NTX Celtic FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU13 · 20 teams · NTX Celtic FC (all teams)

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15th

1-2-3 record · 6 played

0.83 points per game

-9 goal diff · 9–18

LDLLWlast 5

0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 15.4

-0.50 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 31, 09:50 AM

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NTX Celtic FC NTX
15th · 0.83 PPG

DKSC NTX
10th · 1.57 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 7 ↗

21% 18% 61%

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.5 for, 2.6 against · 0.82 expected points)

Season so far	NTX Celtic FC NTX	DKSC NTX
Position	15th	10th
Record (W-D-L)	1-2-3	3-2-2
Points per game	0.83	1.57
Goals for / game	1.5	2.4
Goals against / game	3.0	1.7
Clean sheets	1	0
Held scoreless	2	1
Form (recent first)	W L L D L	W L W L D
Biggest win	5–0 at Fever United FC NTX	6–2 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX
Worst loss	1–10 at Dallas Cosmos SC NTX	0–2 at Sting Brave NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)	-1.04	+0.44
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)	-0.50	-0.21

Common opponents: SOLAR RED NTX — we 0–2; they 3–1.

Game plan

Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–3 vs Alpha Forms NTX, 0–2 vs SOLAR RED NTX.
Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 21%; a draw (18%) would be a good result.
Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
Early kickoff
Game time 09:50 AM.
Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.
What a win does
Sting Black NTX sit 14th on 1.00 PPG; we are on 0.83.
A point moves us above Sting Black NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the DKSC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NTX Celtic FC NTX – DKSC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 26 – Sun Nov 1); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our result	Rivals don't play	Likely results	Every rival wins
– Loss · 0.71 PPG	16th▼ down 1	17th▼ down 2	18th▼ down 3
Win 1.14 PPG	14th▲ up 1	15th— holds	16th▼ down 1
Draw 0.86 PPG	15th— holds	16th▼ down 1	18th▼ down 3
Loss 0.71 PPG	16th▼ down 1	17th▼ down 2	18th▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 15th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st

0% top 4

100% below the top 4

15.4 average finish

1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th <1%
6th
7th <1%
8th 1%
9th 1%
10th 2%
11th 2%
12th 5%
13th 8%
14th 13%
15th 15%
16th 17%
17th 19%
18th 17%
19th 1%
20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 9 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).

#	Team	PPG	Proj.	To pass them
1	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX	3.00 (+2.17)	1st (2.86)	40 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX	2.50 (+1.67)	2nd (2.54)	33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3	Sting Brave NTX	2.50 (+1.67)	3rd (2.28)	33 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4	DKSC WHITE NTX	2.33 (+1.50)	4th (1.95)	30 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5	Kernow Storm FC NTX	2.00 (+1.17)	7th (1.56)	25 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
6	SOLAR BLUE NTX	1.80 (+0.97)	5th (1.93)	22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
7	Alpha Forms NTX	1.80 (+0.97)	10th (1.49)	22 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
8	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX	1.60 (+0.77)	9th (1.52)	19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
9	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX	1.60 (+0.77)	11th (1.39)	19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
10	DKSC NTX	1.57 (+0.74)	6th (1.60)	19 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
11	Sting Royal NTX	1.50 (+0.67)	8th (1.55)	18 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
12	Nido Dallas NTX	1.40 (+0.57)	14th (1.14)	16 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
13	Sting Royal NTX Bold	1.17 (+0.34)	12th (1.38)	13 of 27 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
14	Sting Black NTX	1.00 (+0.17)	15th (0.96)	A point next game

How the results connect

5 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link NTX Celtic FC NTX to DKSC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us

5 favour them

-3.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.

won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

5 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.14 · 9th hardest of 20

Date	Opponent	Where	Difficulty	Win	Likely	Exp. pts	Run. PPG	Priority
Sat Oct 31 09:50 AM	DKSC NTX 10th · 3-2-2 · GD +5	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	21%	1–2	0.82	0.83	Upside
Sat Nov 7 05:10 PM	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1st · 5-0-0 · GD +35	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	1%	0–6	0.03	0.73	Upside
Sat Feb 6 11:40 AM	Sting Royal NTX Bold 13th · 2-1-3 · GD +5	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	23%	1–2	0.88	0.75	Upside
Sat Feb 20 11:40 AM	Sting Royal NTX 11th · 1-3-0 · GD +2	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	16%	1–2	0.66	0.74	Upside
Sun Feb 21 05:10 PM	Sting Brave NTX 3rd · 5-0-1 · GD +22	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●● Very tough	6%	1–4	0.28	0.70	Upside
Sat Feb 27 11:40 AM	FC Dallas Youth White NTX 16th · 1-1-3 · GD -5	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●●○ Tough	32%	1–2	1.15	0.73	Upside
Sat Mar 6 08:00 AM	SOLAR WHITE NTX 18th · 1-1-4 · GD -11	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	47%	2–2	1.61	0.80	Swing game
Sat Apr 3 03:20 PM	Dallas Texans Red NTX 19th · 0-1-6 · GD -33	Away Dallas Soccer Park	●●○○○ Lean win	69%	2–1	2.24	0.90	Swing game
Sat Apr 10 03:20 PM	Sting Black NTX 14th · 2-0-4 · GD -16	Home Dallas Soccer Park	●●●○○ Toss-up	49%	2–2	1.66	0.95	Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

Team

Pts

PPG

Form

SoS

Run-in

Top 4

Exp. finish

FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX

+35

3.00

WWWWW

-0.30

-0.50

100%

1.1

W	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	16–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	8–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	5–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	3–1	66%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	6–0	98%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	5–0	96%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	4–1	90%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	6–0	97%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	9–0	100%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	4–0	91%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	5–0	95%
·	Sat Apr 24	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	3–1	86%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Cosmos SC NTX

+30

2.50

WWWWL

-0.19

-0.23

100%

2.2

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–2
W	Sat Oct 17	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	14–1
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	10–1
W	Sat Sep 26	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	5–1	94%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	4–1	90%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	3–1	73%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	4–0	94%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	2–1	71%
·	Thu Mar 4	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	7–1	98%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	2–2	52%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Brave NTX

+22

2.50

LWWWW

-0.92

+0.35

93%

3.2

W	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	7–0
W	Sat Oct 17	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	12–0
W	Sat Sep 26	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	3–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	3–4
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs DKSC WHITE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	6–0	99%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	2–1	68%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	4–1	85%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	3–1	68%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	5–1	90%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	2–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC WHITE NTX

+13

2.33

WDDWW

-0.56

+0.68

43%

5.1

W	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–1
W	Thu Oct 15	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	2–0
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	3–3
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	5–1
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	6–0

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Alpha Forms NTX · Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	3–1	65%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2	53%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	2–1	54%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–3	14%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	3–1	77%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	3–1	75%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–1	58%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–1	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Kernow Storm FC NTX

2.00

WWWDL

-1.86

+0.72

8.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	0–1
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	6–1
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	4–0
W	Sat Sep 12	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	2–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Alpha Forms NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC WHITE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	3–1	69%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–2	17%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–1	39%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–1	46%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–1	37%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	2–1	41%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR BLUE NTX

1.80

LLWWW

+0.87

-0.37

43%

5.3

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	3–1
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	4–1
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	0–1
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Royal NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Nido Dallas NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–1	67%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–1	45%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	70%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	3–0	91%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–1	63%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	4–1	83%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–1	48%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–1	40%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–1	40%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Alpha Forms NTX

1.80

WWWLL

-0.96

+0.49

9.6

L	Sat Oct 17	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	0–4
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–4
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	4–1
W	Sat Sep 19	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	3–0
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	8–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–3	19%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	2–2	43%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	3–2	62%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	1–4	4%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–2	31%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	2–2	45%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–2	44%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–2	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX Celtic FC Green NTX

1.60

LDDWW

+0.16

+0.07

9.0

W	Sat Oct 17	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	4–0
W	Sat Oct 10	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	6–2
D	Sat Sep 26	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Kernow Storm FC NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Red NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	2–2	29%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	4–1	88%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	3–2	66%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	3–2	57%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–3	18%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	2–2	35%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	2–2	45%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth Red NTX

-2

1.60

WWLDD

+1.09

+0.18

10.5

D	Sat Oct 17	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–1
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	3–3
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–5
W	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	4–3
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Oct 31 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	45%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–2	40%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	2–1	48%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–2	20%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	4–0	90%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–2	33%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	31%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

DKSC NTX

1.57

DLWLW

-0.21

-0.07

8.0

W	Sat Oct 24	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	3–1
L	Sat Oct 17	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	0–2
W	Thu Oct 15	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	6–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	1–2
D	Sat Sep 26	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	2–2
D	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	2–2
W	Sat Sep 12	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	3–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 at NTX Celtic FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	6–1	97%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	52%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	50%
·	Thu Mar 4	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–4	3%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	2–1	64%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Royal NTX

1.50

DWDD

+0.06

-0.14

8.7

D	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	1–1
D	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	2–0
D	Sat Sep 19	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–2

Next: Sat Oct 24 at Sting Royal NTX Bold · Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Alpha Forms NTX See all 11 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–1	32%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	5–1	93%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–1	67%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–1	38%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–1	55%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	50%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Apr 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	1–3	6%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Nido Dallas NTX

-5

1.40

DWLLW

+0.39

+0.24

13.4

W	Sat Oct 17	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–0
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–6
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	0–3
W	Sat Sep 19	at	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	3–2
D	Sat Sep 12	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Oct 31 at Sting Royal NTX Bold · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	1–2	35%
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–2	14%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–5	1%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–2	27%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	1–2	31%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	4–1	84%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–3	12%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–2	29%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	1–2	29%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Royal NTX Bold

1.17

WWDLL

-0.80

+0.27

10.5

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–3
L	Thu Oct 15	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	0–2
D	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	3–3
W	Sat Sep 26	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	5–0
W	Sat Sep 19	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	7–1
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sting Royal NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs Nido Dallas NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	2–1	44%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	61%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	2–2	46%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–1	59%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	3–1	73%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–2	38%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Sting Black NTX

-16

1.00

LLWLW

+0.48

-0.08

15.6

W	Sat Oct 24	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	6–0
L	Sat Oct 17	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	1–16
W	Sat Oct 10	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–1
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	0–2
L	Sat Sep 19	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–5
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	1–3

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX · Sat Nov 7 at SOLAR RED NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	3–2	46%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	2–2	28%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–3	16%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–3	20%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	6–2	89%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–4	8%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–7	1%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–2	33%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

NTX Celtic FC NTX

-9

0.83

LDLLW

-0.50

+0.14

15.4

W	Sat Oct 24	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	5–0
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	0–2
L	Sat Oct 10	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–10
D	Sat Sep 26	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	0–3
D	Sat Sep 12	at	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	1–1

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs DKSC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Sting Royal NTX Bold See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–2	21%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	1–2	23%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–2	16%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–4	6%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	1–2	32%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	2–2	47%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	2–1	69%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	2–2	49%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

FC Dallas Youth White NTX

-5

0.80

WLLDL

+1.39

-0.40

12.7

L	Sat Oct 17	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–2
D	Sat Oct 10	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 26	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 19	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–5
W	Sat Sep 12	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	5–3

Next: Sat Oct 24 at SOLAR BLUE NTX · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Dallas Youth Red NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Royal NTX Bold See all 10 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 24	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–2	17%
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	2–2	41%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	2–2	36%
·	Sat Feb 6	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–2	24%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	6–1	95%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–3	26%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–1	49%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–2	26%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–2	37%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–1	51%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR RED NTX

-6

0.67

DLWLL

-0.16

+0.24

15.6

L	Sat Oct 24	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–3
L	Sun Oct 18	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	2–4
W	Sat Oct 17	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	1–4
D	Sat Sep 19	at	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	2–2
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–2

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Fever United FC NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Sting Black NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	5–1	90%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	2–2	55%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–2	18%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	1–2	33%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	0–4	2%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	1–3	10%
·	Sat Mar 6	vs	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	3–0	81%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	1–4	5%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–5	2%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

SOLAR WHITE NTX

-11

0.67

LLDWL

-0.25

+0.12

16.5

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	0–7
W	Sun Oct 18	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	4–2
D	Sat Oct 17	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	0–0
L	Sat Sep 26	at	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	1–4
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	2–3
L	Sat Sep 12	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	3–5

Next: Sat Oct 31 at Sting Black NTX · Sat Nov 7 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Alpha Forms NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	2–3	37%
·	Sat Nov 7	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–5	2%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–3	23%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	1–3	14%
·	Sun Feb 21	vs	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–6	1%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–2	22%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	2–2	34%
·	Sat Apr 3	at	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	4–2	80%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–2	20%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Dallas Texans Red NTX

-33

0.14

LLLDL

+0.51

-0.01

19.3

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	Sting Black NTX (14th)	0–6
D	Sat Oct 17	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	0–0
L	Thu Oct 15	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	2–6
L	Sat Oct 10	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–8
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	0–5
L	Sat Sep 19	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	0–4
L	Sat Sep 12	vs	DKSC WHITE NTX (4th)	0–6

Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Dallas Cosmos SC NTX · Sat Nov 7 at Sting Brave NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs NTX Celtic FC Green NTX See all 8 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	0–6	0%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	NTX Celtic FC Green NTX (8th)	1–4	4%
·	Sat Feb 20	vs	SOLAR BLUE NTX (6th)	0–3	3%
·	Sat Feb 27	at	FC Dallas Youth Red NTX (9th)	0–4	4%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	0–3	8%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	1–2	15%
·	Sat Apr 10	vs	Fever United FC NTX (20th)	2–2	50%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Fever United FC NTX

-47

0.00

LLLLL

+0.93

-0.28

19.7

L	Sat Oct 24	vs	NTX Celtic FC NTX (15th)	0–5
L	Sat Oct 17	vs	Dallas Cosmos SC NTX (2nd)	1–14
L	Sat Oct 10	vs	Sting Brave NTX (3rd)	0–12
L	Sat Sep 26	at	Kernow Storm FC NTX (5th)	1–6
L	Sat Sep 19	vs	Sting Royal NTX Bold (13th)	1–7
L	Sat Sep 12	at	Alpha Forms NTX (7th)	2–8

Next: Sat Oct 31 at SOLAR RED NTX · Sat Nov 7 at DKSC NTX · Sat Feb 6 vs Sting Royal NTX See all 9 future matchups ▸

	Date		Opponent	Likely	Win
·	Sat Oct 31	at	SOLAR RED NTX (17th)	1–5	4%
·	Sat Nov 7	at	DKSC NTX (10th)	1–6	1%
·	Sat Feb 6	vs	Sting Royal NTX (11th)	1–5	3%
·	Sat Feb 20	at	FC Dallas Youth White NTX (16th)	1–6	2%
·	Sun Feb 21	at	Sting Black NTX (14th)	2–6	6%
·	Sat Feb 27	vs	Nido Dallas NTX (12th)	1–4	7%
·	Sat Mar 6	at	FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX (1st)	0–9	0%
·	Sat Apr 3	vs	SOLAR WHITE NTX (18th)	2–4	10%
·	Sat Apr 10	at	Dallas Texans Red NTX (19th)	2–2	32%

Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side.

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.51 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.