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SLAMMERS FC

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU16 · 17 teams · Slammers FC (all teams)

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7th
2-0-3 record · 5 played
1.20 points per game
+2 goal diff · 7–5
LWWLLlast 5
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.1
+0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 12:30 PM

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SLAMMERS FC
7th · 1.20 PPG
vs
Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 2.67 PPG

Orange County Great Park, Field 24 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.9 for, 1.6 against · 0.86 expected points)

Season so farSLAMMERS FCSlammers FC HB Koge
Position7th2nd
Record (W-D-L)2-0-35-1-0
Points per game1.202.67
Goals for / game1.42.8
Goals against / game1.00.5
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless30
Form (recent first)L L W W LW W W W W
Biggest win4–1 vs Legends FC - Del Mar6–0 vs Rebels SC
Worst loss0–2 at Utah Royals FC-AZ RL—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.32+1.47
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.41-0.25

Common opponents: Pateadores Soccer Club — we 0–1; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Slammers FC HB Koge score 2.8/game — well above the league's 1.6.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Hard to break down
    Slammers FC HB Koge concede only 0.5/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–2 at Utah Royals FC-AZ RL, 0–1 at Pateadores Soccer Club, 0–1 at Beach Futbol Club Gold.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 20%; a draw (25%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Slammers FC HB Koge have won 5 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Slammers FC HB Koge game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (SLAMMERS FC – Slammers FC HB Koge) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 6
Win
1.50 PPG
7th— holds 7th— holds 7th— holds
Draw
1.17 PPG
8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2 12th▼ down 5
Loss
1.00 PPG
8th▼ down 1 9th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 6

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we fall to at least 8th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
7.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 17%
  7. 7th 44%
  8. 8th 18%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.44 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 3.00 (+1.80) 1st (2.67) 42 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.67 (+1.47) 2nd (2.38) 37 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2.60 (+1.40) 4th (2.15) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.60 (+1.40) 3rd (2.23) 36 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 San Diego Surf 2.50 (+1.30) 6th (1.94) 34 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
6 Legends FC 2.17 (+0.97) 5th (1.97) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection

How the results connect

6 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link SLAMMERS FC to Slammers FC HB Koge through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

1 favour us
5 favour them
-2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–1 0–1 4–0 0–4 4–1 1–2 2–3 3–0 2–1 0–6 0–2 1–1 SLAMMERS FC 7th Pateadores Soccer C… 4th Beach Futbol Club G… 1st Legends FC - Del Mar 14th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 3rd LA Breakers 11th San Diego Surf 5th Rebels SC 13th Slammers FC HB Koge 2nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.23 · 16th hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
12:30 PM
Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 5-1-0 · GD +14
Home
Orange County Great Park
●●●●● Very tough
20%
0–1 0.86 1.14 Upside
Sun Nov 1
02:15 PM
LA Breakers
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -10
Home
Saddleback College · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
71%
2–0 2.30 1.31 Bank it
Sun Nov 22
TBD
Eagles SC
8th · 2-0-3 · GD -5
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–0 1.80 1.37 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 1.44 Swing game
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LAFC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Away
●●○○○ Lean win
64%
1–0 2.16 1.51 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Phoenix Rising FC
12th · 1-1-4 · GD -5
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
1–0 1.80 1.54 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
16th · 0-1-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
1–0 1.74 1.55 Swing game
Sun Apr 18
TBD
San Diego Surf
5th · 5-0-1 · GD +6
Home
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.45 1.54 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Rebels SC
13th · 0-2-2 · GD -7
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
68%
1–0 2.23 1.59 Swing game
Sun May 2
TBD
Blues
15th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
1–0 1.85 1.61 Swing game
Sun May 9
TBD
Legends FC
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Away
●●●●○ Tough
28%
1–1 1.06 1.58 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4400 170+17 123.00 WWWW -0.23 -0.13 100% 1.3
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 6510 173+14 162.67 WWWWW -0.25 -0.06 94% 2.6
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5410 143+11 132.60 WWWDW -0.81 +0.22 68% 3.9
4 Pateadores Soccer Club 5410 101+9 132.60 DWWWW -0.24 -0.04 79% 3.5
5 San Diego Surf 6501 159+6 152.50 WWWWW -0.27 +0.05 25% 5.3
6 Legends FC 6411 179+8 132.17 DLWWW -0.16 -0.04 32% 5.1
7 SLAMMERS FC 5203 75+2 61.20 LWWLL +0.41 -0.23 3% 7.1
8 Eagles SC 5203 49-5 61.20 LLWLW -0.04 +0.01 0% 10.2
9 LAFC 5113 111-10 40.80 LDLWL +0.24 -0.05 0% 14.2
10 Sporting California USA 4103 913-4 30.75 WLLL +0.67 -0.23 0% 9.1
11 LA Breakers 4103 212-10 30.75 LLWL +1.08 -0.31 0% 12.7
12 Phoenix Rising FC 6114 611-5 40.67 LWLLL -0.06 +0.05 0% 12.1
13 Rebels SC 4022 29-7 20.50 LDLD +0.10 +0.03 0% 13.9
14 Legends FC - Del Mar 6105 516-11 30.50 LLLLL -0.00 +0.09 0% 15.2
15 Blues 3012 46-2 10.33 LDL +0.38 -0.10 0% 10.3
16 Arizona Arsenal 3012 14-3 10.33 DLL -0.05 +0.02 0% 11.7
17 LV Heat Surf 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +0.77 -0.10 0% 14.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.