TableChase Clubs

Beach Futbol Club Gold

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU18/19 · 17 teams · Beach Futbol Club (all teams)

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1st
4-0-0 record · 4 played
3.00 points per game
+11 goal diff · 17–6
WWWWlast 4
92% chance of top 4 · expected finish 2.5
-0.09 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Nov 1, 08:00 AM

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Beach Futbol Club Gold
1st · 3.00 PPG
at
Legends FC - Del Mar
8th · 1.33 PPG

Miramesa High School , Field 1 - Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.5 for, 1.3 against · 2.06 expected points)

Season so farBeach Futbol Club GoldLegends FC - Del Mar
Position1st8th
Record (W-D-L)4-0-02-2-2
Points per game3.001.33
Goals for / game4.31.2
Goals against / game1.51.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)W W W WD L D W L
Biggest win6–0 at LAFC2–0 vs Rebels SC
Worst loss—0–3 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.43-0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.09+0.13

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 5–3; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 63% / draw 18% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Miramesa High School .

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Beach Futbol Club Gold – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
3.00 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.60 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.40 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 4th▼ down 3 4th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–1 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

29% finish 1st
92% top 4
8% below the top 4
2.5 average finish
  1. 1st 29%
  2. 2nd 25%
  3. 3rd 22%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th <1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

7 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link Beach Futbol Club Gold to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
0 favour them
+3.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
5–3 3–2 3–2 2–1 0–0 1–3 3–0 6–0 0–1 0–2 0–3 1–1 4–0 2–2 Beach Futbol Club G… 1st SLAMMERS FC 6th Legends FC 3rd LAFC 11th Eagles SC 12th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2nd Rebels SC 13th Phoenix Rising FC 9th Legends FC - Del Mar 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

7 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.11 · 13th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -1
Away far trip
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.06 2.81 Swing game
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
Blues
14th · 0-2-1 · GD -5
Home
El Camino College · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable
85%
4–1 2.64 2.78 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
10:15 AM
Rebels SC
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.29 2.71 Bank it
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC
12th · 0-3-1 · GD -1
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
62%
2–1 2.04 2.63 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
San Diego Surf
7th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.27 2.59 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -5
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
3–1 2.26 2.56 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +5
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
45%
2–2 1.54 2.46 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -12
Away
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
4–0 2.80 2.49 Bank it
Sun Apr 18
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
4th · 4-2-0 · GD +11
Home
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.23 2.39 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
86%
4–1 2.65 2.41 Bank it
Sat May 1
TBD
Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +12
Home
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.13 2.33 Upside
Sat May 22
TBD
Sporting California USA
15th · 0-2-2 · GD -5
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–0 2.56 2.34 Bank it

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4400 176+11 123.00 WWWW -0.09 -0.11 92% 2.5
2 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5410 131+12 132.60 WWDWW -0.49 +0.05 93% 2.5
3 Legends FC 6501 214+17 152.50 WLWWW -0.35 -0.03 96% 2.2
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 6420 121+11 142.33 DDWWW -0.42 +0.09 77% 3.6
5 Arizona Arsenal 3201 94+5 62.00 WWL -0.24 -0.04 34% 4.9
6 SLAMMERS FC 5302 1211+1 91.80 LWWWL +0.07 -0.09 7% 6.6
7 San Diego Surf 5221 98+1 81.60 DLWWD -0.16 +0.01 1% 7.7
8 Legends FC - Del Mar 6222 78-1 81.33 LWDLD +0.13 -0.11 0% 8.8
9 Phoenix Rising FC 6123 813-5 50.83 DDLWL +0.48 -0.31 0% 9.8
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 5113 611-5 40.80 LDWLL -0.30 +0.14 0% 13.1
11 LAFC 5113 513-8 40.80 LLDLW -0.10 +0.07 0% 13.5
12 Eagles SC 4031 45-1 30.75 LDDD -0.05 -0.03 0% 9.7
13 Rebels SC 4103 15-4 30.75 LWLL +0.39 -0.11 0% 11.8
14 Blues 3021 38-5 20.67 DLD +0.42 -0.08 0% 12.2
15 Sporting California USA 4022 27-5 20.50 DDLL +0.62 -0.18 0% 12.3
16 LA Breakers 4004 113-12 00.00 LLLL +0.66 -0.13 0% 16.0
17 LV Heat Surf 3003 012-12 00.00 LLL +1.13 -0.17 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.