TableChase Clubs

Pateadores Soccer Club

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU18/19 · 17 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 18 minutes ago.
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10th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-5 goal diff · 6–11
LDWLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 13.2
-0.30 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Pateadores Soccer Club
10th · 0.80 PPG
vs
Legends FC - Del Mar
8th · 1.33 PPG

Laguna Hills High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.3 for, 1.6 against · 1.15 expected points)

Season so farPateadores Soccer ClubLegends FC - Del Mar
Position10th8th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-32-2-2
Points per game0.801.33
Goals for / game1.21.2
Goals against / game2.21.3
Clean sheets12
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L L W D LD L D W L
Biggest win3–0 vs LA Breakers2–0 vs Rebels SC
Worst loss0–4 at Slammers FC HB Koge0–3 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.74-0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.30+0.13

Common opponents: Eagles SC — we 1–1; they 0–0. SLAMMERS FC — we 1–3; they 2–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 at Slammers FC HB Koge.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 30%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Phoenix Rising FC sit 9th on 0.83 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above Phoenix Rising FC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 0.83 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Win
1.17 PPG		 8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 10th— holds
Draw
0.83 PPG		 10th— holds 11th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 4
Loss
0.67 PPG		 14th▼ down 4 13th▼ down 3 16th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–1 draw we stay 10th even if every rival loses, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
13.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 2%
  9. 9th 4%
  10. 10th 7%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 14%
  13. 13th 15%
  14. 14th 19%
  15. 15th 19%
  16. 16th 10%
  17. 17th 2%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.31 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 3.00 (+2.20) 2nd (2.34) 44 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2.60 (+1.80) 3rd (2.33) 38 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC 2.50 (+1.70) 1st (2.37) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.33 (+1.53) 4th (2.15) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
5 Arizona Arsenal 2.00 (+1.20) 5th (1.92) 28 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
6 SLAMMERS FC 1.80 (+1.00) 6th (1.64) 25 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 San Diego Surf 1.60 (+0.80) 7th (1.49) 22 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
8 Legends FC - Del Mar 1.33 (+0.53) 8th (1.34) 18 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9 Phoenix Rising FC 0.83 (+0.03) 10th (1.21) Already ahead

How the results connect

8 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
7 favour them
-2.9 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 0–0 1–3 3–2 1–3 3–0 1–3 2–2 0–4 2–0 0–2 0–1 0–3 1–1 1–1 1–2 Pateadores Soccer C… 10th Eagles SC 12th SLAMMERS FC 6th LAFC 11th Slammers FC HB Koge 4th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2nd Rebels SC 13th Phoenix Rising FC 9th San Diego Surf 7th Legends FC - Del Mar 8th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 1st hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
08:30 AM
no score posted		 Rebels SC
13th · 1-0-3 · GD -4		 Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
32%		 1–1 1.25 0.87 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM		 Legends FC - Del Mar
8th · 2-2-2 · GD -1		 Home
Laguna Hills High School · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
30%		 1–1 1.15 0.91 Upside
Sun Nov 1
09:00 AM		 Blues
14th · 0-2-1 · GD -5		 Away
Tesoro High School - Stadium · turf?		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.23 0.95 Upside
Sun Nov 8
09:00 AM		 Sporting California USA
15th · 0-2-2 · GD -5		 Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire		 ●●●●○ Tough
33%		 1–1 1.26 0.99 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD		 Legends FC
3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +17		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 0–3 0.28 0.92 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD		 Phoenix Rising FC
9th · 1-2-3 · GD -5		 Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%		 1–2 1.02 0.93 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD		 LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -12		 Home
●●○○○ Lean win
64%		 2–1 2.10 1.02 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
TBD		 Beach Futbol Club Gold
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +11		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
6%		 1–4 0.26 0.97 Upside
Sun May 2
TBD		 Arizona Arsenal
5th · 2-0-1 · GD +5		 Away
●●●●● Very tough
10%		 1–3 0.44 0.93 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD		 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL
2nd · 4-1-0 · GD +12		 Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%		 0–2 0.36 0.89 Upside
Sun May 23
09:00 AM		 San Diego Surf
7th · 2-2-1 · GD +1		 Away far trip
Surf Sports Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.76 0.88 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4400 176+11 123.00 WWWW -0.09 -0.11 93% 2.5
2 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5410 131+12 132.60 WWDWW -0.49 +0.05 93% 2.5
3 Legends FC 6501 214+17 152.50 WLWWW -0.35 -0.03 96% 2.2
4 Slammers FC HB Koge 6420 121+11 142.33 DDWWW -0.42 +0.09 78% 3.5
5 Arizona Arsenal 3201 94+5 62.00 WWL -0.24 -0.04 33% 4.9
6 SLAMMERS FC 5302 1211+1 91.80 LWWWL +0.07 -0.09 6% 6.6
7 San Diego Surf 5221 98+1 81.60 DLWWD -0.16 +0.01 2% 7.6
8 Legends FC - Del Mar 6222 78-1 81.33 LWDLD +0.13 -0.11 0% 8.7
9 Phoenix Rising FC 6123 813-5 50.83 DDLWL +0.48 -0.31 0% 10.0
10 Pateadores Soccer Club 5113 611-5 40.80 LDWLL -0.30 +0.14 0% 13.2
11 LAFC 5113 513-8 40.80 LLDLW -0.10 +0.07 0% 13.5
12 Eagles SC 4031 45-1 30.75 LDDD -0.05 -0.03 0% 9.7
13 Rebels SC 4103 15-4 30.75 LWLL +0.39 -0.11 0% 11.8
14 Blues 3021 38-5 20.67 DLD +0.42 -0.08 0% 12.2
15 Sporting California USA 4022 27-5 20.50 DDLL +0.62 -0.18 0% 12.2
16 LA Breakers 4004 113-12 00.00 LLLL +0.66 -0.13 0% 16.0
17 LV Heat Surf 3003 012-12 00.00 LLL +1.13 -0.17 0% 15.8

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.63 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.