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Legends FC Black

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southwest BU18/19 · 18 teams · Legends FC (CA) (all teams)

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17th
0-0-3 record · 3 played
0.00 points per game
-5 goal diff · 4–9
LLLlast 3
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 14.8
+0.26 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 09:00 AM

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Legends FC Black
17th · 0.00 PPG
vs
West Coast FC Navy
6th · 1.75 PPG

Silverlakes Complex, Field 20 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.4 for, 2.2 against · 0.93 expected points)

Season so farLegends FC BlackWest Coast FC Navy
Position17th6th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-32-1-1
Points per game0.001.75
Goals for / game1.31.8
Goals against / game3.01.0
Clean sheets01
Held scoreless10
Form (recent first)L L LW L D W
Biggest win—3–0 vs CDA Slammers FC Maroon
Worst loss0–2 at San Diego Surf Blue1–2 vs Legends FC Gold
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.76+0.36
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.26-0.31

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    West Coast FC Navy concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–2 at San Diego Surf Blue.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 24%; a draw (20%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 09:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    Eagles SC sit 16th on 0.75 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A win moves us above Eagles SC on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the West Coast FC Navy game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Legends FC Black – West Coast FC Navy) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Win
0.75 PPG
16th▲ up 1 15th▲ up 2 17th— holds
Draw
0.25 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1
Loss
0.00 PPG
17th— holds 17th— holds 18th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 17th even if every rival loses, and as low as 18th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
14.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th 1%
  9. 9th 1%
  10. 10th 3%
  11. 11th 4%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 12%
  15. 15th 15%
  16. 16th 20%
  17. 17th 28%
  18. 18th 1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 14 remaining known games (max 2.47 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 LAFC 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.70) 51 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pateadores Blue 2.60 (+2.60) 3rd (1.96) 45 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 San Diego Surf White 2.50 (+2.50) 2nd (2.40) 43 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection
4 Sporting California USA NAVY 2.25 (+2.25) 8th (1.57) 39 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
5 San Diego Surf Blue 1.80 (+1.80) 6th (1.62) 31 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
6 West Coast FC Navy 1.75 (+1.75) 7th (1.59) 30 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
7 CDA Slammers FC White 1.75 (+1.75) 10th (1.41) 30 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Legends FC Gold 1.67 (+1.67) 5th (1.64) 29 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
9 Rebels SC /09 1.40 (+1.40) 4th (1.65) 24 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 29 for their projection
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 1.25 (+1.25) 9th (1.42) 22 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 1.20 (+1.20) 15th (0.99) 21 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
12 Sporting California USA RED 1.00 (+1.00) 11th (1.29) 17 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
13 SDSC Surf Blue 1.00 (+1.00) 12th (1.12) 17 of 42 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
14 Pateadores Gold 0.75 (+0.75) 13th (1.11) Win next game
15 SDSC Surf Gold 0.75 (+0.75) 14th (1.09) Win next game
16 Eagles SC 0.75 (+0.75) 16th (0.90) Win next game

How the results connect

3 chains · 6 teams

Paths of results that link Legends FC Black to West Coast FC Navy through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
3 favour them
-3.3 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–4 1–1 2–1 0–2 2–0 0–3 1–2 Legends FC Black 17th SDSC Surf Blue 13th San Diego Surf Blue 5th Legends FC Gold 8th CDA Slammers FC Mar… 11th West Coast FC Navy 6th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

3 chains

Position over the season

8 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 13 Sep 20 Oct 4 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.00 · 10th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 4
09:00 AM
no score posted
Legends FC Gold
8th · 1-2-0 · GD +1
Away
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.75 0.19 Upside
Sun Oct 11
09:00 AM
no score posted
CDA Slammers FC White
7th · 2-1-1 · GD -1
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●○ Tough
33%
2–2 1.19 0.39 Upside
Sun Oct 25
09:00 AM
West Coast FC Navy
6th · 2-1-1 · GD +3
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.93 0.48 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:00 AM
SDSC Surf Gold
15th · 1-0-3 · GD -3
Away far trip
Ryan Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–2 1.06 0.56 Upside
Sun Nov 15
09:00 AM
Rebels SC /09
9th · 2-1-2 · GD +7
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.72 0.58 Upside
Sun Nov 22
07:00 PM
San Diego Surf White
3rd · 3-1-0 · GD +18
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.25 0.54 Upside
Sun Mar 14
TBD
Sporting California USA NAVY
4th · 3-0-1 · GD -4
Away
●●●●○ Tough
27%
1–2 1.00 0.59 Upside
Sun Mar 21
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Gold
10th · 1-2-1 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–3 0.81 0.61 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:00 AM
Eagles SC
16th · 1-0-3 · GD -11
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 0.71 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
01:00 PM
LAFC
1st · 6-0-0 · GD +23
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
4%
0–4 0.19 0.67 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:00 AM
LV Heat Surf
18th · 0-0-7 · GD -31
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
81%
3–1 2.53 0.80 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
09:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC Maroon
11th · 2-0-3 · GD -8
Home
Silverlakes Complex
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.75 0.87 Swing game
Sun May 9
10:30 AM
Pateadores Gold
14th · 1-0-3 · GD +0
Away far trip
Bonita Creek Football Field
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.91 0.87 Upside
Sun May 9
TBD
Sporting California USA RED
12th · 1-0-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.90 0.87 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 LAFC 6600 263+23 183.00 WWWWW +0.02 -0.21 100% 1.2
2 Pateadores Blue 5410 188+10 132.60 WWWDW -1.03 +0.34 73% 4.0
3 San Diego Surf White 4310 191+18 102.50 WWDW -1.14 +0.21 99% 2.0
4 Sporting California USA NAVY 4301 711-4 92.25 LWWW +0.63 -0.18 15% 7.8
5 San Diego Surf Blue 5302 116+5 91.80 WWLLW -0.60 +0.25 23% 6.9
6 West Coast FC Navy 4211 74+3 71.75 WDLW -0.31 +0.07 19% 7.2
7 CDA Slammers FC White 4211 1011-1 71.75 DWLW +0.03 +0.02 6% 9.4
8 Legends FC Gold 3120 32+1 51.67 DWD +0.76 -0.16 24% 6.9
9 Rebels SC /09 5212 125+7 71.40 WLDWL -0.29 +0.11 30% 6.3
10 Beach Futbol Club Gold 4121 1010+0 51.25 WDDL +0.34 -0.10 6% 9.0
11 CDA Slammers FC Maroon 5203 311-8 61.20 WWLLL +0.51 -0.12 0% 14.2
12 Sporting California USA RED 3102 55+0 31.00 LLW -0.08 +0.03 3% 10.4
13 SDSC Surf Blue 4112 610-4 41.00 LDLW +0.26 -0.04 1% 12.6
14 Pateadores Gold 4103 1010+0 30.75 LLLW -0.88 +0.27 1% 12.6
15 SDSC Surf Gold 4103 69-3 30.75 LLLW -0.14 +0.06 0% 12.9
16 Eagles SC 4103 516-11 30.75 LWLL +1.11 -0.23 0% 14.9
17 Legends FC Black 3003 49-5 00.00 LLL +0.26 -0.00 0% 14.8
18 LV Heat Surf 7007 435-31 00.00 LLLLL +0.49 -0.07 0% 18.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.02 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.