TableChase Clubs

Sting Brave NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · Sting Soccer Club (all teams)

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24th
1-0-8 record · 9 played
0.33 points per game
-25 goal diff · 8–33
LLLLLlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 23.1
+0.36 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 07:00 PM

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Sting Brave NTX
24th · 0.33 PPG
at
Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
20th · 0.88 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 1–2 (expected goals 1.3 for, 2.4 against · 0.77 expected points)

Season so farSting Brave NTXAtletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Position24th20th
Record (W-D-L)1-0-82-1-5
Points per game0.330.88
Goals for / game0.91.3
Goals against / game3.72.4
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)L L L L LL D L W L
Biggest win1–0 vs SOLAR RED NTX4–1 vs SOLAR RED NTX
Worst loss0–6 at Nido Dallas White NTX0–5 vs Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-1.90-0.82
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.36-0.27

Common opponents: SOLAR RED NTX — we 1–0; they 4–1. Nido Dallas White NTX — we 0–6; they 0–2. Atletico Dallas Youth NTX — we 1–5; they 0–5. Sting NTX — we 1–2; they 1–5. FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 1–5; they 0–0. Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX — we 2–6; they 1–3.

Game plan

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–6 at Nido Dallas White NTX, 0–2 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX, 0–3 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 19%; a draw (19%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:00 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Kernow Storm FC NTX Black sit 23rd on 0.43 PPG; we are on 0.33.

    A point moves us above Kernow Storm FC NTX Black on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Sting Brave NTX – Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 0.30 PPG		 24th— holds 24th— holds 24th— holds
Win
0.60 PPG		 22nd▲ up 2 21st▲ up 3 24th— holds
Draw
0.40 PPG		 24th— holds 22nd▲ up 2 24th— holds
Loss
0.30 PPG		 24th— holds 24th— holds 24th— holds

Can we move up this round? No. With a 1–2 loss we stay 24th even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
23.1 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th
  7. 7th
  8. 8th
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th <1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th 1%
  20. 20th 3%
  21. 21st 6%
  22. 22nd 12%
  23. 23rd 27%
  24. 24th 50%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 6 remaining known games (max 1.40 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.50 (+2.17) 1st (2.32) 35 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Fever United FC NTX 2.43 (+2.10) 2nd (2.06) 34 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.25 (+1.92) 3rd (2.05) 31 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 1.88 (+1.55) 5th (1.79) 26 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.88 (+1.55) 9th (1.65) 26 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.86 (+1.53) 4th (1.98) 25 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 1.75 (+1.42) 13th (1.51) 24 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
8 Sting NTX 1.63 (+1.30) 14th (1.41) 22 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.57 (+1.24) 10th (1.61) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.57 (+1.24) 7th (1.72) 21 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.50 (+1.17) 6th (1.76) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 1.50 (+1.17) 8th (1.67) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.50 (+1.17) 12th (1.52) 20 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 1.29 (+0.96) 18th (1.04) 17 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
15 Dallas Texans NTX 1.25 (+0.92) 11th (1.58) 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.25 (+0.92) 16th (1.13) 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
17 DKSC NTX 1.25 (+0.92) 15th (1.31) 16 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 1.14 (+0.81) 19th (0.99) 15 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 1.00 (+0.67) 17th (1.13) 12 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 0.88 (+0.55) 20th (0.93) 11 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 11 for their projection
21 SOLAR RED NTX 0.63 (+0.30) 21st (0.75) 7 of 18 pts to pass their current pace, 9 for their projection
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 0.50 (+0.17) 22nd (0.74) A point next game
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 0.43 (+0.10) 23rd (0.58) A point next game

How the results connect

19 chains · 11 teams

Paths of results that link Sting Brave NTX to Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

12 favour us
7 favour them
+0.8 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–5 5–0 2–6 3–1 1–0 1–4 1–2 5–1 1–5 0–0 0–6 2–0 0–3 4–1 2–1 2–1 1–4 5–1 0–2 0–1 2–0 Sting Brave NTX 24th Atletico Dallas You… 1st Fort Worth Vaqueros… 14th SOLAR RED NTX 21st Sting NTX 8th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th Nido Dallas White N… 3rd NTX Celtic FC NTX 11th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 13th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 23rd Atletico Dallas You… 20th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.71 · 23rd hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM		 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
20th · 2-1-5 · GD -9		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
19%		 1–2 0.77 0.38 Upside
Thu Oct 29
08:15 PM		 Texas Spurs FC NTX
12th · 3-3-2 · GD +6		 Home
Railroad Park 		●●●●● Very tough
8%		 1–3 0.34 0.37 Upside
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM		 DKSC NTX
17th · 3-1-4 · GD -6		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
20%		 1–2 0.79 0.41 Upside
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM		 SOLAR WHITE NTX
22nd · 1-0-5 · GD -13		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
26%		 1–2 0.96 0.45 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:40 AM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
23rd · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 2–2 1.24 0.51 Upside
Sat Apr 17
03:20 PM		 Dallas Texans NTX
15th · 3-1-4 · GD +0		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●● Very tough
9%		 0–2 0.40 0.50 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 97% 1.7
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 68% 3.9
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 76% 3.5
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 22% 7.2
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 9% 9.3
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 58% 4.6
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 3% 11.4
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.2
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 9% 9.7
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 17% 7.8
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 24% 6.9
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 11% 8.4
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 2% 11.4
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.1
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 4% 10.2
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.8
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.5
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.2
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.2
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.7
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.2
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.