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Fever United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU13 · 20 teams · Fever United (all teams)

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20th
0-0-5 record · 5 played
0.00 points per game
-42 goal diff · 5–47
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 19.7
+1.39 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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Fever United FC NTX
20th · 0.00 PPG
vs
NTX Celtic FC NTX
18th · 0.40 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 7 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 2–3 (expected goals 2.2 for, 3.6 against · 0.78 expected points)

Season so farFever United FC NTXNTX Celtic FC NTX
Position20th18th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-50-2-3
Points per game0.000.40
Goals for / game1.00.8
Goals against / game9.43.6
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)L L L L LL L D L D
Biggest win——
Worst loss1–14 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX1–10 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-4.74-1.58
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.39+0.65

Common opponents: Alpha Forms NTX — we 2–8; they 0–3. Dallas Cosmos SC NTX — we 1–14; they 1–10.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    NTX Celtic FC NTX average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.5); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–12 vs Sting Brave NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (14%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Dallas Texans Red NTX sit 19th on 0.17 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above Dallas Texans Red NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the NTX Celtic FC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC NTX – NTX Celtic FC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Win
0.50 PPG
18th▲ up 2 18th▲ up 2 19th▲ up 1
Draw
0.17 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
20th— holds 20th— holds 20th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–3 loss we stay 20th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
19.7 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th 1%
  18. 18th 4%
  19. 19th 22%
  20. 20th 73%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.00 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.74) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 42 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 3.00 (+3.00) 2nd (2.69) 45 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Brave NTX 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (2.15) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.33 (+2.33) 4th (1.95) 35 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.61) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.80 (+1.80) 5th (1.95) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
7 Alpha Forms NTX 1.80 (+1.80) 10th (1.48) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 7th (1.56) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 1.60 (+1.60) 12th (1.35) 24 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
10 Sting Royal NTX 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.52) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
11 Nido Dallas NTX 1.40 (+1.40) 14th (1.15) 21 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
12 DKSC NTX 1.33 (+1.33) 9th (1.49) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
13 Sting Royal NTX Bold 1.17 (+1.17) 11th (1.38) 18 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
14 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 15th (1.04) 12 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
15 SOLAR RED NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 16th (1.03) 12 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 0.80 (+0.80) 13th (1.21) 12 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
17 Sting Black NTX 0.60 (+0.60) 18th (0.70) 9 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
18 NTX Celtic FC NTX 0.40 (+0.40) 17th (0.77) A point next game
19 Dallas Texans Red NTX 0.17 (+0.17) 19th (0.42) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC NTX to NTX Celtic FC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
8 favour them
-5.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–8 3–0 1–14 10–1 4–1 2–0 1–6 2–1 0–1 1–1 6–0 2–2 3–0 0–4 Fever United FC NTX 20th Alpha Forms NTX 7th Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 2nd Kernow Storm FC NTX 5th SOLAR RED NTX 15th Nido Dallas NTX 11th NTX Celtic FC Green… 8th NTX Celtic FC NTX 18th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.38 · 17th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
NTX Celtic FC NTX
18th · 0-2-3 · GD -14
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
2–3 0.78 0.13 Upside
Sat Oct 31
09:50 AM
SOLAR RED NTX
15th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–5 0.20 0.14 Upside
Sat Nov 7
05:10 PM
DKSC NTX
12th · 2-2-2 · GD +3
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.08 0.13 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:40 AM
Sting Royal NTX
10th · 1-3-0 · GD +2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–5 0.16 0.13 Upside
Sat Feb 20
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
16th · 1-1-3 · GD -5
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
1–6 0.12 0.13 Upside
Sun Feb 21
05:10 PM
Sting Black NTX
17th · 1-0-4 · GD -22
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
2–4 0.60 0.18 Upside
Sat Feb 27
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas NTX
11th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.36 0.19 Upside
Sat Mar 6
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
1st · 4-0-0 · GD +33
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.18 Upside
Sat Apr 3
03:20 PM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
14th · 1-1-3 · GD -4
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
7%
2–5 0.30 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 10
03:20 PM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
19th · 0-1-5 · GD -27
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
2–3 1.04 0.24 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4400 341+33 123.00 WWWW -1.41 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 5500 342+32 153.00 WWWWW -1.26 +0.18 100% 1.7
3 Sting Brave NTX 5401 227+15 122.40 WLWWW -0.85 +0.23 82% 3.7
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 6420 207+13 142.33 WDDWW -0.66 +0.69 47% 5.0
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 5311 145+9 102.00 WWWDL -1.72 +0.62 8% 8.1
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 5302 126+6 91.80 LLWWW +1.00 -0.41 46% 5.1
7 Alpha Forms NTX 5302 1611+5 91.80 WWWLL -0.99 +0.54 3% 9.5
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5221 1412+2 81.60 LDDWW +0.17 -0.03 7% 8.6
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5221 1113-2 81.60 WWLDD +0.84 +0.29 1% 11.2
10 Sting Royal NTX 4130 86+2 61.50 DWDD -0.21 -0.10 5% 8.9
11 Nido Dallas NTX 5212 712-5 71.40 DWLLW +0.52 +0.23 0% 13.2
12 DKSC NTX 6222 1411+3 81.33 DDLWL -0.29 -0.03 1% 9.2
13 Sting Royal NTX Bold 6213 1712+5 71.17 WWDLL -0.74 +0.29 1% 10.3
14 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 1014-4 40.80 LLLDW -0.67 +0.19 0% 14.5
15 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 812-4 40.80 LDLWL -0.25 +0.21 0% 14.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5113 1015-5 40.80 WLLDL +1.43 -0.46 0% 12.5
17 Sting Black NTX 5104 527-22 30.60 LLLWL +1.25 -0.29 0% 17.4
18 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5023 418-14 20.40 DLDLL +0.65 -0.38 0% 16.9
19 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6015 229-27 10.17 LLLLD +1.01 -0.31 0% 18.9
20 Fever United FC NTX 5005 547-42 00.00 LLLLL +1.39 -0.38 0% 19.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.