Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · Delaware Football Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:30 AM
Central Park, Field 3A ↗ far trip
●●●●● Very tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.6 against · 0.77 expected points)
| Season so far | Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre | STA Pre- ll |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 8th | 7th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-1-2 | 1-1-2 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 1.3 |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | W D L L | L L D W |
| Biggest win | 4–2 at PUNSC Pre- ll | 6–0 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II |
| Worst loss | 1–4 at World Class FC Pre- ll | 2–3 at Pipeline SC Pre ll |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.31 | +0.60 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | +0.46 | +0.19 |
Common opponents: Maryland United FC Pre- II — we 0–3; they 1–1. Pipeline SC Pre ll — we 3–3; they 2–3.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–3 at Maryland United FC Pre- II.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 20%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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Away game
Kickoff 11:30 AM at Central Park.Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
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What a win does
STA Pre- ll sit 7th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above STA Pre- ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the STA Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre – STA Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.80 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
| Win 1.40 PPG |
6th▲ up 2 | 7th▲ up 1 | 8th— holds |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
8th— holds | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.80 PPG |
9th▼ down 1 | 8th— holds | 11th▼ down 3 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st <1%
- 2nd <1%
- 3rd 1%
- 4th 2%
- 5th 3%
- 6th 6%
- 7th 14%
- 8th 43%
- 9th 22%
- 10th 8%
- 11th 1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maryland United FC Pre- II | 2.67 (+1.67) | 1st (2.25) | 55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection |
| 2 | World Class FC Pre- ll | 2.40 (+1.40) | 3rd (1.86) | 49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection |
| 3 | SJEB FC Pre- Black | 2.17 (+1.17) | 2nd (1.90) | 44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection |
| 4 | Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green | 2.00 (+1.00) | 7th (1.61) | 40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection |
| 5 | Pipeline SC Pre ll | 1.86 (+0.86) | 4th (1.77) | 37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection |
| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll | 1.33 (+0.33) | 5th (1.76) | A point next game |
| 7 | STA Pre- ll | 1.00 (+0.00) | 6th (1.65) | A point next game |
How the results connect
8 chains · 8 teams
Paths of results that link Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre to STA Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.09 · 9th hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 19 10:30 AM no score posted |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●● Very tough | 25% |
1–2 | 0.94 | 0.99 | Upside |
| Sat Oct 17 01:30 PM no score posted |
Match Fit Surf Pre- II 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20 |
Home Smith Estates |
●○○○○ Favorable | 76% |
3–1 | 2.41 | 1.22 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 11:30 AM |
STA Pre- ll 7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Central Park |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.77 | 1.16 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 11:00 AM |
Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6 |
Home Hudson Fields · grass |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
2–1 | 1.72 | 1.23 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 11:45 AM |
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●○○○ Lean win | 69% |
3–1 | 2.20 | 1.34 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 12:30 PM |
Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●○ Tough | 35% |
2–2 | 1.24 | 1.33 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 11:30 AM |
SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6 |
Home Lower Tweeds |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.02 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Sat Dec 12 TBD |
STA Pre- ll 7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
1–2 | 1.03 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.70 | 1.23 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Match Fit Surf Pre- II 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 67% |
3–1 | 2.15 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 10 12:00 PM |
Maryland United FC Pre- II 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13 |
Home Hudson Fields · grass |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–3 | 0.70 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 11 11:00 AM |
Pipeline SC Pre ll 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +6 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●○ Tough | 30% |
2–3 | 1.08 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 12:30 PM |
PUNSC Pre- ll 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 53% |
2–2 | 1.76 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 58% |
2–1 | 1.92 | 1.31 | Swing game |
| Sat May 15 TBD |
Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
2–1 | 1.42 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 25% |
2–2 | 0.93 | 1.30 | Upside |
| Sat May 22 01:30 PM |
World Class FC Pre- ll 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8 |
Home Smith Estates |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–3 | 1.01 | 1.29 | Upside |
| Sun May 23 10:00 AM |
SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Tuckahoe Farm |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.76 | 1.26 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Maryland United FC Pre- II | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWDW | -0.18 | -0.09 | 98% | 1.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC Pre ll See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | World Class FC Pre- ll | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.81 | +0.12 | 66% | 3.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | SJEB FC Pre- Black | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 13 | 2.17 | WWDWL | +0.38 | -0.22 | 73% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | +0.02 | -0.04 | 27% | 5.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Pipeline SC Pre ll | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | +6 | 13 | 1.86 | WLWDW | +0.02 | -0.09 | 53% | 4.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 1.33 | WLD | -0.61 | +0.02 | 50% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | STA Pre- ll | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 4 | 1.00 | WDLL | +0.19 | -0.11 | 31% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PUNSC Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | 1.00 | LLDW | +0.46 | -0.09 | 2% | 7.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 17 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 | 0.86 | WDDLD | +0.20 | -0.03 | 0% | 9.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 8 at STA Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | PUNSC Pre- ll | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | LWLL | -0.45 | +0.17 | 0% | 9.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 1 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Match Fit Surf Pre- II | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 25 | -20 | 1 | 0.17 | LLLDL | +0.53 | +0.04 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 17 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC Pre- Black See all 16 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | PSA Monmouth Pre- ll | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.24 | +0.12 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.