Manhattan SC Pre- White
Pre-ECNL Boys · Pre- New England BU12 · 12 teams · Manhattan SC (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 02:30 PM
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.8 for, 2.4 against · 1.07 expected points)
| Season so far | Manhattan SC Pre- White | Scorpions SC PRE- ll |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 7th | 2nd |
| Record (W-D-L) | 1-2-2 | 2-0-0 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals for / game | 1.6 | 5.0 |
| Goals against / game | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | D W L L D | W W |
| Biggest win | 3–0 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White | 5–0 at Connecticut FC United Pre II |
| Worst loss | 3–4 vs SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll | — |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.02 | +1.20 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.90 | -1.00 |
Common opponents: SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll — we 3–4; they 5–3.
Game plan
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Respect their attack
Scorpions SC PRE- ll score 5.0/game — well above the league's 2.7.Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–0 at Select Pre- White.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 29%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
FSA FC Pre- ll sit 6th on 1.20 PPG; we are on 1.00.A point moves us above FSA FC Pre- ll on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Scorpions SC PRE- ll game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Manhattan SC Pre- White – Scorpions SC PRE- ll) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Loss · 0.83 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 | 12th▼ down 5 |
| Win 1.33 PPG |
6th▲ up 1 | 8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 |
| Draw 1.00 PPG |
7th— holds | 8th▼ down 1 | 10th▼ down 3 |
| Loss 0.83 PPG |
8th▼ down 1 | 9th▼ down 2 | 12th▼ down 5 |
Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 12th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th 1%
- 5th 14%
- 6th 28%
- 7th 23%
- 8th 16%
- 9th 12%
- 10th 6%
- 11th <1%
- 12th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 17 remaining known games (max 2.55 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ll | 3.00 (+2.00) | 1st (2.60) | 61 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 53 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Scorpions SC PRE- ll | 3.00 (+2.00) | 4th (1.98) | 61 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection |
| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II | 2.60 (+1.60) | 2nd (2.23) | 53 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 45 for their projection |
| 4 | Select Pre- White | 2.20 (+1.20) | 3rd (2.11) | 44 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection |
| 5 | East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll | 2.00 (+1.00) | 5th (1.55) | 39 of 51 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 6 | FSA FC Pre- ll | 1.20 (+0.20) | 9th (1.10) | A point next game |
How the results connect
5 chains · 6 teams
Paths of results that link Manhattan SC Pre- White to Scorpions SC PRE- ll through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
8 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.23 · 2nd hardest of 12
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 24 02:30 PM |
Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7 |
Home Randall's Island |
●●●●○ Tough | 29% |
1–2 | 1.07 | 1.01 | Upside |
| Sun Oct 25 02:15 PM |
FC Stars Pre- White 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Home Randall's Island |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 49% |
2–1 | 1.68 | 1.11 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 31 12:00 PM |
Connecticut FC United Pre II 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -16 |
Away far trip
CFC Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
2–1 | 1.83 | 1.20 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
FSA FC Pre- ll 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12 |
Away far trip
FSA-Farmington Sports Arena |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 52% |
2–1 | 1.75 | 1.26 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 14 12:45 PM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +22 |
Home College of Mt. St. Vincent |
●●●●● Very tough | 18% |
1–2 | 0.73 | 1.21 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 15 11:50 AM |
SUSA FC Pre- ll 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +33 |
Away far trip
The SUSA Orlin & Cohen Sports Complex |
●●●●● Very tough | 6% |
1–4 | 0.28 | 1.12 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 6 TBD |
East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll 5th · 2-0-1 · GD +2 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 41% |
1–1 | 1.45 | 1.15 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Connecticut FC United Pre II 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -16 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
2–1 | 2.12 | 1.22 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 14 TBD |
FSA FC Pre- ll 6th · 2-0-3 · GD -12 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 61% |
2–1 | 2.02 | 1.28 | Swing game |
| Sat Apr 3 TBD |
Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White 12th · 0-0-3 · GD -22 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 83% |
3–1 | 2.58 | 1.37 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 4 TBD |
AC Connecticut Pre- II 10th · 0-1-4 · GD -20 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 74% |
2–1 | 2.37 | 1.43 | Bank it |
| Sat Apr 10 11:00 PM |
Select Pre- White 4th · 3-2-0 · GD +16 |
Home Randall's Island |
●●●●● Very tough | 20% |
1–2 | 0.80 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 09:00 AM |
Scorpions SC PRE- ll 2nd · 2-0-0 · GD +7 |
Away Taunton Forekicks |
●●●●● Very tough | 21% |
1–2 | 0.81 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
FC Stars Pre- White 11th · 0-0-1 · GD -1 |
Away |
●●●●○ Tough | 39% |
1–1 | 1.39 | 1.36 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ll 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +33 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 11% |
1–3 | 0.44 | 1.32 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 09:30 AM |
East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +22 |
Away far trip
East Meadow Field of Dreams |
●●●●● Very tough | 12% |
1–3 | 0.51 | 1.28 | Upside |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll 8th · 2-1-5 · GD -10 |
Away |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
2–1 | 1.53 | 1.29 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | SUSA FC Pre- ll | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 5 | +33 | 15 | 3.00 | WWWWW | -1.67 | +0.08 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Select Pre- White · Sun Nov 1 vs East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II · Sat Nov 14 at East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Scorpions SC PRE- ll | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 6 | 3.00 | WW | -1.00 | -0.02 | 90% | 3.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 vs Select Pre- White · Sat Oct 24 at Manhattan SC Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 at East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll See all 20 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | East Meadow Soccer Club Pre- II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 5 | +22 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -1.67 | +0.24 | 99% | 2.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at SUSA FC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 7 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll · Sat Nov 14 at Manhattan SC Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Select Pre- White | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 3 | +16 | 11 | 2.20 | WWDWD | -1.08 | +0.11 | 97% | 3.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Sep 26 at Scorpions SC PRE- ll · Sat Oct 24 vs SUSA FC Pre- ll · Thu Oct 29 at FC Stars Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 2.00 | WLW | -0.87 | +0.12 | 11% | 5.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Stars Pre- White · Sun Oct 25 vs Scorpions SC PRE- ll See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | FSA FC Pre- ll | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 6 | 1.20 | LWWLL | +1.35 | -0.25 | 0% | 8.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sun Oct 25 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sat Oct 31 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | Manhattan SC Pre- White | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | DLLWD | -0.90 | +0.23 | 1% | 7.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Scorpions SC PRE- ll · Sun Oct 25 vs FC Stars Pre- White · Sat Oct 31 at Connecticut FC United Pre II See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | SUSA FC Pre- ACADEMY ll | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 7 | 0.88 | LWLLD | +0.82 | -0.35 | 0% | 7.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at FC Stars Pre- White · Sat Nov 7 at AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sun Nov 8 at Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Connecticut FC United Pre II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 4 | 0.80 | WLLDL | +1.66 | -0.30 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs AC Connecticut Pre- II · Sun Oct 25 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White · Sat Oct 31 vs Manhattan SC Pre- White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | AC Connecticut Pre- II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 24 | -20 | 1 | 0.20 | LLLLD | +1.49 | -0.20 | 0% | 11.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Connecticut FC United Pre II · Sun Oct 25 at FSA FC Pre- ll · Sun Nov 1 vs Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White See all 17 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | FC Stars Pre- White | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | L | -1.13 | +0.08 | 1% | 7.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Manhattan SC Pre- White · Thu Oct 29 vs Select Pre- White See all 21 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Oakwood Soccer Club Pre White | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 24 | -22 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +1.77 | +0.03 | 0% | 11.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Sep 13 vs East Coast Surf SC Pre- ll · Sat Oct 24 at FSA FC Pre- ll · Sun Oct 25 at Connecticut FC United Pre II See all 19 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.73 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.