Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · Penn Fusion Soccer Academy (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:15 PM
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center, Field 6B ↗ far trip
●●○○○ Lean win to win
Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.6 for, 1.5 against · 2.03 expected points)
| Season so far | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll | PUNSC Pre- ll |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 10th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-1 | 1-0-3 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals for / game | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals against / game | 0.7 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D L W | L L W L |
| Biggest win | 6–0 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II | 3–1 vs PSA Monmouth Pre- ll |
| Worst loss | 1–2 at Pipeline SC Pre ll | 1–4 at SJEB FC Pre- Black |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.74 | -0.68 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.61 | -0.45 |
Common opponents: Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll — we 0–0; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Swing game — small margins
Win 62% / draw 18% / loss 20%.Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".
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Away game
Kickoff 12:15 PM at Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the PUNSC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll – PUNSC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 1.75 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Win 1.75 PPG |
6th— holds | 6th— holds | 6th— holds |
| Draw 1.25 PPG |
6th— holds | 7th▼ down 1 | 8th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.00 PPG |
8th▼ down 2 | 7th▼ down 1 | 11th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 3rd if every rival drops points, and as low as 6th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 4%
- 2nd 13%
- 3rd 14%
- 4th 18%
- 5th 18%
- 6th 16%
- 7th 12%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 1%
- 10th <1%
- 11th
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.77 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC Pre- II | 2.67 (+1.34) | 1st (2.25) | 55 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | World Class FC Pre- ll | 2.40 (+1.07) | 3rd (1.86) | 49 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 3 | SJEB FC Pre- Black | 2.17 (+0.84) | 2nd (1.90) | 44 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 4 | Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green | 2.00 (+0.67) | 7th (1.61) | 40 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 5 | Pipeline SC Pre ll | 1.86 (+0.53) | 4th (1.77) | 37 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
How the results connect
7 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll to PUNSC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.02 · 5th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 19 10:30 AM no score posted |
Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 1.46 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 12:15 PM |
PUNSC Pre- ll 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Ukrainian AMerican Sports Center |
●●○○○ Lean win | 62% |
2–1 | 2.03 | 1.58 | Swing game |
| Sun Oct 25 10:15 AM |
Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home USTC |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
2–1 | 1.86 | 1.63 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 10:15 AM |
SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home Scott Auto Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.62 | 1.62 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 04:30 PM |
World Class FC Pre- ll 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Away far trip
Orangetown Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
2–2 | 1.38 | 1.59 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 10:15 AM |
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Scott Auto Field |
●○○○○ Favorable | 82% |
3–0 | 2.56 | 1.70 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 8 10:15 AM |
Maryland United FC Pre- II 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Scott Auto Field |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
1–1 | 1.31 | 1.66 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 21 10:15 AM |
STA Pre- ll 7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home Scott Auto Field |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
1–1 | 1.61 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 46% |
2–1 | 1.58 | 1.65 | Swing game |
| Sat Feb 27 TBD |
STA Pre- ll 7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.35 | 1.63 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.12 | 1.66 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 7 10:00 AM |
SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●○ Tough | 37% |
1–1 | 1.35 | 1.64 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
World Class FC Pre- ll 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 50% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.64 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Maryland United FC Pre- II 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.04 | 1.61 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
Pipeline SC Pre ll 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.76 | 1.62 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 24 TBD |
PUNSC Pre- ll 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 71% |
2–1 | 2.28 | 1.65 | Bank it |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.69 | Bank it |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
2–1 | 2.19 | 1.71 | Swing game |
| Sat May 22 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- II 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 87% |
3–0 | 2.68 | 1.76 | Bank it |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC Pre- II | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWDW | -0.18 | -0.09 | 98% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC Pre ll See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | World Class FC Pre- ll | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.81 | +0.12 | 67% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SJEB FC Pre- Black | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | WWDWL | +0.38 | -0.22 | 71% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.02 | -0.04 | 25% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Pipeline SC Pre ll | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 13 | 1.86 | WLWDW | +0.02 | -0.09 | 52% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | -0.61 | +0.02 | 49% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | STA Pre- ll | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 4 | 1.00 | WDLL | +0.19 | -0.11 | 35% | 5.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PUNSC Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.46 | -0.09 | 3% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 17 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | 0.86 | WDDLD | +0.20 | -0.03 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 8 at STA Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | PUNSC Pre- ll | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | -0.45 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 1 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Match Fit Surf Pre- II | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 25 | -20 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLDL | +0.53 | +0.04 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC Pre- Black See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | PSA Monmouth Pre- ll | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.24 | +0.12 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.