TableChase Clubs

AC Connecticut Pre- II

Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · AC Connecticut (all teams)

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10th
0-1-4 record · 5 played
0.20 points per game
-20 goal diff · 4–24
LLLLDlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.1
+1.49 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:00 PM

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AC Connecticut Pre- II
10th · 0.20 PPG
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Connecticut FC United Pre II
9th · 0.80 PPG

CFC Park, Field 1 A ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.5 against · 0.81 expected points)

Season so farAC Connecticut Pre- IIConnecticut FC United Pre II
Position10th9th
Record (W-D-L)0-1-41-1-3
Points per game0.200.80
Goals for / game0.81.8
Goals against / game4.85.0
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless13
Form (recent first)D L L L LL D L L W
Biggest win—5–2 at SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
Worst loss1–9 at SUSA FC Pre- ll0–7 at Select Pre- White
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-2.13-1.43
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.49+1.66

Common opponents: East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II — we 0–5; they 4–4. SUSA FC Pre- ll — we 1–9; they 0–7. Select Pre- White — we 1–6; they 0–7.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    Connecticut FC United Pre II concede 5.0/game; worst result 0–7 at Select Pre- White.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 22%; a draw (15%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 12:00 PM at CFC Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Connecticut FC United Pre II game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (AC Connecticut Pre- II – Connecticut FC United Pre II) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.17 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Win
0.67 PPG		 10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Draw
0.33 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2
Loss
0.17 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 12th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
11.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 2%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 62%
  12. 12th 26%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.36 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 3.00 (+2.80) 1st (2.60) 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 57 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 3.00 (+2.80) 4th (1.98) 65 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 43 for their projection
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 2.60 (+2.40) 2nd (2.23) 57 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 49 for their projection
4 Select Pre- White 2.20 (+2.00) 3rd (2.11) 48 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection
5 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 2.00 (+1.80) 5th (1.55) 43 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
6 FSA FC Pre- ll 1.20 (+1.00) 9th (1.10) 26 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
7 Manhattan SC Pre- White 1.00 (+0.80) 6th (1.29) 21 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
8 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 0.88 (+0.68) 8th (1.17) 19 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
9 Connecticut FC United Pre II 0.80 (+0.60) 10th (1.00) 17 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection

How the results connect

9 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link AC Connecticut Pre- II to Connecticut FC United Pre II through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

2 favour us
7 favour them
-3.1 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–9 7–0 1–6 7–0 0–5 4–4 1–1 3–4 2–5 4–0 1–3 2–3 0–0 2–2 4–2 AC Connecticut Pre-… 10th SUSA FC Pre- ll 1st Select Pre- White 4th East Meadow Soccer … 3rd Manhattan SC Pre- W… 7th East Coast Surf SC … 5th SUSA FC Pre- ACADEM… 8th Connecticut FC Unit… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 6th 12th Sep 12 Sep 19 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.20 · 9th hardest of 12

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
12:00 PM		 Connecticut FC United Pre II
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -16		 Away far trip
CFC Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.81 0.30 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM		 FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12		 Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 1–3 0.81 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -22		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 3–2 1.82 0.56 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
03:00 PM		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
8th · 2-1-5 · GD -10		 Home
Western Connecticut State University - Westside At · turf?		 ●●●●● Very tough
22%		 2–3 0.83 0.59 Upside
Sat Nov 14
09:00 AM		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Away far trip
Walpole Soccer Complex · turf		 ●●●●● Very tough
4%		 1–5 0.16 0.54 Upside
Sun Nov 15
11:00 AM		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Away far trip
FC Stars Soccer Complex		 ●●●●● Very tough
12%		 1–3 0.48 0.54 Upside
Sat Mar 6
TBD		 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +22		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
3%		 1–5 0.13 0.50 Upside
Sat Mar 13
10:00 AM		 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White
12th · 0-0-3 · GD -22		 Away far trip
Oakwood Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
43%		 2–2 1.47 0.58 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
TBD		 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
9%		 1–3 0.37 0.56 Upside
Sun Apr 4
TBD		 Manhattan SC Pre- White
7th · 1-2-2 · GD +1		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
11%		 1–2 0.48 0.56 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD		 FC Stars Pre- White
11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–3 0.71 0.57 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD		 FSA FC Pre- ll
6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%		 2–2 1.10 0.60 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD		 Select Pre- White
4th · 3-2-0 · GD +16		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%		 0–4 0.11 0.57 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll
8th · 2-1-5 · GD -10		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
15%		 1–3 0.56 0.57 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD		 SUSA FC Pre- ll
1st · 5-0-0 · GD +33		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
1%		 1–6 0.05 0.54 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Scorpions SC PRE- ll
2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 1–4 0.27 0.53 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD		 Connecticut FC United Pre II
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -16		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
32%		 2–3 1.13 0.56 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 SUSA FC Pre- ll 5500 385+33 153.00 WWWWW -1.67 +0.08 100% 1.2
2 Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2200 103+7 63.00 WW -1.00 -0.02 90% 3.6
3 East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 5410 275+22 132.60 WWWDW -1.67 +0.24 99% 2.5
4 Select Pre- White 5320 193+16 112.20 WWDWD -1.08 +0.11 97% 3.0
5 East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 3201 75+2 62.00 WLW -0.87 +0.12 11% 5.5
6 FSA FC Pre- ll 5203 719-12 61.20 LWWLL +1.35 -0.25 0% 8.3
7 Manhattan SC Pre- White 5122 87+1 51.00 DLLWD -0.90 +0.23 1% 7.0
8 SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8215 1828-10 70.88 LWLLD +0.82 -0.35 0% 7.8
9 Connecticut FC United Pre II 5113 925-16 40.80 WLLDL +1.66 -0.30 0% 9.1
10 AC Connecticut Pre- II 5014 424-20 10.20 LLLLD +1.49 -0.20 0% 11.1
11 FC Stars Pre- White 1001 23-1 00.00 L -1.13 +0.08 1% 7.3
12 Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 3003 224-22 00.00 LLL +1.77 +0.03 0% 11.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.