TableChase Clubs

Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · Oakwood Soccer Club (all teams)

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12th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-22 goal diff · 2–24
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.6
+1.79 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:00 PM

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Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0.00 PPG
at
FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 1.20 PPG

FSA-Farmington Sports Arena, Field 7 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.0 for, 3.9 against · 0.59 expected points)

Season so farOakwood Soccer Club Pre WhiteFSA FC Pre- ll
Position12th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-32-0-3
Points per game0.001.20
Goals for / game0.71.4
Goals against / game8.03.8
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L LL L W W L
Biggest win—3–2 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
Worst loss0–10 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II0–7 at SUSA FC Pre- ll
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.06-1.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.79+1.29

Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- ll — we 2–11; they 0–7. East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II — we 0–10; they 1–4.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–10 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II, 0–3 vs Manhattan SC Pre- White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 15%; a draw (13%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at FSA-Farmington Sports Arena.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Stars Pre- White sit 11th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above FC Stars Pre- White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FSA FC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White – FSA FC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds
Win
0.75 PPG		 10th▲ up 2 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1
Draw
0.25 PPG		 10th▲ up 2 11th▲ up 1 12th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG		 12th— holds 12th— holds 12th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 12th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 35%
  12. 12th 63%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 19 remaining known games (max 2.59 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.71) 66 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 60 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 3.00 (+3.00) 3rd (2.00) 66 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 44 for their projection
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 2.60 (+2.60) 2nd (2.24) 58 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 50 for their projection
4 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 2.00 (+2.00) 5th (1.54) 44 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
5 Select Pre- White 1.83 (+1.83) 4th (1.94) 41 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
6 FSA FC Pre- ll 1.20 (+1.20) 10th (1.10) 27 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7 Connecticut FC United Pre II 1.17 (+1.17) 9th (1.13) 26 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8 Manhattan SC Pre- White 1.00 (+1.00) 6th (1.28) 22 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
9 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 0.88 (+0.88) 8th (1.18) 20 of 57 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
10 AC Connecticut Pre- II 0.17 (+0.17) 11th (0.46) Already ahead
11 FC Stars Pre- White 0.00 (+0.00) 7th (1.24) Already ahead

How the results connect

7 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White to FSA FC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
6 favour them
-4.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–11 7–0 0–10 4–1 0–3 0–0 4–0 3–0 3–4 2–3 4–0 4–2 Oakwood Soccer Club… 12th SUSA FC Pre- ll 1st East Meadow Soccer … 3rd Manhattan SC Pre- W… 8th Select Pre- White 5th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEM… 9th FSA FC Pre- ll 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 24

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.01 · 5th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Sep 13
11:00 AM
no score posted		 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–4 0.38 0.10 Upside
Sat Oct 24
01:00 PM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●●● Very tough
15%		 2–3 0.59 0.19 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Connecticut FC United Pre II
7th · 2-1-3 · GD -13		 Away far trip
CFC Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–4 0.50 0.24 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 AC Connecticut Pre- II
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -23		 Away far trip
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At		 ●●●●○ Tough
34%		 2–2 1.18 0.38 Upside
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM		 Select Pre- White
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +13		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.15 0.35 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -10		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
16%		 2–4 0.60 0.38 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–4 0.31 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Away
Taunton Forekicks		 ●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–6 0.08 0.34 Upside
Sat Mar 6
11:00 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +36		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
0%		 1–8 0.02 0.32 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM		 AC Connecticut Pre- II
10th · 0-1-5 · GD -23		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
45%		 2–2 1.52 0.41 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
8th · 1-2-2 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.33 0.40 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll
4th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
5%		 1–4 0.23 0.39 Upside
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
13%		 2–4 0.50 0.40 Upside
Sat Apr 17
10:00 AM		 Connecticut FC United Pre II
7th · 2-1-3 · GD -13		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
21%		 2–4 0.77 0.42 Upside
Sat Apr 24
08:30 AM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12		 Home
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
24%		 2–3 0.87 0.44 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
9th · 2-1-5 · GD -10		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 2–4 0.37 0.44 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 Select Pre- White
5th · 3-2-1 · GD +13		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 1–5 0.08 0.42 Upside
Sat May 15
TBD		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–6 0.15 0.41 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +22		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.06 0.39 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 6600 415+36 183.00 WWWWW -1.08 -0.03 100% 1.1
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2200 103+7 63.00 WW -0.84 -0.05 92% 3.3
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5410 275+22 132.60 WWWDW -1.60 +0.21 100% 2.3
4 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 3201 75+2 62.00 WLW -0.92 +0.12 15% 5.5
5 Select Pre- White 6321 196+13 111.83 WDWDL -0.19 -0.08 89% 3.6
6 FSA FC Pre- ll 5203 719-12 61.20 LWWLL +1.29 -0.24 0% 8.4
7 Connecticut FC United Pre II 6213 1225-13 71.17 LLDLW +0.88 -0.21 0% 8.3
8 Manhattan SC Pre- White 5122 87+1 51.00 DLLWD -0.99 +0.25 1% 7.2
9 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8215 1828-10 70.88 LWLLD +0.81 -0.36 1% 7.8
10 AC Connecticut Pre- II 6015 427-23 10.17 LLLDL +0.95 -0.11 0% 11.3
11 FC Stars Pre- White 1001 23-1 00.00 L -1.12 +0.07 2% 7.5
12 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 3003 224-22 00.00 LLL +1.79 +0.01 0% 11.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.65 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.