TableChase Clubs

Legends FC - Del Mar

ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU16 · 17 teams · Legends FC - Del Mar (all teams)

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14th
1-0-5 record · 6 played
0.50 points per game
-11 goal diff · 5–16
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.2
-0.00 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM

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Legends FC - Del Mar
14th · 0.50 PPG
at
Pateadores Soccer Club
4th · 2.60 PPG

Laguna Hills High School, Stadium ↗ · turf? far trip

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–2 (expected goals 0.5 for, 3.0 against · 0.21 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC - Del MarPateadores Soccer Club
Position14th4th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-54-1-0
Points per game0.502.60
Goals for / game0.82.0
Goals against / game2.70.2
Clean sheets04
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)L L L L LW W W W D
Biggest win2–1 vs Rebels SC3–0 vs Eagles SC
Worst loss1–4 at SLAMMERS FC—
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.30+1.06
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.00-0.24

Common opponents: SLAMMERS FC — we 1–4; they 1–0. Eagles SC — we 1–3; they 3–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    Pateadores Soccer Club concede only 0.2/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs Phoenix Rising FC, 0–3 vs Utah Royals FC-AZ RL.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 4%; a draw (10%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    Pateadores Soccer Club have won 4 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:00 PM at Laguna Hills High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Rebels SC sit 13th on 0.50 PPG; we are on 0.50.

    A point moves us above Rebels SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Pateadores Soccer Club game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC - Del Mar – Pateadores Soccer Club) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.43 PPG
14th— holds 15th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 3
Win
0.86 PPG
9th▲ up 5 11th▲ up 3 15th▼ down 1
Draw
0.57 PPG
13th▲ up 1 15th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 3
Loss
0.43 PPG
14th— holds 15th▼ down 1 17th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–2 loss we finish as high as 13th if every rival drops points, and as low as 17th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
15.2 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 2%
  12. 12th 5%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 18%
  16. 16th 24%
  17. 17th 29%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.06 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 3.00 (+2.50) 1st (2.67) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 2.67 (+2.17) 2nd (2.38) 40 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 2.60 (+2.10) 4th (2.15) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 Pateadores Soccer Club 2.60 (+2.10) 3rd (2.23) 39 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 San Diego Surf 2.50 (+2.00) 6th (1.94) 37 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
6 Legends FC 2.17 (+1.67) 5th (1.97) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
7 SLAMMERS FC 1.20 (+0.70) 7th (1.58) 17 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 Eagles SC 1.20 (+0.70) 9th (1.15) 17 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 LAFC 0.80 (+0.30) 15th (0.74) A point next game
10 Sporting California USA 0.75 (+0.25) 8th (1.30) A point next game
11 LA Breakers 0.75 (+0.25) 13th (0.90) A point next game
12 Phoenix Rising FC 0.67 (+0.17) 12th (0.93) A point next game
13 Rebels SC 0.50 (+0.00) 14th (0.74) Already ahead

How the results connect

9 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC - Del Mar to Pateadores Soccer Club through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
9 favour them
-3.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–4 0–1 1–3 0–3 2–1 0–0 0–2 0–3 2–0 1–2 2–3 1–1 2–0 1–0 0–6 0–3 0–1 Legends FC - Del Mar 14th SLAMMERS FC 7th Eagles SC 8th Rebels SC 13th Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 3rd San Diego Surf 5th Phoenix Rising FC 12th LAFC 9th Slammers FC HB Koge 2nd Pateadores Soccer C… 4th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

9 chains

Position over the season

12 game days

1st 9th 17th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.09 · 2nd hardest of 17

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
01:00 PM
Pateadores Soccer Club
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +9
Away far trip
Laguna Hills High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–2 0.21 0.46 Upside
Sun Nov 1
12:00 PM
Beach Futbol Club Gold
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17
Home
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
1%
0–4 0.08 0.41 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LA Breakers
11th · 1-0-3 · GD -10
Home
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.42 0.52 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-3 · GD -10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
37%
1–1 1.35 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 4
01:00 PM
Blues
15th · 0-1-2 · GD -2
Away far trip
Tesoro High School - Stadium · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.68 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 18
TBD
LAFC
9th · 1-1-3 · GD -10
Away
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.36 0.68 Upside
Sun Apr 25
TBD
Arizona Arsenal
16th · 0-1-2 · GD -3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
0–1 0.90 0.69 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Legends FC
6th · 4-1-1 · GD +8
Home
●●●●● Very tough
8%
1–3 0.37 0.67 Upside
Sun May 16
TBD
Sporting California USA
10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4
Away
●●●●● Very tough
14%
1–3 0.57 0.66 Upside
Sun May 23
TBD
Slammers FC HB Koge
2nd · 5-1-0 · GD +14
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–3 0.13 0.63 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4400 170+17 123.00 WWWW -0.23 -0.13 100% 1.3
2 Slammers FC HB Koge 6510 173+14 162.67 WWWWW -0.25 -0.06 94% 2.6
3 Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 5410 143+11 132.60 WWWDW -0.81 +0.22 67% 3.9
4 Pateadores Soccer Club 5410 101+9 132.60 DWWWW -0.24 -0.04 77% 3.5
5 San Diego Surf 6501 159+6 152.50 WWWWW -0.27 +0.05 26% 5.3
6 Legends FC 6411 179+8 132.17 DLWWW -0.16 -0.04 34% 5.0
7 SLAMMERS FC 5203 75+2 61.20 LWWLL +0.41 -0.23 3% 7.2
8 Eagles SC 5203 49-5 61.20 LLWLW -0.04 +0.01 0% 10.2
9 LAFC 5113 111-10 40.80 LDLWL +0.24 -0.05 0% 14.3
10 Sporting California USA 4103 913-4 30.75 WLLL +0.67 -0.23 0% 9.1
11 LA Breakers 4103 212-10 30.75 LLWL +1.08 -0.31 0% 12.7
12 Phoenix Rising FC 6114 611-5 40.67 LWLLL -0.06 +0.05 0% 12.0
13 Rebels SC 4022 29-7 20.50 LDLD +0.10 +0.03 0% 14.0
14 Legends FC - Del Mar 6105 516-11 30.50 LLLLL -0.00 +0.09 0% 15.2
15 Blues 3012 46-2 10.33 LDL +0.38 -0.10 0% 10.2
16 Arizona Arsenal 3012 14-3 10.33 DLL -0.05 +0.02 0% 11.7
17 LV Heat Surf 3003 111-10 00.00 LLL +0.77 -0.10 0% 14.9

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.