2.67 (+2.67) 1st (2.25) 59 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
2 World Class FC Pre- ll 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (1.86) 53 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
3 SJEB FC Pre- Black 2.17 (+2.17) 2nd (1.90) 48 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection
4 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 2.00 (+2.00) 7th (1.61) 44 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
5 Pipeline SC Pre ll 1.86 (+1.86) 4th (1.77) 41 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 1.33 (+1.33) 5th (1.76) 30 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection
7 STA Pre- ll 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.65) 22 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
8 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 1.00 (+1.00) 8th (1.26) 22 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 0.86 (+0.86) 9th (1.01) 19 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
10 PUNSC Pre- ll 0.75 (+0.75) 10th (0.95) Win next game
11 Match Fit Surf Pre- II 0.17 (+0.17) 12th (0.42) Already ahead

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link PSA Monmouth Pre- ll to STA Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
5 favour them
-4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–6 3–2 1–3 1–4 1–0 2–3 0–4 1–4 5–2 0–6 PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th Pipeline SC Pre ll 5th PUNSC Pre- ll 10th World Class FC Pre-… 2nd SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd Match Fit Surf Pre-… 11th STA Pre- ll 7th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.12 · 3rd hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
TBD		 STA Pre- ll
7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–2 0.54 0.13 Upside
Sun Oct 25
02:30 PM		 Maryland United FC Pre- II
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13		 Home
The Ranney School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–3 0.30 0.17 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:15 AM		 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll
6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5		 Away far trip
Scott Auto Field		 ●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–3 0.33 0.20 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:45 AM		 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Away far trip
Smith Estates		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.65 0.26 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:30 PM		 Match Fit Surf Pre- II
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20		 Home
The Ranney School · turf?		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
54%		 2–1 1.82 0.45 Swing game
Sun Dec 13
10:00 AM		 Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll
9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6		 Away far trip
Maryland Soccerplex		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–2 0.84 0.50 Upside
Sat Dec 19
11:15 AM		 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Away far trip
TBD		 ●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.42 0.49 Upside
Sun Dec 20
11:30 AM		 Maryland United FC Pre- II
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13		 Away far trip
Indian Creek		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–4 0.18 0.46 Upside
Sat Feb 27
TBD		 Pipeline SC Pre ll
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +6		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.32 0.45 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 PUNSC Pre- ll
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%		 2–2 1.07 0.50 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM		 SJEB FC Pre- Black
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6		 Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.35 0.49 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 World Class FC Pre- ll
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.28 0.47 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.64 0.48 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll
9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–2 1.10 0.52 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 STA Pre- ll
7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.37 0.51 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
25%		 1–2 0.91 0.53 Upside
Sun May 2
10:30 AM		 SJEB FC Pre- Black
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
The Ranney School · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 1–3 0.52 0.53 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll
6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–2 0.49 0.53 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Match Fit Surf Pre- II
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
44%		 2–2 1.51 0.57 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC Pre- II 6510 207+13 162.67 WWWDW -0.18 -0.09 97% 1.5
2 World Class FC Pre- ll 5401 1810+8 122.40 WLWWW -0.81 +0.12 66% 3.8
3 SJEB FC Pre- Black 6411 159+6 132.17 WWDWL +0.38 -0.22 70% 3.6
4 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 3201 97+2 62.00 WLW +0.02 -0.04 27% 5.6
5 Pipeline SC Pre ll 7412 2216+6 131.86 WLWDW +0.02 -0.09 52% 4.4
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 3111 72+5 41.33 WLD -0.61 +0.02 52% 4.4
7 STA Pre- ll 4112 95+4 41.00 WDLL +0.19 -0.11 33% 5.3
8 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 4112 812-4 41.00 LLDW +0.46 -0.09 3% 7.9
9 Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 7133 1016-6 60.86 WDDLD +0.20 -0.03 0% 9.2
10 PUNSC Pre- ll 4103 812-4 30.75 LWLL -0.45 +0.17 0% 9.5
11 Match Fit Surf Pre- II 6015 525-20 10.17 LLLDL +0.53 +0.04 0% 11.6
12 PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 3003 313-10 00.00 LLL +0.24 +0.12 0% 11.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.