TableChase Clubs

East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · East Meadow Soccer Club (all teams)

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3rd
4-1-0 record · 5 played
2.60 points per game
+22 goal diff · 27–5
WWWDWlast 5
99% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.5
-1.67 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 10:20 AM

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East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 2.60 PPG
at
SUSA FC Pre- ll
1st · 3.00 PPG

The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex, field 4A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.4 for, 3.7 against · 0.83 expected points)

Season so farEast Meadow Soccer Club Pre- IISUSA FC Pre- ll
Position3rd1st
Record (W-D-L)4-1-05-0-0
Points per game2.603.00
Goals for / game5.47.6
Goals against / game1.01.0
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless00
Form (recent first)W D W W WW W W W W
Biggest win10–0 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White11–2 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
Worst loss——
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+2.13+3.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-1.67-1.67

Common opponents: AC Connecticut Pre- II — we 5–0; they 9–1. Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White — we 10–0; they 11–2. SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll — we 4–0; they 4–2. Connecticut FC United Pre II — we 4–4; they 7–0. FSA FC Pre- ll — we 4–1; they 7–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    SUSA FC Pre- ll score 7.6/game — well above the league's 2.7.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    SUSA FC Pre- ll concede only 1.0/game with 2 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 23%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    SUSA FC Pre- ll have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:20 AM at The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SUSA FC Pre- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II – SUSA FC Pre- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 2.17 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2
Win
2.67 PPG		 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1 2nd▲ up 1
Draw
2.33 PPG		 3rd— holds 4th▼ down 1 4th▼ down 1
Loss
2.17 PPG		 4th▼ down 1 5th▼ down 2 5th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 3rd even if every rival loses, and as low as 5th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

10% finish 1st
99% top 4
1% below the top 4
2.5 average finish
  1. 1st 10%
  2. 2nd 48%
  3. 3rd 29%
  4. 4th 12%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.91 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 3.00 (+0.40) 1st (2.60) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 3.00 (+0.40) 4th (1.98) 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II to SUSA FC Pre- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
5 favour them
-2.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
10–0 2–11 4–0 2–4 5–0 1–9 4–1 0–7 4–4 0–7 5–2 3–2 East Meadow Soccer … 3rd Oakwood Soccer Club… 12th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEM… 8th AC Connecticut Pre-… 10th FSA FC Pre- ll 6th Connecticut FC Unit… 9th SUSA FC Pre- ll 1st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.24 · 1st hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
10:20 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +33		 Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
23%		 2–3 0.83 2.31 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:30 AM		 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●●○○○ Lean win
75%		 3–1 2.37 2.31 Bank it
Sat Nov 14
12:45 PM		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
7th · 1-2-2 · GD +1		 Away far trip
College of Mt. St. Vincent		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 2.29 Swing game
Sun Nov 15
TBD		 Select Pre- White
4th · 3-2-0 · GD +16		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%		 2–2 1.29 2.18 Upside
Sat Nov 21
11:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●○○○ Lean win
74%		 3–1 2.35 2.19 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
03:00 PM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
52%		 3–2 1.73 2.15 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 AC Connecticut Pre- II
10th · 0-1-4 · GD -20		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
92%		 5–1 2.82 2.21 Bank it
Sat Mar 13
09:30 AM		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +33		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 2–3 1.17 2.13 Upside
Sat Apr 3
09:30 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 3–2 2.06 2.12 Swing game
Sun Apr 4
09:30 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●○○○○ Favorable
83%		 4–1 2.58 2.15 Bank it
Sat Apr 10
01:00 PM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●○○○○ Favorable
84%		 4–1 2.61 2.18 Bank it
Sun Apr 11
TBD		 Connecticut FC United Pre II
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -16		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
87%		 5–1 2.69 2.21 Bank it
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
8th · 2-1-5 · GD -10		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 4–1 2.48 2.23 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD		 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Away
●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 3–1 2.10 2.22 Swing game
Sun May 2
09:30 AM		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
7th · 1-2-2 · GD +1		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams		 ●●○○○ Lean win
73%		 3–1 2.34 2.23 Bank it
Sun May 16
09:30 AM		 Select Pre- White
4th · 3-2-0 · GD +16		 Home
East Meadow Field of Dreams · turf		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
47%		 2–2 1.61 2.20 Swing game
Sun May 23
TBD		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -22		 Away
●○○○○ Favorable
96%		 6–1 2.91 2.23 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 5500 385+33 153.00 WWWWW -1.67 +0.08 100% 1.2
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2200 103+7 63.00 WW -1.00 -0.02 90% 3.6
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5410 275+22 132.60 WWWDW -1.67 +0.24 99% 2.5
4 Select Pre- White 5320 193+16 112.20 WWDWD -1.08 +0.11 96% 3.0
5 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 3201 75+2 62.00 WLW -0.87 +0.12 12% 5.5
6 FSA FC Pre- ll 5203 719-12 61.20 LWWLL +1.35 -0.25 0% 8.3
7 Manhattan SC Pre- White 5122 87+1 51.00 DLLWD -0.90 +0.23 2% 7.0
8 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8215 1828-10 70.88 LWLLD +0.82 -0.35 0% 7.8
9 Connecticut FC United Pre II 5113 925-16 40.80 WLLDL +1.66 -0.30 0% 9.0
10 AC Connecticut Pre- II 5014 424-20 10.20 LLLLD +1.49 -0.20 0% 11.1
11 FC Stars Pre- White 1001 23-1 00.00 L -1.13 +0.08 1% 7.3
12 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 3003 224-22 00.00 LLL +1.77 +0.03 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.