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FC Dallas Youth White NTX

ECNL Regional League Girls · North Texas GU13 · 20 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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16th
1-1-3 record · 5 played
0.80 points per game
-5 goal diff · 10–15
WLLDLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 12.4
+1.43 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 01:30 PM

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FC Dallas Youth White NTX
16th · 0.80 PPG
at
SOLAR BLUE NTX
6th · 1.80 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 9 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.9 against · 0.65 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth White NTXSOLAR BLUE NTX
Position16th6th
Record (W-D-L)1-1-33-0-2
Points per game0.801.80
Goals for / game2.02.4
Goals against / game3.01.2
Clean sheets00
Held scoreless11
Form (recent first)L D L L WW W W L L
Biggest win5–3 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX4–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX
Worst loss0–5 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX1–2 at Sting Brave NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.29+0.96
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+1.43+1.00

Common opponents: SOLAR WHITE NTX — we 5–3; they 4–1. Sting Brave NTX — we 2–3; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    SOLAR BLUE NTX concede only 1.2/game with 0 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–5 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 16%; a draw (16%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • They arrive in form
    SOLAR BLUE NTX have won 3 straight.

    Don't let them settle: deny the first 10 minutes of rhythm with pressure on their first pass out of the back.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 01:30 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    SOLAR RED NTX sit 15th on 0.80 PPG; we are on 0.80.

    A point moves us above SOLAR RED NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR BLUE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth White NTX – SOLAR BLUE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 9 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.67 PPG
16th— holds 17th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 2
Win
1.17 PPG
14th▲ up 2 13th▲ up 3 16th— holds
Draw
0.83 PPG
14th▲ up 2 14th▲ up 2 17th▼ down 1
Loss
0.67 PPG
16th— holds 17th▼ down 1 18th▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 16th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
12.4 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd <1%
  4. 4th <1%
  5. 5th 1%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 3%
  8. 8th 4%
  9. 9th 6%
  10. 10th 9%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 12%
  13. 13th 14%
  14. 14th 13%
  15. 15th 11%
  16. 16th 8%
  17. 17th 5%
  18. 18th 2%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.27 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 3.00 (+2.20) 1st (2.74) 41 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 38 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 3.00 (+2.20) 2nd (2.69) 41 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 37 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Sting Brave NTX 2.40 (+1.60) 3rd (2.15) 32 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 2.33 (+1.53) 4th (1.95) 31 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 2.00 (+1.20) 6th (1.61) 26 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.80 (+1.00) 5th (1.95) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 Alpha Forms NTX 1.80 (+1.00) 10th (1.48) 23 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 1.60 (+0.80) 7th (1.56) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 1.60 (+0.80) 12th (1.35) 20 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 Sting Royal NTX 1.50 (+0.70) 8th (1.52) 19 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
11 Nido Dallas NTX 1.40 (+0.60) 14th (1.15) 17 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
12 DKSC NTX 1.33 (+0.53) 9th (1.49) 16 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
13 Sting Royal NTX Bold 1.17 (+0.37) 11th (1.38) 14 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
14 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.80 (+0.00) 15th (1.04) Already ahead
15 SOLAR RED NTX 0.80 (+0.00) 16th (1.03) Already ahead

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth White NTX to SOLAR BLUE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
1 even
2 favour them
-0.7 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 2–1 5–3 1–4 1–2 2–0 1–3 FC Dallas Youth Whi… 16th Sting Brave NTX 3rd SOLAR WHITE NTX 14th DKSC WHITE NTX 4th Sting Royal NTX Bold 13th SOLAR BLUE NTX 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

7 game days

1st 10th 20th Sep 12 Sep 26 Oct 15 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.46 · 20th hardest of 20

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
01:30 PM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +6
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.65 0.78 Upside
Sat Oct 31
03:20 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
9th · 2-2-1 · GD -2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
43%
2–2 1.47 0.88 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
08:00 AM
Sting Royal NTX Bold
13th · 2-1-3 · GD +5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
35%
2–2 1.25 0.92 Upside
Sat Feb 6
11:40 AM
DKSC NTX
12th · 2-2-2 · GD +3
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–2 0.97 0.93 Upside
Sat Feb 20
11:40 AM
Fever United FC NTX
20th · 0-0-5 · GD -42
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
93%
6–1 2.84 1.12 Bank it
Sun Feb 21
09:50 AM
NTX Celtic FC Green NTX
8th · 2-2-1 · GD +2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
2–3 0.94 1.10 Upside
Sat Feb 27
11:40 AM
NTX Celtic FC NTX
18th · 0-2-3 · GD -14
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.96 1.17 Swing game
Sat Mar 6
03:20 PM
Sting Royal NTX
10th · 1-3-0 · GD +2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 0.99 1.16 Upside
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
Alpha Forms NTX
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.30 1.17 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas NTX
11th · 2-1-2 · GD -5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.72 1.21 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 4400 341+33 123.00 WWWW -1.41 -0.15 100% 1.4
2 Dallas Cosmos SC NTX 5500 342+32 153.00 WWWWW -1.26 +0.18 100% 1.7
3 Sting Brave NTX 5401 227+15 122.40 WLWWW -0.85 +0.23 83% 3.7
4 DKSC WHITE NTX 6420 207+13 142.33 WDDWW -0.66 +0.69 47% 5.0
5 Kernow Storm FC NTX 5311 145+9 102.00 WWWDL -1.72 +0.62 9% 8.0
6 SOLAR BLUE NTX 5302 126+6 91.80 LLWWW +1.00 -0.41 47% 5.0
7 Alpha Forms NTX 5302 1611+5 91.80 WWWLL -0.99 +0.54 4% 9.6
8 NTX Celtic FC Green NTX 5221 1412+2 81.60 LDDWW +0.17 -0.03 5% 8.7
9 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5221 1113-2 81.60 WWLDD +0.84 +0.29 1% 11.1
10 Sting Royal NTX 4130 86+2 61.50 DWDD -0.21 -0.10 4% 9.1
11 Nido Dallas NTX 5212 712-5 71.40 DWLLW +0.52 +0.23 0% 13.3
12 DKSC NTX 6222 1411+3 81.33 DDLWL -0.29 -0.03 1% 9.3
13 Sting Royal NTX Bold 6213 1712+5 71.17 WWDLL -0.74 +0.29 1% 10.2
14 SOLAR WHITE NTX 5113 1014-4 40.80 LLLDW -0.67 +0.19 0% 14.4
15 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 812-4 40.80 LDLWL -0.25 +0.21 0% 14.5
16 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5113 1015-5 40.80 WLLDL +1.43 -0.46 0% 12.4
17 Sting Black NTX 5104 527-22 30.60 LLLWL +1.25 -0.29 0% 17.4
18 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5023 418-14 20.40 DLDLL +0.65 -0.38 0% 16.8
19 Dallas Texans Red NTX 6015 229-27 10.17 LLLLD +1.01 -0.31 0% 18.9
20 Fever United FC NTX 5005 547-42 00.00 LLLLL +1.39 -0.38 0% 19.7

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.53 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.