West Coast FC White
ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU14 · 18 teams · West Coast F.C. (all teams)
Next game — Sat Oct 24, 12:30 PM
Orange County Great Park, Field 11 ↗
●●●●○ Tough to win
Most likely score 2–2 (expected goals 2.0 for, 2.9 against · 0.96 expected points)
| Season so far | West Coast FC White | FC Long Beach |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 12th | 4th |
| Record (W-D-L) | 2-0-2 | 3-1-1 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| Goals for / game | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Goals against / game | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 |
| Held scoreless | 2 | 0 |
| Form (recent first) | L L W W | W L W D W |
| Biggest win | 8–0 vs LA Breakers White | 6–1 vs LA Breakers White |
| Worst loss | 0–6 at LA Breakers Red | 1–2 vs Rebels SC Blue |
| Model rating (net goals vs avg) | -0.30 | +0.78 |
| Schedule faced (avg opp. rating) | -1.02 | -0.99 |
Common opponents: LA Breakers White — we 8–0; they 6–1.
Game plan
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Finishing wins the tight ones
Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 at Legends FC, 0–6 at LA Breakers Red.Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.
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Underdog — play free, stay organised
Model gives 26%; a draw (17%) would be a good result.Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.
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What a win does
Sporting California USA sit 11th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.50.A point moves us above Sporting California USA on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.
If Saturday goes…
Where we'd sit after the FC Long Beach game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (West Coast FC White – FC Long Beach) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.
| Our result | Rivals don't play | Likely results | Every rival wins |
|---|---|---|---|
| – Draw · 1.40 PPG |
13th▼ down 1 | 13th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 2 |
| Win 1.80 PPG |
7th▲ up 5 | 8th▲ up 4 | 11th▲ up 1 |
| Draw 1.40 PPG |
13th▼ down 1 | 13th▼ down 1 | 14th▼ down 2 |
| Loss 1.20 PPG |
14th▼ down 2 | 14th▼ down 2 | 14th▼ down 2 |
Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–2 draw we finish as high as 10th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.
Where we finish
2,000 simulated seasons
- 1st
- 2nd
- 3rd <1%
- 4th <1%
- 5th 1%
- 6th 2%
- 7th 4%
- 8th 4%
- 9th 6%
- 10th 8%
- 11th 10%
- 12th 12%
- 13th 17%
- 14th 24%
- 15th 11%
- 16th 2%
- 17th
- 18th
Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.
Climbing the table
What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.65 PPG if we win out).
| # | Team | PPG | Proj. | To pass them |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3.00 (+1.50) | 1st (2.66) | 45 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 40 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule |
| 2 | Pateadores | 2.50 (+1.00) | 2nd (2.35) | 37 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 35 for their projection |
| 3 | Legends FC | 2.40 (+0.90) | 3rd (1.94) | 35 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection |
| 4 | FC Long Beach | 2.00 (+0.50) | 6th (1.72) | 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection |
| 5 | Rebels SC White | 1.80 (+0.30) | 11th (1.45) | Win next game |
| 6 | Empire Surf | 1.80 (+0.30) | 9th (1.51) | Win next game |
| 7 | LA Breakers Red | 1.80 (+0.30) | 5th (1.79) | Win next game |
| 8 | Beach Futbol Club Black | 1.80 (+0.30) | 12th (1.35) | Win next game |
| 9 | Eagles SC Blue | 1.75 (+0.25) | 4th (1.83) | A point next game |
| 10 | Rebels SC Blue | 1.60 (+0.10) | 7th (1.56) | A point next game |
| 11 | Sporting California USA | 1.50 (+0.00) | 8th (1.53) | A point next game |
How the results connect
6 chains · 9 teams
Paths of results that link West Coast FC White to FC Long Beach through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.
Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.
Step through the chains with the arrows, or tap one on the map.
Position over the season
10 game days
The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.
The path
run-in difficulty +0.38 · 3rd hardest of 18
| Date | Opponent | Where | Difficulty | Win | Likely | Exp. pts | Run. PPG | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Oct 3 10:30 AM no score posted |
Beach Futbol Club Black 8th · 3-0-2 · GD -6 |
Home Lake Forest Sports Park |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 55% |
3–2 | 1.82 | 1.56 | Swing game |
| Sat Oct 24 12:30 PM |
FC Long Beach 4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9 |
Home Orange County Great Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
2–2 | 0.96 | 1.46 | Upside |
| Sun Nov 1 06:15 PM |
LAFC GOLD 14th · 2-1-2 · GD -2 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●●●○ Tough | 33% |
2–2 | 1.18 | 1.42 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 7 12:30 PM |
Eagles SC Blue 9th · 2-1-1 · GD +3 |
Home Orange County Great Park |
●●●●○ Tough | 28% |
2–2 | 1.02 | 1.37 | Upside |
| Sat Nov 14 06:15 PM |
LAFC WHITE 16th · 0-0-5 · GD -11 |
Away far trip
Oak Park High School · turf? |
●●●○○ Toss-up | 58% |
2–1 | 1.91 | 1.43 | Swing game |
| Sat Nov 21 03:30 PM |
Sporting California USA 11th · 2-0-2 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
San Bernardino Soccer Complex |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–3 | 0.98 | 1.39 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 13 TBD |
Empire Surf 6th · 3-0-2 · GD +3 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 36% |
2–2 | 1.27 | 1.38 | Upside |
| Sat Mar 20 TBD |
San Diego Surf 1st · 3-0-0 · GD +22 |
Home |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–5 | 0.16 | 1.27 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 10 12:45 PM |
Rebels SC White 5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 27% |
2–2 | 0.99 | 1.25 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 17 TBD |
CDA Slammers FC Black 13th · 2-1-2 · GD +1 |
Home |
●●●●○ Tough | 40% |
2–2 | 1.39 | 1.26 | Upside |
| Sat Apr 24 11:00 AM |
Rebels SC Blue 10th · 2-2-1 · GD +1 |
Away far trip
Southwestern College · turf |
●●●●○ Tough | 26% |
1–2 | 1.00 | 1.24 | Upside |
| Sat May 1 TBD |
Legends FC - Del Mar 15th · 1-0-4 · GD -10 |
Home |
●●○○○ Lean win | 65% |
3–2 | 2.10 | 1.30 | Swing game |
| Sat May 8 TBD |
Pateadores 2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26 |
Away |
●●●●● Very tough | 4% |
1–4 | 0.17 | 1.23 | Upside |
"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.
Standings
| # | Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | PPG | Form | SoS | Run-in | Top 4 | Exp. finish | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| 1 | San Diego Surf | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | +22 | 9 | 3.00 | WWW | -0.81 | -0.07 | 100% | 1.2 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Oct 31 at Sporting California USA · Sat Nov 7 vs LAFC GOLD See all 14 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 2 | Pateadores | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 3 | +26 | 15 | 2.50 | WWWLW | -0.97 | +0.56 | 98% | 2.1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sun Oct 25 vs Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Oct 31 at Legends FC · Sat Nov 7 at FC Long Beach See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 3 | Legends FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | +9 | 12 | 2.40 | WLWWW | -0.25 | +0.22 | 61% | 4.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Rebels SC Blue · Sat Oct 31 vs Pateadores · Sat Nov 7 at Rebels SC White See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 4 | FC Long Beach | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 10 | 2.00 | WDWLW | -0.99 | +0.34 | 25% | 6.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at West Coast FC White · Sat Oct 31 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Nov 7 vs Pateadores See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 5 | Rebels SC White | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 9 | 1.80 | LWLWW | -1.27 | +0.49 | 5% | 9.8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Sporting California USA · Sun Nov 1 at Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Nov 7 vs Legends FC See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 6 | Empire Surf | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 9 | 1.80 | WWLWL | -0.58 | +0.26 | 6% | 9.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs Sporting California USA · Sat Oct 31 at LA Breakers Red · Sat Nov 7 at LA Breakers White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 7 | LA Breakers Red | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 9 | 1.80 | LLWWW | +0.78 | -0.39 | 36% | 5.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 31 vs Empire Surf · Sat Nov 7 vs Rebels SC Blue · Sat Nov 21 at Legends FC - Del Mar See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 8 | Beach Futbol Club Black | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 | 1.80 | WWWLL | +0.62 | -0.15 | 1% | 11.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at West Coast FC White · Sun Oct 25 at Pateadores · Sun Nov 1 vs Rebels SC White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 9 | Eagles SC Blue | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 7 | 1.75 | WDLW | +0.84 | -0.28 | 45% | 5.4 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs CDA Slammers FC Black · Sat Oct 24 vs San Diego Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs FC Long Beach See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 10 | Rebels SC Blue | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 8 | 1.60 | DDLWW | +0.19 | -0.08 | 9% | 8.5 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Legends FC · Sun Oct 25 vs LV Heat Surf · Sat Nov 7 at LA Breakers Red See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 11 | Sporting California USA | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 6 | 1.50 | LWWL | +0.16 | -0.05 | 8% | 8.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Rebels SC White · Sat Oct 24 at Empire Surf · Sat Oct 31 vs San Diego Surf See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 12 | West Coast FC White | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 6 | 1.50 | WWLL | -1.02 | +0.38 | 0% | 12.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 vs Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Oct 24 vs FC Long Beach · Sun Nov 1 at LAFC GOLD See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 13 | CDA Slammers FC Black | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 7 | 1.40 | LDWLW | -0.31 | +0.15 | 2% | 10.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 3 at Eagles SC Blue · Sat Oct 24 at LA Breakers White · Sat Nov 7 vs Sporting California USA See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 14 | LAFC GOLD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 | 1.40 | DWWLL | +0.81 | -0.31 | 4% | 9.9 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at LAFC WHITE · Sun Nov 1 vs West Coast FC White · Sat Nov 7 at San Diego Surf See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 15 | Legends FC - Del Mar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 3 | 0.60 | LLLLW | -0.01 | -0.11 | 0% | 14.7 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LV Heat Surf · Sat Nov 14 at Eagles SC Blue · Sun Nov 15 vs LA Breakers White See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 16 | LAFC WHITE | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -11 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +0.47 | -0.07 | 0% | 16.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs LAFC GOLD · Sat Nov 7 at Beach Futbol Club Black · Sat Nov 14 vs West Coast FC White See all 12 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 17 | LV Heat Surf | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 25 | -22 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLLL | +1.03 | -0.34 | 0% | 17.0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 at Legends FC - Del Mar · Sun Oct 25 at Rebels SC Blue · Sat Nov 14 vs Beach Futbol Club Black See all 11 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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| 18 | LA Breakers White | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 33 | -30 | 0 | 0.00 | LLLL | +0.76 | +0.07 | 0% | 17.6 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Next: Sat Oct 24 vs CDA Slammers FC Black · Sat Nov 7 vs Empire Surf · Sun Nov 15 at Legends FC - Del Mar See all 13 future matchups ▸
Likely score and win chance are the model's view from this team's side. |
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Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.
How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.