TableChase Clubs

Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · Potomac Soccer Association (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 56 minutes ago.
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9th
1-3-3 record · 7 played
0.86 points per game
-6 goal diff · 10–16
WDDLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.2
+0.20 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:30 AM

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Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll
9th · 0.86 PPG
at
Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green
4th · 2.00 PPG

Jemicy School, Field 2 (9v9) ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.6 for, 2.7 against · 0.80 expected points)

Season so farPotomac Soccer Association Pre- llBaltimore Celtic Pre- Green
Position9th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-3-32-0-1
Points per game0.862.00
Goals for / game1.43.0
Goals against / game2.32.3
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)D L D D WW L W
Biggest win3–2 vs PUNSC Pre- ll3–1 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- II
Worst loss0–4 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II3–4 at Maryland United FC Pre- II
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.56+0.29
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.20+0.02

Common opponents: Maryland United FC Pre- II — we 0–4; they 3–4. Pipeline SC Pre ll — we 2–4; they 3–2. Match Fit Surf Pre- II — we 1–1; they 3–1.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II, 0–0 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:30 AM at Jemicy School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre sit 8th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.86.

    A point moves us above Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll – Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 8 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.75 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2
Win
1.13 PPG		 7th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 2
Draw
0.88 PPG		 9th— holds 8th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 2
Loss
0.75 PPG		 10th▼ down 1 9th— holds 11th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–2 loss we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 11th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
9.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th <1%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 17%
  9. 9th 39%
  10. 10th 32%
  11. 11th 7%
  12. 12th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 15 remaining known games (max 2.32 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Maryland United FC Pre- II 2.67 (+1.81) 1st (2.25) 53 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
2 World Class FC Pre- ll 2.40 (+1.54) 3rd (1.86) 47 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
3 SJEB FC Pre- Black 2.17 (+1.31) 2nd (1.90) 42 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
4 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 2.00 (+1.14) 7th (1.61) 38 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Pipeline SC Pre ll 1.86 (+1.00) 4th (1.77) 35 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 1.33 (+0.47) 5th (1.76) 24 of 45 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
7 STA Pre- ll 1.00 (+0.14) 6th (1.65) A point next game
8 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 1.00 (+0.14) 8th (1.26) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll to Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
2 even
7 favour them
-1.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 1–3 2–4 2–3 0–4 4–3 3–4 5–2 1–1 3–2 2–4 0–0 1–2 1–4 6–0 Potomac Soccer Asso… 9th Match Fit Surf Pre-… 11th Pipeline SC Pre ll 5th Maryland United FC … 1st World Class FC Pre-… 2nd SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd Penn Fusion Soccer … 6th Baltimore Celtic Pr… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 6th 12th Aug 29 Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.03 · 6th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
11:30 AM		 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Away far trip
Jemicy School		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 1–2 0.80 0.85 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Away far trip
Hudson Fields · grass		 ●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.08 0.88 Upside
Sun Nov 8
10:30 AM		 STA Pre- ll
7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4		 Away far trip
Central Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–2 0.69 0.86 Upside
Sun Dec 13
10:00 AM		 PSA Monmouth Pre- ll
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10		 Home
Maryland Soccerplex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
60%		 2–1 1.98 0.96 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 Pipeline SC Pre ll
5th · 4-1-2 · GD +6		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
17%		 1–3 0.67 0.93 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD		 PUNSC Pre- ll
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–2 1.24 0.96 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 Match Fit Surf Pre- II
11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
67%		 2–1 2.19 1.05 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 World Class FC Pre- ll
2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
16%		 1–3 0.62 1.02 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 PSA Monmouth Pre- ll
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10		 Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
50%		 2–1 1.69 1.06 Swing game
Sat Apr 24
TBD		 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
29%		 1–2 1.07 1.06 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 STA Pre- ll
7th · 1-1-2 · GD +4		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.91 1.05 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 Maryland United FC Pre- II
1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.43 1.02 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre
8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
39%		 1–2 1.37 1.04 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll
6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–2 0.63 1.02 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 SJEB FC Pre- Black
3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
23%		 1–2 0.90 1.01 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Maryland United FC Pre- II 6510 207+13 162.67 WWWDW -0.18 -0.09 98% 1.5
2 World Class FC Pre- ll 5401 1810+8 122.40 WLWWW -0.81 +0.12 65% 3.8
3 SJEB FC Pre- Black 6411 159+6 132.17 WWDWL +0.38 -0.22 70% 3.6
4 Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 3201 97+2 62.00 WLW +0.02 -0.04 26% 5.7
5 Pipeline SC Pre ll 7412 2216+6 131.86 WLWDW +0.02 -0.09 53% 4.4
6 Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 3111 72+5 41.33 WLD -0.61 +0.02 50% 4.4
7 STA Pre- ll 4112 95+4 41.00 WDLL +0.19 -0.11 35% 5.2
8 Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 4112 812-4 41.00 LLDW +0.46 -0.09 2% 7.9
9 Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 7133 1016-6 60.86 WDDLD +0.20 -0.03 0% 9.2
10 PUNSC Pre- ll 4103 812-4 30.75 LWLL -0.45 +0.17 0% 9.4
11 Match Fit Surf Pre- II 6015 525-20 10.17 LLLDL +0.53 +0.04 0% 11.7
12 PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 3003 313-10 00.00 LLL +0.24 +0.12 0% 11.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.