Pateadores Soccer Club
ECNL Regional League Girls · Southwest GU16 · 17 teams · Pateadores Soccer Club (all teams)
Next game — Sun Oct 25, 01:00 PM
Laguna Hills High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?
●○○○○ Favorable to win
Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 3.0 for, 0.5 against · 2.69 expected points)
| Season so far | Pateadores Soccer Club | Legends FC - Del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 14th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 4-1-0 | 1-0-5 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.50 |
| Goals for / game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals against / game | 0.2 | 2.7 |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 0 | 2 |
| Form (recent first) | W W W W D | L L L L L |
| Biggest win | 3–0 vs Eagles SC | 2–1 vs Rebels SC |
| Worst loss | — | 1–4 at SLAMMERS FC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +1.06 | -1.30 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.24 | -0.00 |
Common opponents: Eagles SC — we 3–0; they 1–3. SLAMMERS FC — we 1–0; they 1–4.
Game plan
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They leak goals — be greedy
Legends FC - Del Mar concede 2.7/game; worst result 1–4 at SLAMMERS FC.Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.
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Expected win — the trap is complacency
Model gives a 86% chance; likely score 2–0.Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.
-
Confidence is low on their side
Legends FC - Del Mar have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.
-
What a win does
Utah Royals FC-AZ RL sit 3rd on 2.60 PPG; we are on 2.60.A point moves us above Utah Royals FC-AZ RL on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Sunday goes…
Where we'd sit after the Legends FC - Del Mar game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Pateadores Soccer Club – Legends FC - Del Mar) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 6 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Win · 2.67 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Win 2.67 PPG |
3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 | 3rd▲ up 1 |
| Draw 2.33 PPG |
5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 | 5th▼ down 1 |
| Loss 2.17 PPG |
6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 | 6th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–0 win we finish as high as 2nd if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st 5%
- 2nd 19%
- 3rd 30%
- 4th 24%
- 5th 15%
- 6th 7%
- 7th 1%
- 8th <1%
- 9th
- 10th
- 11th
- 12th
- 13th
- 14th
- 15th
- 16th
- 17th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.88 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 3.00 (+0.40) | 1st (2.67) | 35 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection |
| 2 | Slammers FC HB Koge | 2.67 (+0.07) | 2nd (2.38) | 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection |
| 3 | Utah Royals FC-AZ RL | 2.60 (+0.00) | 4th (2.15) | A point next game |
How the results connect
9 chains · 10 teams
Paths of results that link Pateadores Soccer Club to Legends FC - Del Mar through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
12 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty -0.04 · 8th hardest of 17
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4 12:15 PM no score posted |
Rebels SC 13th · 0-2-2 · GD -7 |
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 75% |
2–0 | 2.43 | 2.57 | Bank it |
| Sun Oct 25 01:00 PM |
Legends FC - Del Mar 14th · 1-0-5 · GD -11 |
Home Laguna Hills High School · turf? |
●○○○○ Favorable | 86% |
2–0 | 2.69 | 2.59 | Bank it |
| Sun Nov 1 01:00 PM |
Blues 15th · 0-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away Tesoro High School - Stadium · turf? |
●●○○○ Lean win | 63% |
1–0 | 2.12 | 2.53 | Swing game |
| Sun Nov 8 09:00 AM |
Sporting California USA 10th · 1-0-3 · GD -4 |
Away far trip
Ontario Sports Empire |
●●○○○ Lean win | 70% |
2–1 | 2.27 | 2.50 | Bank it |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
Legends FC 6th · 4-1-1 · GD +8 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 56% |
1–1 | 1.91 | 2.44 | Swing game |
| Sun Mar 21 TBD |
Phoenix Rising FC 12th · 1-1-4 · GD -5 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 68% |
1–0 | 2.26 | 2.42 | Swing game |
| Sun Apr 18 TBD |
LV Heat Surf 17th · 0-0-3 · GD -10 |
Home |
●○○○○ Favorable | 88% |
3–0 | 2.73 | 2.45 | Bank it |
| Sun Apr 25 TBD |
Beach Futbol Club Gold 1st · 4-0-0 · GD +17 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 19% |
0–1 | 0.81 | 2.32 | Upside |
| Sun May 2 TBD |
Arizona Arsenal 16th · 0-1-2 · GD -3 |
Away |
●●○○○ Lean win | 64% |
1–0 | 2.16 | 2.31 | Swing game |
| Sun May 16 TBD |
Utah Royals FC-AZ RL 3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +11 |
Home |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 44% |
1–1 | 1.59 | 2.26 | Swing game |
| Sun May 23 11:00 AM |
San Diego Surf 5th · 5-0-1 · GD +6 |
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 51% |
1–1 | 1.78 | 2.23 | Swing game |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | Beach Futbol Club Gold | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | +17 | 12 | 3.00 | WWWW | -0.23 | -0.13 | 100% | 1.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 8 vs Blues · Sun Nov 22 at Rebels SC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Slammers FC HB Koge | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 3 | +14 | 16 | 2.67 | WWWWW | -0.25 | -0.06 | 94% | 2.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at SLAMMERS FC · Sat Oct 31 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 vs Phoenix Rising FC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Utah Royals FC-AZ RL | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 | 2.60 | WWWDW | -0.81 | +0.22 | 67% | 3.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 22 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sat Mar 20 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Mar 21 vs Sporting California USA See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | Pateadores Soccer Club | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 13 | 2.60 | DWWWW | -0.24 | -0.04 | 77% | 3.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 at Rebels SC · Sun Oct 25 vs Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Nov 1 at Blues See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | San Diego Surf | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +6 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWWW | -0.27 | +0.05 | 26% | 5.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Nov 1 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 15 at LV Heat Surf · Sun Mar 21 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Legends FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 13 | 2.17 | DLWWW | -0.16 | -0.04 | 34% | 5.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Rebels SC · Sun Nov 8 vs LAFC · Sun Nov 22 at LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | SLAMMERS FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 6 | 1.20 | LWWLL | +0.41 | -0.23 | 2% | 7.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 1 vs LA Breakers · Sun Nov 22 at Eagles SC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Eagles SC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 | 1.20 | LLWLW | -0.04 | +0.01 | 0% | 10.3 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Phoenix Rising FC · Sat Nov 7 at Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 8 vs Slammers FC HB Koge See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | LAFC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 4 | 0.80 | LDLWL | +0.24 | -0.05 | 0% | 14.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs LA Breakers · Sat Oct 31 vs Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 8 at Legends FC See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 3 | 0.75 | WLLL | +0.67 | -0.23 | 0% | 9.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LV Heat Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Eagles SC · Sun Nov 8 vs Pateadores Soccer Club See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | LA Breakers | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 3 | 0.75 | LLWL | +1.08 | -0.31 | 0% | 12.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at LAFC · Sun Nov 1 at SLAMMERS FC · Sun Nov 22 vs Legends FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | Phoenix Rising FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 | 0.67 | LWLLL | -0.06 | +0.05 | 0% | 12.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 at Eagles SC · Sun Nov 1 at Slammers FC HB Koge · Sun Nov 15 vs Rebels SC See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | Rebels SC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 2 | 0.50 | LDLD | +0.10 | +0.03 | 0% | 14.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 4 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sat Oct 24 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs Arizona Arsenal See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | Legends FC - Del Mar | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 3 | 0.50 | LLLLL | -0.00 | +0.09 | 0% | 15.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 1 vs Beach Futbol Club Gold · Sat Mar 20 vs LA Breakers See all 10 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Blues | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | 0.33 | LDL | +0.38 | -0.10 | 0% | 10.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Arizona Arsenal · Sun Nov 1 vs Pateadores Soccer Club · Sun Nov 8 at Beach Futbol Club Gold See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | Arizona Arsenal | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | 0.33 | DLL | -0.05 | +0.02 | 0% | 11.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Blues · Sun Oct 25 at Rebels SC · Sat Nov 21 vs LV Heat Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | LV Heat Surf | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | -10 | 0 | 0.00 | LLL | +0.77 | -0.10 | 0% | 15.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 15 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Nov 21 at Arizona Arsenal See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.58 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.