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CDA Slammers FC Black

ECNL Regional League Boys · Southern Cal BU14 · 18 teams · CDA Slammers FC (all teams)

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13th
2-1-2 record · 5 played
1.40 points per game
+1 goal diff · 10–9
LDWLWlast 5
2% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.9
-0.31 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 10:00 AM

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CDA Slammers FC Black
13th · 1.40 PPG
at
LA Breakers White
18th · 0.00 PPG

Bell Gardens Sports Complex, Field 5 ↗ far trip

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 4–1 (expected goals 4.7 for, 1.4 against · 2.68 expected points)

Season so farCDA Slammers FC BlackLA Breakers White
Position13th18th
Record (W-D-L)2-1-20-0-4
Points per game1.400.00
Goals for / game2.00.8
Goals against / game1.88.3
Clean sheets20
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W L W D LL L L L
Biggest win4–0 vs LV Heat Surf—
Worst loss0–4 vs LA Breakers Red0–12 vs Pateadores
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.04-3.88
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.31+0.76

Common opponents: FC Long Beach — we 3–3; they 1–6.

Game plan

  • They struggle to score
    LA Breakers White average 0.8 goals/game (league avg 2.2); blanked in 2 of 4.

    A higher defensive line and an aggressive counter-press are low-risk here. Keep the back line connected to midfield so one long ball doesn't turn into a 1v1 — that is the only way this opponent scores.

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    LA Breakers White concede 8.2/game; worst result 0–12 vs Pateadores.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–4 vs LA Breakers Red.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 87% chance; likely score 4–1.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

  • Confidence is low on their side
    LA Breakers White have lost 4 straight (form: LLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 10:00 AM at Bell Gardens Sports Complex.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    West Coast FC White sit 12th on 1.50 PPG; we are on 1.40.

    A point moves us above West Coast FC White on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the LA Breakers White game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (CDA Slammers FC Black – LA Breakers White) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 7 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.67 PPG
10th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 4 13th— holds
Win
1.67 PPG
10th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 4 13th— holds
Draw
1.33 PPG
14th▼ down 1 13th— holds 14th▼ down 1
Loss
1.17 PPG
14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 4–1 win we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
2% top 4
98% below the top 4
10.9 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 1%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 3%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 7%
  9. 9th 9%
  10. 10th 10%
  11. 11th 13%
  12. 12th 15%
  13. 13th 16%
  14. 14th 14%
  15. 15th 4%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th
  18. 18th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 12 remaining known games (max 2.53 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 San Diego Surf 3.00 (+1.60) 1st (2.66) 44 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 39 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Pateadores 2.50 (+1.10) 2nd (2.35) 36 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 34 for their projection
3 Legends FC 2.40 (+1.00) 3rd (1.94) 34 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 26 for their projection
4 FC Long Beach 2.00 (+0.60) 6th (1.72) 27 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
5 Rebels SC White 1.80 (+0.40) 11th (1.45) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
6 Empire Surf 1.80 (+0.40) 9th (1.51) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 LA Breakers Red 1.80 (+0.40) 5th (1.79) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 1.80 (+0.40) 12th (1.35) 24 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
9 Eagles SC Blue 1.75 (+0.35) 4th (1.83) 23 of 36 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
10 Rebels SC Blue 1.60 (+0.20) 7th (1.56) A point next game
11 Sporting California USA 1.50 (+0.10) 8th (1.53) A point next game
12 West Coast FC White 1.50 (+0.10) 14th (1.23) A point next game

How the results connect

8 chains · 9 teams

Paths of results that link CDA Slammers FC Black to LA Breakers White through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

8 favour us
0 favour them
+8.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–3 6–1 0–4 0–3 12–0 4–0 0–2 7–2 2–0 2–0 0–4 6–0 8–0 2–4 0–4 CDA Slammers FC Bla… 13th FC Long Beach 4th LA Breakers Red 7th LV Heat Surf 17th LAFC GOLD 14th Pateadores 2nd Rebels SC White 5th West Coast FC White 12th LA Breakers White 18th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

8 chains

Position over the season

10 game days

1st 9th 18th Sep 12 Sep 19 Sep 26 Oct 3 Oct 17 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.15 · 7th hardest of 18

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 3
12:00 PM
no score posted
Eagles SC Blue
9th · 2-1-1 · GD +3
Away far trip
Pleasant Valley Fields
●●●●● Very tough
25%
1–2 0.93 1.32 Upside
Sat Oct 24
10:00 AM
LA Breakers White
18th · 0-0-4 · GD -30
Away far trip
Bell Gardens Sports Complex
●○○○○ Favorable
87%
4–1 2.68 1.52 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
TBD
Sporting California USA
11th · 2-0-2 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
42%
2–1 1.46 1.51 Upside
Sat Nov 14
11:00 AM
Legends FC
3rd · 4-0-1 · GD +9
Away
Silverlakes Complex
●●●●● Very tough
18%
1–2 0.75 1.42 Upside
Sat Nov 21
12:30 PM
LAFC WHITE
16th · 0-0-5 · GD -11
Away far trip
Alemany High School · turf
●●○○○ Lean win
59%
2–1 1.98 1.48 Swing game
Sat Mar 13
TBD
San Diego Surf
1st · 3-0-0 · GD +22
Home
●●●●● Very tough
7%
1–3 0.29 1.37 Upside
Sat Apr 3
12:45 PM
Rebels SC White
5th · 3-0-2 · GD +4
Away far trip
Monte Vista High School · turf?
●●●●○ Tough
32%
1–2 1.17 1.35 Upside
Sat Apr 10
TBD
Pateadores
2nd · 5-0-1 · GD +26
Home
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–3 0.45 1.28 Upside
Sat Apr 17
TBD
West Coast FC White
12th · 2-0-2 · GD +0
Away
●●●●○ Tough
41%
2–2 1.42 1.29 Upside
Sat Apr 24
01:00 PM
Empire Surf
6th · 3-0-2 · GD +3
Away far trip
Galway Downs
●●●●○ Tough
31%
1–2 1.15 1.28 Upside
Sat May 1
TBD
Rebels SC Blue
10th · 2-2-1 · GD +1
Home
●●●●○ Tough
38%
1–1 1.40 1.29 Upside
Sat May 8
TBD
Legends FC - Del Mar
15th · 1-0-4 · GD -10
Home
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
3–1 2.16 1.34 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 San Diego Surf 3300 220+22 93.00 WWW -0.81 -0.07 100% 1.2
2 Pateadores 6501 293+26 152.50 WWWLW -0.97 +0.56 98% 2.1
3 Legends FC 5401 134+9 122.40 WLWWW -0.25 +0.22 61% 4.5
4 FC Long Beach 5311 156+9 102.00 WDWLW -0.99 +0.34 25% 6.5
5 Rebels SC White 5302 128+4 91.80 LWLWW -1.27 +0.49 5% 9.8
6 Empire Surf 5302 107+3 91.80 WWLWL -0.58 +0.26 6% 9.0
7 LA Breakers Red 5302 1311+2 91.80 LLWWW +0.78 -0.39 36% 5.9
8 Beach Futbol Club Black 5302 915-6 91.80 WWWLL +0.62 -0.15 1% 11.0
9 Eagles SC Blue 4211 96+3 71.75 WDLW +0.84 -0.28 45% 5.4
10 Rebels SC Blue 5221 65+1 81.60 DDLWW +0.19 -0.08 9% 8.5
11 Sporting California USA 4202 98+1 61.50 LWWL +0.16 -0.05 8% 8.7
12 West Coast FC White 4202 1212+0 61.50 WWLL -1.02 +0.38 0% 12.0
13 CDA Slammers FC Black 5212 109+1 71.40 LDWLW -0.31 +0.15 2% 10.9
14 LAFC GOLD 5212 79-2 71.40 DWWLL +0.81 -0.31 4% 9.9
15 Legends FC - Del Mar 5104 818-10 30.60 LLLLW -0.01 -0.11 0% 14.7
16 LAFC WHITE 5005 415-11 00.00 LLLLL +0.47 -0.07 0% 16.0
17 LV Heat Surf 6006 325-22 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.34 0% 17.0
18 LA Breakers White 4004 333-30 00.00 LLLL +0.76 +0.07 0% 17.6

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.23 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.