Arizona Arsenal

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU16 · 17 teams · Arizona Arsenal Soccer Club (all teams)

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16th

0-1-2 record · 3 played

0.33 points per game

-3 goal diff · 1–4

DLLlast 3

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 11.7

-0.05 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 11:00 AM

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Arizona Arsenal
16th · 0.33 PPG

Blues
15th · 0.33 PPG

OC Great Park, Field 19 ↗ far trip

27% 27% 46%

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 1.0 for, 1.4 against · 1.07 expected points)

Season so far	Arizona Arsenal	Blues
Position	16th	15th
Record (W-D-L)	0-1-2	0-1-2
Points per game	0.33	0.33
Goals for / game	0.3	1.3
Goals against / game	1.3	2.0
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	2	0
Form (recent first)	L L D	L D L
Biggest win	—	—
Worst loss	0–2 at Slammers FC HB Koge	2–3 at Sporting California USA
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-0.45	-0.24
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.05	+0.38

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–0 at Phoenix Rising FC, 0–2 at Slammers FC HB Koge.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 27%; a draw (27%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Away game
Kickoff 11:00 AM at OC Great Park.
Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.
What a win does
Blues sit 15th on 0.33 PPG; we are on 0.33.
A point moves us above Blues on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Blues game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Arizona Arsenal – Blues) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 5 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.25 PPG	16th— holds	16th— holds	17th▼ down 1
Win 1.00 PPG	9th▲ up 7	10th▲ up 6	12th▲ up 4
Draw 0.50 PPG	14th▲ up 2	14th▲ up 2	17th▼ down 1
Loss 0.25 PPG	16th— holds	16th— holds	17th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 0–1 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

11.7 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th <1%
6th <1%
7th 2%
8th 7%
9th 11%
10th 13%
11th 16%
12th 15%
13th 11%
14th 10%
15th 7%
16th 5%
17th 3%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.50 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	Beach Futbol Club Gold	3.00 (+2.67)	1st (2.67)	47 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Slammers FC HB Koge	2.67 (+2.34)	2nd (2.38)	42 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection
3	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL	2.60 (+2.27)	4th (2.15)	41 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
4	Pateadores Soccer Club	2.60 (+2.27)	3rd (2.23)	41 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection
5	San Diego Surf	2.50 (+2.17)	6th (1.94)	39 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
6	Legends FC	2.17 (+1.84)	5th (1.97)	34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
7	SLAMMERS FC	1.20 (+0.87)	7th (1.58)	19 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
8	Eagles SC	1.20 (+0.87)	9th (1.15)	19 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9	LAFC	0.80 (+0.47)	15th (0.74)	A point next game
10	Sporting California USA	0.75 (+0.42)	8th (1.30)	A point next game
11	LA Breakers	0.75 (+0.42)	13th (0.90)	A point next game
12	Phoenix Rising FC	0.67 (+0.34)	12th (0.93)	A point next game
13	Rebels SC	0.50 (+0.17)	14th (0.74)	A point next game
14	Legends FC - Del Mar	0.50 (+0.17)	17th (0.63)	A point next game
15	Blues	0.33 (+0.00)	10th (1.14)	Already ahead

How the results connect

4 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Arizona Arsenal to Blues through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

3 even

1 favour them

-1.0 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

4 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.02 · 6th hardest of 17

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 24 11:00 AM	Blues 15th · 0-1-2 · GD -2	Away far trip OC Great Park	●●●●○ Tough	27%	0–1	1.07	0.52	Upside
Sun Oct 25 11:00 AM	Rebels SC 13th · 0-2-2 · GD -7	Away far trip Monte Vista High School · turf?	●●●●○ Tough	40%	1–0	1.50	0.71	Upside
Sat Nov 21 08:00 AM	LV Heat Surf 17th · 0-0-3 · GD -10	Home Arizona Athletic Grounds	●●●○○ Toss-up	56%	1–0	1.92	0.92	Swing game
Sun Nov 22 11:00 AM	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +11	Away Bell Road Sports Complex	●●●●● Very tough	9%	0–2	0.46	0.85	Upside
Sat Mar 20 TBD	LAFC 9th · 1-1-3 · GD -10	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	52%	1–0	1.85	0.98	Swing game
Sun Mar 21 TBD	Eagles SC 8th · 2-0-3 · GD -5	Home	●●●●○ Tough	39%	1–0	1.47	1.03	Upside
Sat Apr 3 TBD	San Diego Surf 5th · 5-0-1 · GD +6	Home	●●●●● Very tough	22%	1–1	0.88	1.02	Upside
Sun Apr 4 TBD	Beach Futbol Club Gold 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17	Home	●●●●● Very tough	5%	0–2	0.27	0.95	Upside
Sun Apr 11 TBD	SLAMMERS FC 7th · 2-0-3 · GD +2	Home	●●●●● Very tough	23%	0–1	0.97	0.95	Upside
Sun Apr 25 TBD	Legends FC - Del Mar 14th · 1-0-5 · GD -11	Home	●●●○○ Toss-up	53%	1–0	1.85	1.02	Swing game
Sun May 2 TBD	Pateadores Soccer Club 4th · 4-1-0 · GD +9	Home	●●●●● Very tough	12%	0–1	0.60	0.99	Upside
Sat May 22 TBD	Legends FC 6th · 4-1-1 · GD +8	Away	●●●●● Very tough	13%	0–2	0.56	0.96	Upside
Sun May 23 TBD	Sporting California USA 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4	Away	●●●●○ Tough	27%	1–1	1.03	0.96	Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

Beach Futbol Club Gold

+17

3.00

WWWW

-0.23

-0.13

100%

1.3

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Legends FC (6th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	4–0
W	Sun Sep 13	at	LAFC (9th)	8–0

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 8 vs Blues · Sun Nov 22 at Rebels SC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Blues (15th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Rebels SC (13th)	3–0	91%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Eagles SC (8th)	2–0	86%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	3–0	87%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	2–0	83%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	4–0	95%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	1–1	56%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–0	56%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	2–0	65%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	4–0	94%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Slammers FC HB Koge

+14

2.67

WWWWW

-0.25

-0.06

94%

2.6

W	Sun Oct 18	at	LA Breakers (11th)	4–0
W	Sun Oct 4	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	2–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	6–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	3–2
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at SLAMMERS FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 vs Phoenix Rising FC See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–0	55%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	LAFC (9th)	2–0	85%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	2–0	82%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Eagles SC (8th)	2–0	75%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Legends FC (6th)	2–1	63%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	1–1	21%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	3–0	89%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Blues (15th)	2–0	78%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–0	92%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Utah Royals FC-AZ RL

+11

2.60

WWWDW

-0.81

+0.22

68%

3.8

W	Sun Oct 11	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–0
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Rebels SC (13th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 27	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	3–1
W	Sun Sep 20	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	5–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	2–0

Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sat Mar 20 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Mar 21 vs Sporting California USA See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	2–0	73%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	3–1	79%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	LAFC (9th)	2–0	86%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	2–1	60%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	2–0	77%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Blues (15th)	2–0	72%
·	Sat May 1	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–2	15%
·	Sun May 2	at	LA Breakers (11th)	2–0	81%
·	Sat May 15	at	Legends FC (6th)	2–1	45%
·	Sun May 16	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–1	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Pateadores Soccer Club

2.60

DWWWW

-0.24

-0.04

77%

3.5

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	LAFC (9th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–0
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	3–0
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	1–1

Next: Sun Oct 4 at Rebels SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 1 at Blues See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	at	Rebels SC (13th)	2–0	75%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	2–0	86%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Blues (15th)	1–0	63%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Legends FC (6th)	1–1	56%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–0	68%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	3–0	88%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–1	19%
·	Sun May 2	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	1–0	64%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–1	44%
·	Sun May 23	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

San Diego Surf

2.50

WWWWW

-0.27

+0.05

25%

5.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Blues (15th)	2–1
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	2–0
W	Sun Oct 11	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	2–1
W	Sun Sep 27	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	5–3
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	2–3

Next: Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 15 at LV Heat Surf · Sun Mar 21 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Rebels SC (13th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	3–1	77%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–3	7%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	1–1	55%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–2	21%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Legends FC (6th)	1–2	30%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	LAFC (9th)	2–0	80%
·	Sun May 9	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	3–1	79%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–1	24%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC

2.17

DLWWW

-0.16

-0.04

34%

5.0

W	Sun Oct 18	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	5–1
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	5–3
W	Sun Oct 4	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–4
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Blues (15th)	1–1
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	3–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 8 vs LAFC · Sun Nov 22 at LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Rebels SC (13th)	2–1	74%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	LAFC (9th)	3–0	84%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	LA Breakers (11th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	1–2	18%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	2–1	51%
·	Sat May 1	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–1	80%
·	Sun May 9	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–1	50%
·	Sat May 15	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–2	33%
·	Sat May 22	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	2–0	69%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SLAMMERS FC

1.20

LWWLL

+0.41

-0.23

7.3

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	3–0
W	Sun Sep 20	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	4–1
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers · Sun Nov 22 at Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–1	20%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	2–0	71%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Eagles SC (8th)	1–0	51%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	LAFC (9th)	1–0	64%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–0	52%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	1–0	48%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–0	68%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Blues (15th)	1–0	54%
·	Sun May 9	at	Legends FC (6th)	1–1	28%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Eagles SC

-5

1.20

LLWLW

-0.04

+0.01

10.3

W	Sun Oct 18	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	0–2
W	Sat Sep 26	at	LAFC (9th)	1–0
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Legends FC (6th)	0–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Phoenix Rising FC · Sat Nov 7 at Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 8 vs Slammers FC HB Koge See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	26%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–2	9%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	22%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–2	4%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–1	31%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	51%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2	8%
·	Sat May 1	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	58%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–0	49%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Blues (15th)	1–1	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LAFC

-10

0.80

LDLWL

+0.24

-0.05

14.2

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–0
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	0–1
D	Sun Sep 20	at	Rebels SC (13th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 13	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–8

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Breakers · Sat Oct 31 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–2	4%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Legends FC (6th)	0–3	5%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Blues (15th)	0–1	15%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–1	19%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	13%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2	4%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	1–1	36%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	0–2	7%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	13%
·	Sun May 2	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	39%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sporting California USA

-4

0.75

WLLL

+0.67

-0.23

9.1

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Legends FC (6th)	3–5
L	Sun Sep 27	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	3–5
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–1
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Blues (15th)	3–2

Next: Sun Oct 25 at LV Heat Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Eagles SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Pateadores Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	2–1	65%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Nov 8	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	1–2	13%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–2	22%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–3	9%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	2–1	54%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	LAFC (9th)	2–1	71%
·	Sat May 1	at	LA Breakers (11th)	2–1	58%
·	Sun May 9	at	Rebels SC (13th)	2–1	55%
·	Sun May 16	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–1	72%
·	Sat May 22	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–4	2%
·	Sun May 23	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	1–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LA Breakers

-10

0.75

LLWL

+1.08

-0.31

12.6

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–4
W	Sat Oct 3	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	2–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–4

Next: Sun Oct 25 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 at SLAMMERS FC · Sun Nov 22 vs Legends FC See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	LAFC (9th)	1–1	39%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–2	11%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Legends FC (6th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Blues (15th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Eagles SC (8th)	1–1	25%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Apr 18	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	24%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2	7%
·	Sun May 9	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–3	9%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Phoenix Rising FC

-5

0.67

LWLLL

-0.06

+0.05

12.1

L	Sun Oct 18	at	Legends FC (6th)	1–5
L	Sat Oct 17	at	LAFC (9th)	0–1
L	Sun Oct 11	at	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	3–0
L	Sun Sep 27	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–3
D	Sun Sep 13	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Eagles SC · Sun Nov 1 at Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 15 vs Rebels SC See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Eagles SC (8th)	1–1	33%
·	Sun Nov 1	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–2	6%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–1	50%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	59%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Blues (15th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–1	11%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–3	4%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	23%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	44%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Rebels SC

-7

0.50

LDLD

+0.10

+0.03

13.9

D	Sat Oct 10	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–1
L	Sun Sep 27	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–6
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	LAFC (9th)	0–0
L	Sun Sep 13	at	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	1–2

Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Arizona Arsenal See all 12 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 4 (no score yet)	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–2	8%
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Legends FC (6th)	1–2	11%
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–1	30%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2	14%
·	Sun Nov 15	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–1	25%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–3	2%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Apr 11	at	Blues (15th)	0–1	19%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	34%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	12%
·	Sun May 9	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	25%
·	Sun May 16	at	Eagles SC (8th)	0–1	25%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Legends FC - Del Mar

-11

0.50

LLLLL

-0.00

+0.09

15.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 11	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–3
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2
L	Sun Sep 20	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	1–4
W	Sun Sep 13	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	2–1

Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–2	4%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	40%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–1	37%
·	Sun Apr 4	at	Blues (15th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	LAFC (9th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–1	22%
·	Sat May 1	vs	Legends FC (6th)	1–3	8%
·	Sun May 16	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun May 23	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–3	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Blues

-2

0.33

LDL

+0.38

-0.10

10.2

L	Sun Oct 18	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 20	vs	Legends FC (6th)	1–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	2–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	1–0	46%
·	Sun Nov 1	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–1	15%
·	Sun Nov 8	at	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Nov 22	vs	LAFC (9th)	1–0	63%
·	Sat Mar 20	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–1	41%
·	Sun Mar 21	at	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	52%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	2–1	65%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–0	58%
·	Sat Apr 17	at	LV Heat Surf (17th)	2–1	59%
·	Sun Apr 25	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2	11%
·	Sun May 2	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	22%
·	Sun May 16	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–2	8%
·	Sun May 23	at	Eagles SC (8th)	1–1	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Arizona Arsenal

-3

0.33

DLL

-0.05

+0.02

11.7

L	Sun Oct 4	at	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 3	at	LA Breakers (11th)	1–2
D	Sun Sep 13	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	0–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Blues · Sun Oct 25 at Rebels SC · Sat Nov 21 vs LV Heat Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Blues (15th)	0–1	27%
·	Sun Oct 25	at	Rebels SC (13th)	1–0	40%
·	Sat Nov 21	vs	LV Heat Surf (17th)	1–0	56%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	0–2	9%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	LAFC (9th)	1–0	52%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Eagles SC (8th)	1–0	39%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–1	22%
·	Sun Apr 4	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–2	5%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–1	23%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	1–0	53%
·	Sun May 2	vs	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–1	12%
·	Sat May 22	at	Legends FC (6th)	0–2	13%
·	Sun May 23	at	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–1	27%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

LV Heat Surf

-10

0.00

LLL

+0.77

-0.10

15.0

L	Sun Oct 4	vs	Legends FC (6th)	0–3
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SLAMMERS FC (7th)	0–3
L	Sun Sep 20	vs	Utah Royals FC-AZ RL (3rd)	1–5

Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 15 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Nov 21 at Arizona Arsenal See all 13 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sun Oct 25	vs	Sporting California USA (10th)	1–2	19%
·	Sun Nov 15	vs	San Diego Surf (5th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Nov 21	at	Arizona Arsenal (16th)	0–1	20%
·	Sun Nov 22	at	Phoenix Rising FC (12th)	1–1	20%
·	Sat Mar 20	vs	Rebels SC (13th)	1–1	35%
·	Sun Mar 21	vs	Legends FC - Del Mar (14th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	LA Breakers (11th)	1–1	36%
·	Sun Apr 11	vs	Beach Futbol Club Gold (1st)	0–4	1%
·	Sat Apr 17	vs	Blues (15th)	1–2	20%
·	Sun Apr 18	at	Pateadores Soccer Club (4th)	0–3	3%
·	Sun Apr 25	vs	Slammers FC HB Koge (2nd)	0–3	3%
·	Sat May 1	at	Eagles SC (8th)	1–1	20%
·	Sun May 2	at	LAFC (9th)	1–1	34%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.