STA Pre- ll

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- North Atlantic BU12 · 12 teams · STA (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 22 minutes ago.

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7th

1-1-2 record · 4 played

1.00 points per game

+4 goal diff · 9–5

WDLLlast 4

31% chance of top 4 · expected finish 5.4

+0.19 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, TBD

Open the match preview →

STA Pre- ll
7th · 1.00 PPG

PSA Monmouth Pre- ll
12th · 0.00 PPG

Venue TBD

72% 15% 13%

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.9 for, 1.2 against · 2.31 expected points)

Season so far	STA Pre- ll	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll
Position	7th	12th
Record (W-D-L)	1-1-2	0-0-3
Points per game	1.00	0.00
Goals for / game	2.3	1.0
Goals against / game	1.3	4.3
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	1	1
Form (recent first)	L L D W	L L L
Biggest win	6–0 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II	—
Worst loss	2–3 at Pipeline SC Pre ll	2–6 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	+0.60	-1.54
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	+0.19	+0.24

Common opponents: Pipeline SC Pre ll — we 2–3; they 2–6.

Game plan

They struggle to score
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll average 1.0 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 1 of 3.
A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.
They leak goals — be greedy
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll concede 4.3/game; worst result 2–6 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll.
Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 vs SJEB FC Pre- Black.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 72% chance; likely score 2–1.
Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
Confidence is low on their side
PSA Monmouth Pre- ll have lost 3 straight (form: LLL).
Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
Away game
Kickoff TBD at TBD.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll sit 6th on 1.33 PPG; we are on 1.00.
A point moves us above Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the PSA Monmouth Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (STA Pre- ll – PSA Monmouth Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Win · 1.40 PPG	6th▲ up 1	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1
Win 1.40 PPG	6th▲ up 1	7th— holds	8th▼ down 1
Draw 1.00 PPG	7th— holds	7th— holds	9th▼ down 2
Loss 0.80 PPG	9th▼ down 2	8th▼ down 1	11th▼ down 4

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 5th if every rival drops points, and as low as 8th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st

31% top 4

69% below the top 4

5.4 average finish

1st 1%
2nd 7%
3rd 11%
4th 13%
5th 18%
6th 21%
7th 20%
8th 9%
9th 1%
10th <1%
11th <1%
12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 18 remaining known games (max 2.64 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Maryland United FC Pre- II	2.67 (+1.67)	1st (2.25)	55 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
2	World Class FC Pre- ll	2.40 (+1.40)	3rd (1.86)	49 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection
3	SJEB FC Pre- Black	2.17 (+1.17)	2nd (1.90)	44 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
4	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green	2.00 (+1.00)	7th (1.61)	40 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
5	Pipeline SC Pre ll	1.86 (+0.86)	4th (1.77)	37 of 54 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection
6	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll	1.33 (+0.33)	5th (1.76)	A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link STA Pre- ll to PSA Monmouth Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

5 favour us

0 favour them

+4.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 11th hardest of 12

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 TBD	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	72%	2–1	2.31	1.26	Bank it
Sun Oct 25 11:30 AM	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4	Home Central Park	●●○○○ Lean win	62%	2–1	2.05	1.39	Swing game
Sun Nov 1 10:30 AM	PUNSC Pre- ll 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4	Home Central Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	2–1	2.22	1.51	Swing game
Sat Nov 7 11:45 AM	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2	Home Central Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	2–1	1.77	1.54	Swing game
Sun Nov 8 10:30 AM	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6	Home Central Park	●●○○○ Lean win	65%	2–1	2.13	1.61	Swing game
Sat Nov 14 TBD	World Class FC Pre- ll 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	46%	2–2	1.58	1.61	Swing game
Sat Nov 21 10:15 AM	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5	Away far trip Scott Auto Field	●●●●○ Tough	31%	1–1	1.16	1.57	Upside
Sat Dec 12 TBD	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre 8th · 1-1-2 · GD -4	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	2–1	1.77	1.58	Swing game
Sat Feb 27 TBD	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll 6th · 1-1-1 · GD +5	Home	●●●●○ Tough	39%	1–1	1.41	1.57	Upside
Sat Mar 6 TBD	Match Fit Surf Pre- II 11th · 0-1-5 · GD -20	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	85%	3–0	2.65	1.65	Bank it
Sat Mar 13 TBD	Maryland United FC Pre- II 1st · 5-1-0 · GD +13	Home	●●●●○ Tough	33%	1–2	1.21	1.62	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	Pipeline SC Pre ll 5th · 4-1-2 · GD +6	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–2	1.65	1.62	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 TBD	PUNSC Pre- ll 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4	Away	●●○○○ Lean win	59%	2–1	1.95	1.64	Swing game
Sat Apr 17 10:00 AM	SJEB FC Pre- Black 3rd · 4-1-1 · GD +6	Away far trip Tuckahoe Farm	●●●●○ Tough	34%	1–1	1.25	1.62	Upside
Sat Apr 24 TBD	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Home	●○○○○ Favorable	80%	3–1	2.52	1.67	Bank it
Sat May 1 TBD	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll 9th · 1-3-3 · GD -6	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	2–1	1.88	1.68	Swing game
Sat May 8 TBD	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green 4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2	Away	●●●○○ Toss-up	42%	2–1	1.47	1.67	Swing game
Sat May 15 TBD	World Class FC Pre- ll 2nd · 4-0-1 · GD +8	Away	●●●●○ Tough	36%	2–2	1.27	1.65	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Maryland United FC Pre- II

+13

2.67

WWWDW

-0.18

-0.09

98%

1.5

W	Sun Oct 18	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	4–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	4–3
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	4–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Pipeline SC Pre ll See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	49%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	84%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–1	42%
·	Sun Dec 20	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	4–1	90%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	2–1	46%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	3–1	66%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	3–2	60%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	3–1	63%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat May 15	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	2–1	56%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

World Class FC Pre- ll

2.40

WLWWW

-0.81

+0.12

65%

3.8

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	5–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	4–3
W	Sat Oct 3	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	4–0
L	Sat Sep 19	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	4–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 17 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	2–2	33%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–2	62%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–2	43%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	3–2	51%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	3–1	70%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	2–3	23%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	3–2	55%
·	Sat May 8	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3	38%
·	Sat May 15	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	2–2	45%
·	Sat May 22	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	3–2	55%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SJEB FC Pre- Black

2.17

WWDWL

+0.38

-0.22

71%

3.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	2–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–0
D	Sat Oct 3	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	4–1
W	Sat Aug 29	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	3–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	80%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	53%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	36%
·	Sun Mar 7	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	81%
·	Sun Mar 14	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–1	44%
·	Sun May 2	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	87%
·	Sat May 15	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–2	25%
·	Sat May 22	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	57%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green

2.00

WLW

+0.02

-0.04

27%

5.7

W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	3–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 31 vs World Class FC Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sun Dec 6	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–2	54%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	34%
·	Sat Dec 19	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	78%
·	Sat Feb 13	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3	31%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	2–2	38%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat May 1	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–3	28%
·	Sat May 8	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	37%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–2	58%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pipeline SC Pre ll

1.86

WLWDW

+0.02

-0.09

52%

4.4

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	2–1
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	3–3
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	4–2
W	Sun Aug 30	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	6–2
L	Sat Aug 29	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sat Oct 31 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at World Class FC Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	4–1	82%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–3	33%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–2	71%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	2–2	32%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	3–2	53%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	4–1	89%
·	Sat May 1	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	21%
·	Sat May 8	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	3–2	45%
·	Sat May 15	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–2	60%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll

1.33

WLD

-0.61

+0.02

54%

4.4

D	Sun Oct 18	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 3	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	6–0

Next: Sat Sep 19 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 at PUNSC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–1	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	39%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–0	82%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–1	46%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	46%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Mar 7	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat May 8	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–0	87%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

STA Pre- ll

1.00

WDLL

+0.19

-0.11

31%

5.4

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	0–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3
D	Sat Sep 26	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at PSA Monmouth Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 1 vs PUNSC Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–1	72%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	62%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	53%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–1	31%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–0	85%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–2	49%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	80%
·	Sat May 1	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	56%
·	Sat May 8	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–1	42%
·	Sat May 15	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–2	36%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre

-4

1.00

LLDW

+0.46

-0.09

8.0

W	Sun Oct 18	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	4–2
D	Sun Oct 4	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	3–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	1–4

Next: Sat Sep 19 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sat Oct 17 vs Match Fit Surf Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Sep 19 (no score yet)	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	25%
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	76%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	51%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–2	35%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Dec 12	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	28%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3	30%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat May 1	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat May 15	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	41%
·	Sun May 16	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–2	25%
·	Sat May 22	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–3	28%
·	Sun May 23	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll

-6

0.86

WDDLD

+0.20

-0.03

9.1

D	Sun Oct 18	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	0–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	3–4
D	Sun Oct 4	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	1–1
D	Sat Oct 3	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	0–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green · Sat Nov 7 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sun Nov 8 at STA Pre- ll See all 15 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–2	29%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Dec 13	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	1–3	16%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat May 1	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat May 8	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	10%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–2	39%
·	Sun May 16	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat May 22	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–2	23%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PUNSC Pre- ll

-4

0.75

LWLL

-0.45

+0.17

9.5

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–4
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–3
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	3–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–4

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs World Class FC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 1 at STA Pre- ll See all 18 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–3	22%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3	16%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	72%
·	Sun Dec 6	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	2–2	29%
·	Sat Dec 12	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Feb 13	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–3	20%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–2	52%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	2–2	29%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun May 2	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	3–1	61%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–3	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Match Fit Surf Pre- II

-20

0.17

LLLDL

+0.53

+0.04

11.7

L	Sun Oct 18	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	2–5
D	Sun Oct 4	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	1–1
L	Sat Oct 3	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	0–6
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	0–6
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 17 at Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre · Sat Oct 24 vs Pipeline SC Pre ll · Sat Nov 7 vs SJEB FC Pre- Black See all 16 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 17 (no score yet)	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Nov 14	at	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	1–3	15%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–3	11%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	0–3	6%
·	Sat Mar 13	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–3	18%
·	Sun Mar 14	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	1–2	16%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	1–4	5%
·	Sun May 2	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	1–3	22%
·	Sat May 8	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–3	5%
·	Sun May 16	vs	PSA Monmouth Pre- ll (12th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat May 22	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	0–3	5%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

PSA Monmouth Pre- ll

-10

0.00

LLL

+0.24

+0.12

11.1

L	Sat Oct 3	vs	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 19	at	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	1–3
L	Sun Aug 30	vs	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	2–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs STA Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs Maryland United FC Pre- II · Sat Nov 7 at Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–3	7%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	0–3	7%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–3	17%
·	Sat Nov 14	vs	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Dec 13	at	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Dec 19	at	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sun Dec 20	at	Maryland United FC Pre- II (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Pipeline SC Pre ll (5th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	PUNSC Pre- ll (10th)	2–2	30%
·	Sat Mar 13	at	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–3	8%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	World Class FC Pre- ll (2nd)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Baltimore Celtic Pre- Green (4th)	1–3	16%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Potomac Soccer Association Pre- ll (9th)	1–2	30%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	STA Pre- ll (7th)	1–3	8%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Delaware Football Club Sussex Pre (8th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun May 2	vs	SJEB FC Pre- Black (3rd)	1–3	13%
·	Sat May 8	vs	Penn Fusion Soccer Academy Pre- ll (6th)	1–2	12%
·	Sun May 16	at	Match Fit Surf Pre- II (11th)	2–2	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.