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Sting Royal NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU13 · 20 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 8 minutes ago.
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10th
1-3-0 record · 4 played
1.50 points per game
+2 goal diff · 8–6
DWDDlast 4
4% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.1
-0.21 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:00 PM

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Sting Royal NTX
10th · 1.50 PPG
at
Sting Royal NTX Bold
13th · 1.17 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 10 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.2 against · 1.22 expected points)

Season so farSting Royal NTXSting Royal NTX Bold
Position10th13th
Record (W-D-L)1-3-02-1-3
Points per game1.501.17
Goals for / game2.02.8
Goals against / game1.52.0
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless01
Form (recent first)D D W DL L D W W
Biggest win2–0 vs Sting Black NTX7–1 at Fever United FC NTX
Worst loss—1–3 vs DKSC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.24+0.33
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.21-0.74

Common opponents: DKSC NTX — we 2–2; they 1–3. DKSC WHITE NTX — we 3–3; they 0–2. FC Dallas Youth Red NTX — we 1–1; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 34%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:00 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX sit 9th on 1.60 PPG; we are on 1.50.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Red NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Sting Royal NTX Bold game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Royal NTX – Sting Royal NTX Bold) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.20 PPG
13th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 3
Win
1.80 PPG
8th▲ up 2 8th▲ up 2 10th— holds
Draw
1.40 PPG
10th— holds 10th— holds 12th▼ down 2
Loss
1.20 PPG
13th▼ down 3 12th▼ down 2 13th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we fall to at least 11th even if every rival loses, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
4% top 4
96% below the top 4
9.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 13%
  8. 8th 12%
  9. 9th 12%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 8%
  13. 13th 6%
  14. 14th 4%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 11 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+1.50) 1st (2.74) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 36 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 3.00 (+1.50) 2nd (2.69) 39 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Brave NTX 2.40 (+0.90) 3rd (2.15) 30 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.33 (+0.83) 4th (1.95) 29 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+0.50) 6th (1.61) 24 of 33 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.80 (+0.30) 5th (1.95) Win next game
7 Alpha Forms NTX 1.80 (+0.30) 10th (1.48) Win next game
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 1.60 (+0.10) 7th (1.56) A point next game
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 1.60 (+0.10) 12th (1.35) A point next game

How the results connect

10 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Royal NTX to Sting Royal NTX Bold through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

6 favour us
3 even
1 favour them
+1.3 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–1 3–3 3–3 2–0 2–2 3–1 2–0 1–3 1–5 6–0 0–5 6–2 2–2 2–1 Sting Royal NTX 10th FC Dallas Youth Red… 9th DKSC WHITE NTX 4th DKSC NTX 12th Sting Black NTX 17th Dallas Texans Red N… 19th Sting Royal NTX Bold 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

10 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.10 · 13th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
07:00 PM
Sting Royal NTX Bold
13th · 2-1-3 · GD +5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
34%
1–2 1.22 1.44 Upside
Sat Oct 31
01:30 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–1 1.15 1.40 Upside
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
Alpha Forms NTX
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
2–2 1.27 1.38 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:40 AM
Fever United FC NTX
20th · 0-0-5 · GD -42
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
91%
5–1 2.78 1.55 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
11:40 AM
NTX Celtic FC NTX
18th · 0-2-3 · GD -14
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
74%
2–1 2.37 1.64 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
11:40 AM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
5th · 3-1-1 · GD +9
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.31 1.61 Upside
Sat Feb 27
03:20 PM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
14th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
49%
2–1 1.65 1.61 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
16th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.82 1.63 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas NTX
11th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.65 1.63 Swing game
Sat Apr 10
09:50 AM
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.24 1.61 Upside
Sat Apr 24
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +33
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–4 0.28 1.52 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4400 341+33 123.00 WWWW -1.41 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 5500 342+32 153.00 WWWWW -1.26 +0.18 100% 1.7
3 Sting Brave NTX 5401 227+15 122.40 WLWWW -0.85 +0.23 83% 3.7
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 6420 207+13 142.33 WDDWW -0.66 +0.69 47% 5.0
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 5311 145+9 102.00 WWWDL -1.72 +0.62 9% 8.0
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 5302 126+6 91.80 LLWWW +1.00 -0.41 47% 5.0
7 Alpha Forms NTX 5302 1611+5 91.80 WWWLL -0.99 +0.54 4% 9.6
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5221 1412+2 81.60 LDDWW +0.17 -0.03 5% 8.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5221 1113-2 81.60 WWLDD +0.84 +0.29 1% 11.1
10 Sting Royal NTX 4130 86+2 61.50 DWDD -0.21 -0.10 4% 9.1
11 Nido Dallas NTX 5212 712-5 71.40 DWLLW +0.52 +0.23 0% 13.3
12 DKSC NTX 6222 1411+3 81.33 DDLWL -0.29 -0.03 1% 9.3
13 Sting Royal NTX Bold 6213 1712+5 71.17 WWDLL -0.74 +0.29 1% 10.2
14 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 1014-4 40.80 LLLDW -0.67 +0.19 0% 14.4
15 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 812-4 40.80 LDLWL -0.25 +0.21 0% 14.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5113 1015-5 40.80 WLLDL +1.43 -0.46 0% 12.4
17 Sting Black NTX 5104 527-22 30.60 LLLWL +1.25 -0.29 0% 17.4
18 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5023 418-14 20.40 DLDLL +0.65 -0.38 0% 16.8
19 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6015 229-27 10.17 LLLLD +1.01 -0.31 0% 18.9
20 Fever United FC NTX 5005 547-42 00.00 LLLLL +1.39 -0.38 0% 19.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.