TableChase Clubs

LAFC GOLD

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU14 · 18 teams · LAFC So Cal (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 32 minutes ago.
Add schedule to calendar
14th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
-2 goal diff · 7–9
DWWLLlast 5
5% chance of top 4 · expected finish 9.8
+0.81 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 06:15 PM

Open the match preview →

LAFC GOLD
14th · 1.40 PPG
at
LAFC WHITE
16th · 0.00 PPG

Oak Park High School, Stadium ↗ · turf?

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.3 against · 1.88 expected points)

Season so farLAFC GOLDLAFC WHITE
Position14th16th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-20-0-5
Points per game1.400.00
Goals for / game1.40.8
Goals against / game1.83.0
Clean sheets10
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)L L W W DL L L L L
Biggest win4–1 at Empire Surf—
Worst loss0–4 vs Pateadores0–4 vs Pateadores
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.11-1.28
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.81+0.47

Common opponents: Empire Surf — we 4–1; they 0–2. Pateadores — we 0–4; they 0–4.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LAFC WHITE average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 5.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–4 vs Pateadores, 0–2 at CDA Slammers FC Black.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 56% / draw 21% / loss 23%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LAFC WHITE have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 06:15 PM at Oak Park High School.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    CDA Slammers FC Black sit 13th on 1.40 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above CDA Slammers FC Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LAFC WHITE game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (LAFC GOLD – LAFC WHITE) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.67 PPG
10th▲ up 4 10th▲ up 4 14th— holds
Win
1.67 PPG
10th▲ up 4 10th▲ up 4 14th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
14th— holds 13th▲ up 1 14th— holds
Loss
1.17 PPG
14th— holds 14th— holds 14th— holds

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
5% top 4
95% below the top 4
9.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 5%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 12%
  12. 12th 13%
  13. 13th 10%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.66) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pateadores 2.50 (+1.10) 2nd (2.35) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 Legends FC 2.40 (+1.00) 3rd (1.94) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 FC Long Beach 2.00 (+0.60) 6th (1.72) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
5 Rebels SC White 1.80 (+0.40) 11th (1.45) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
6 Empire Surf 1.80 (+0.40) 9th (1.51) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 LA Breakers Red 1.80 (+0.40) 5th (1.79) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.80 (+0.40) 12th (1.35) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 Eagles SC Blue 1.75 (+0.35) 4th (1.83) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Rebels SC Blue 1.60 (+0.20) 7th (1.56) A point next game
11 Sporting California USA 1.50 (+0.10) 8th (1.53) A point next game
12 West Coast FC White 1.50 (+0.10) 14th (1.23) A point next game
13 CDA Slammers FC Black 1.40 (+0.00) 13th (1.34) A point next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 8 teams

Paths of results that link LAFC GOLD to LAFC WHITE through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

3 favour us
2 even
1 favour them
+1.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–4 4–0 4–1 2–0 3–0 3–2 1–0 1–0 0–2 0–4 5–1 3–1 LAFC GOLD 14th Pateadores 2nd Empire Surf 6th Legends FC 3rd CDA Slammers FC Bla… 13th LA Breakers Red 7th Legends FC - Del Mar 15th LAFC WHITE 16th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.31 · 16th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
06:15 PM
LAFC WHITE
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Away
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
56%
2–1 1.88 1.48 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
06:15 PM
West Coast FC White
12th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Home
Oak Park High School · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–2 1.63 1.50 Swing game
Sat Nov 7
11:00 AM
San Diego Surf
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +22
Away far trip
Surf Sports Park
●●●●● Very tough
3%
0–4 0.16 1.33 Upside
Sat Nov 14
04:30 PM
Rebels SC White
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Home
Alemany High School · turf
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.36 1.34 Upside
Sat Nov 21
01:00 PM
LV Heat Surf
17th · 0-0-6 · GD -22
Away far trip
Heritage Park Sports Complex
●●○○○ Lean win
70%
2–1 2.26 1.43 Bank it
Sat Mar 6
09:30 AM
Legends FC - Del Mar
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Away far trip
Canyon Crest Academy · turf?
●●●○○ Toss-up
52%
2–1 1.77 1.46 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
Beach Futbol Club Black
8th · 3-0-2 · GD -6
Home
●●●○○ Toss-up
54%
2–1 1.81 1.49 Swing game
Sat Mar 20
TBD
Eagles SC Blue
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +3
Away
●●●●● Very tough
22%
1–2 0.87 1.44 Upside
Sat Apr 3
TBD
LA Breakers White
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Home
●○○○○ Favorable
90%
4–1 2.76 1.54 Bank it
Sat Apr 24
TBD
Sporting California USA
11th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.37 1.52 Upside
Sat May 1
05:00 PM
FC Long Beach
4th · 3-1-1 · GD +9
Away far trip
Millikan High School · turf?
●●●●● Very tough
21%
1–2 0.82 1.48 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
LA Breakers Red
7th · 3-0-2 · GD +2
Away
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.94 1.45 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 220+22 93.00 WWW -0.81 -0.07 100% 1.1
2 Pateadores 6501 293+26 152.50 WWWLW -0.97 +0.56 99% 2.1
3 Legends FC 5401 134+9 122.40 WLWWW -0.25 +0.22 62% 4.4
4 FC Long Beach 5311 156+9 102.00 WDWLW -0.99 +0.34 27% 6.5
5 Rebels SC White 5302 128+4 91.80 LWLWW -1.27 +0.49 5% 9.8
6 Empire Surf 5302 107+3 91.80 WWLWL -0.58 +0.26 7% 9.0
7 LA Breakers Red 5302 1311+2 91.80 LLWWW +0.78 -0.39 34% 6.0
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 5302 915-6 91.80 WWWLL +0.62 -0.15 2% 11.2
9 Eagles SC Blue 4211 96+3 71.75 WDLW +0.84 -0.28 42% 5.5
10 Rebels SC Blue 5221 65+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.19 -0.08 8% 8.4
11 Sporting California USA 4202 98+1 61.50 LWWL +0.16 -0.05 7% 8.8
12 West Coast FC White 4202 1212+0 61.50 WWLL -1.02 +0.38 1% 12.0
13 CDA Slammers FC Black 5212 109+1 71.40 LDWLW -0.31 +0.15 2% 11.0
14 LAFC GOLD 5212 79-2 71.40 DWWLL +0.81 -0.31 5% 9.8
15 Legends FC - Del Mar 5104 818-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.01 -0.11 0% 14.8
16 LAFC WHITE 5005 415-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.47 -0.07 0% 16.0
17 LV Heat Surf 6006 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.34 0% 17.0
18 LA Breakers White 4004 333-30 00.00 LLLL +0.76 +0.07 0% 17.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.