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LA Breakers White

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU14 · 18 teams · LA Breakers FC (all teams)

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18th
0-0-4 record · 4 played
0.00 points per game
-30 goal diff · 3–33
LLLLlast 4
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 17.6
+0.76 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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LA Breakers White
18th · 0.00 PPG
vs
CDA Slammers FC Black
13th · 1.40 PPG

Bell Gardens Sports Complex, Field 5 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–4 (expected goals 1.4 for, 4.7 against · 0.24 expected points)

Season so farLA Breakers WhiteCDA Slammers FC Black
Position18th13th
Record (W-D-L)0-0-42-1-2
Points per game0.001.40
Goals for / game0.82.0
Goals against / game8.31.8
Clean sheets02
Held scoreless21
Form (recent first)L L L LW L W D L
Biggest win—4–0 vs LV Heat Surf
Worst loss0–12 vs Pateadores0–4 vs LA Breakers Red
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-3.88+0.04
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.76-0.31

Common opponents: FC Long Beach — we 1–6; they 3–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–12 vs Pateadores, 0–8 at West Coast FC White.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 6%; a draw (7%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    LV Heat Surf sit 17th on 0.00 PPG; we are on 0.00.

    A point moves us above LV Heat Surf on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the CDA Slammers FC Black game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LA Breakers White – CDA Slammers FC Black) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.00 PPG
18th— holds 18th— holds 18th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG
16th▲ up 2 16th▲ up 2 17th▲ up 1
Draw
0.20 PPG
16th▲ up 2 16th▲ up 2 18th— holds
Loss
0.00 PPG
18th— holds 18th— holds 18th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–4 loss we stay 18th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
17.6 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th 1%
  16. 16th 5%
  17. 17th 26%
  18. 18th 68%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 13 remaining known games (max 2.29 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+3.00) 1st (2.66) 51 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 46 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pateadores 2.50 (+2.50) 2nd (2.35) 43 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 41 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Legends FC 2.40 (+2.40) 3rd (1.94) 41 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 33 for their projection
4 FC Long Beach 2.00 (+2.00) 6th (1.72) 34 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 30 for their projection
5 Rebels SC White 1.80 (+1.80) 11th (1.45) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
6 Empire Surf 1.80 (+1.80) 9th (1.51) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
7 LA Breakers Red 1.80 (+1.80) 5th (1.79) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 31 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.80 (+1.80) 12th (1.35) 31 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
9 Eagles SC Blue 1.75 (+1.75) 4th (1.83) 30 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection
10 Rebels SC Blue 1.60 (+1.60) 7th (1.56) 28 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
11 Sporting California USA 1.50 (+1.50) 8th (1.53) 26 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection
12 West Coast FC White 1.50 (+1.50) 14th (1.23) 26 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
13 CDA Slammers FC Black 1.40 (+1.40) 13th (1.34) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
14 LAFC GOLD 1.40 (+1.40) 10th (1.45) 24 of 39 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
15 Legends FC - Del Mar 0.60 (+0.60) 15th (0.86) Win next game
16 LAFC WHITE 0.00 (+0.00) 16th (0.59) Already ahead
17 LV Heat Surf 0.00 (+0.00) 17th (0.35) Already ahead

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link LA Breakers White to CDA Slammers FC Black through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

0 favour us
8 favour them
-8.2 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–6 3–3 0–12 3–0 4–0 2–7 0–2 2–0 0–4 0–8 4–2 0–6 4–0 0–2 4–0 LA Breakers White 18th FC Long Beach 4th Pateadores 2nd Rebels SC White 5th West Coast FC White 12th LA Breakers Red 7th LV Heat Surf 17th LAFC GOLD 14th CDA Slammers FC Bla… 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.07 · 8th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM
CDA Slammers FC Black
13th · 2-1-2 · GD +1
Home
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–4 0.24 0.05 Upside
Sat Nov 7
10:00 AM
Empire Surf
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +3
Home
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
5%
1–4 0.21 0.08 Upside
Sun Nov 15
08:00 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
Miramesa High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
9%
1–4 0.35 0.12 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
Rebels SC Blue
10th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
6%
1–3 0.27 0.13 Upside
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Sporting California USA
11th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Away
●●●●● Very tough
2%
1–6 0.10 0.13 Upside
Sat Mar 20
TBD
LAFC WHITE
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Home
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–3 0.80 0.20 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LAFC GOLD
14th · 2-1-2 · GD -2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
4%
1–4 0.18 0.20 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +9
Home
●●●●● Very tough
2%
0–5 0.09 0.19 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
Eagles SC Blue
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.06 0.18 Upside
Sat Apr 24
TBD
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-6 · GD -22
Home
●●●●○ Tough
37%
2–2 1.29 0.26 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Black
8th · 3-0-2 · GD -6
Home
●●●●● Very tough
10%
1–4 0.40 0.27 Upside
Sat May 15
11:00 AM
LA Breakers Red
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +2
Away
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
1%
1–6 0.07 0.25 Upside
Sun May 16
10:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +22
Home
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●●●●● Very tough
0%
0–9 0.00 0.24 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 220+22 93.00 WWW -0.81 -0.07 100% 1.1
2 Pateadores 6501 293+26 152.50 WWWLW -0.97 +0.56 98% 2.2
3 Legends FC 5401 134+9 122.40 WLWWW -0.25 +0.22 63% 4.4
4 FC Long Beach 5311 156+9 102.00 WDWLW -0.99 +0.34 27% 6.4
5 Rebels SC White 5302 128+4 91.80 LWLWW -1.27 +0.49 4% 9.8
6 Empire Surf 5302 107+3 91.80 WWLWL -0.58 +0.26 7% 9.1
7 LA Breakers Red 5302 1311+2 91.80 LLWWW +0.78 -0.39 36% 6.0
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 5302 915-6 91.80 WWWLL +0.62 -0.15 2% 11.0
9 Eagles SC Blue 4211 96+3 71.75 WDLW +0.84 -0.28 42% 5.5
10 Rebels SC Blue 5221 65+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.19 -0.08 8% 8.4
11 Sporting California USA 4202 98+1 61.50 LWWL +0.16 -0.05 8% 8.7
12 West Coast FC White 4202 1212+0 61.50 WWLL -1.02 +0.38 1% 12.1
13 CDA Slammers FC Black 5212 109+1 71.40 LDWLW -0.31 +0.15 2% 10.9
14 LAFC GOLD 5212 79-2 71.40 DWWLL +0.81 -0.31 3% 9.9
15 Legends FC - Del Mar 5104 818-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.01 -0.11 0% 14.7
16 LAFC WHITE 5005 415-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.47 -0.07 0% 16.0
17 LV Heat Surf 6006 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.34 0% 17.0
18 LA Breakers White 4004 333-30 00.00 LLLL +0.76 +0.07 0% 17.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.