Result · Sunday, Sep 20, 05:15 PM
Rebels SC /09 1–2 Sporting California USA NAVY
El Cajon Valley High School · Stadium ↗ · turf? · 92021
Final
By today's ratings the model gave this result a 17% chance — an upset. Pre-match odds were 66% home, 17% draw, 17% away, most likely 2–1.
| Season so far | Rebels SC /09 | Sporting California USA NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 9th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-1-2 | 3-0-1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.25 |
| Goals for / game | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals against / game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 |
| Held scoreless | 1 | 1 |
| Form (recent first) | L W D L W | W W W L |
| Biggest win | 5–0 at LV Heat Surf | 2–1 at Rebels SC /09 |
| Worst loss | 1–2 vs Sporting California USA NAVY | 0–7 vs LAFC |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | +0.76 | -0.32 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -0.29 | +0.63 |
Already met this season: Sep 20 1–2 (home for Rebels SC /09)
Common opponents: LAFC — Rebels SC /09 0–1; Sporting California USA NAVY 0–7.
What's at stake
| Rebels SC /09 | Sporting California USA NAVY | |
|---|---|---|
| Position now | 9th | 4th |
| Games left | 12 | 13 |
| Chance of top 4 | 28% | 14% |
| Chance of 1st | 0% | 0% |
| Average finish | 6.4 | 7.7 |
How the results connect
6 chains
4 favour Rebels SC /09, 2 favour Sporting California USA NAVY; average margin +1.3 goals toward Rebels SC /09.
- -1Rebels SC /09 lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 1–2
- +6Rebels SC /09 lost to LAFC 0–1 → LAFC beat Sporting California USA NAVY 7–0
- +1Rebels SC /09 lost to LAFC 0–1 → LAFC beat SDSC Surf Gold 4–1 → SDSC Surf Gold lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 1–2
- +2Rebels SC /09 drew with Beach Futbol Club Gold 1–1 → Beach Futbol Club Gold beat Pateadores Gold 4–1 → Pateadores Gold lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 2–3
- +2Rebels SC /09 beat LV Heat Surf 5–0 → LV Heat Surf lost to SDSC Surf Gold 1–3 → SDSC Surf Gold lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 1–2
- -2Rebels SC /09 beat LV Heat Surf 5–0 → LV Heat Surf lost to Pateadores Gold 0–6 → Pateadores Gold lost to Sporting California USA NAVY 2–3
Full picture: Rebels SC /09 · Sporting California USA NAVY · Southwest BU18/19 standings