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FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · FC Dallas Youth (all teams)

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10th
3-2-2 record · 7 played
1.57 points per game
+6 goal diff · 14–8
LDWDWlast 5
20% chance of top 4 · expected finish 7.7
-0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 11:40 AM

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FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 1.57 PPG
at
Texas Spurs FC NTX
12th · 1.50 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 13 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.9 for, 2.0 against · 1.38 expected points)

Season so farFC Dallas Youth Blue NTXTexas Spurs FC NTX
Position10th12th
Record (W-D-L)3-2-23-3-2
Points per game1.571.50
Goals for / game2.02.6
Goals against / game1.11.9
Clean sheets32
Held scoreless20
Form (recent first)W D W D LL W W W D
Biggest win5–1 vs Sting Brave NTX8–2 at Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
Worst loss0–2 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX3–6 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.54+0.49
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.23-0.30

Common opponents: DKSC NTX — we 3–0; they 4–0.

Game plan

  • Respect their attack
    Texas Spurs FC NTX score 2.6/game — well above the league's 1.8.

    Deny the easy goals first: compact shape between the lines, no fouls in shooting range, and a plan for their best outlet. Score first and make them chase.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX, 0–0 vs Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 39%; a draw (21%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 11:40 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX sit 9th on 1.57 PPG; we are on 1.57.

    A point moves us above FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the Texas Spurs FC NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX – Texas Spurs FC NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.50 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 10th— holds 14th▼ down 4
Win
1.75 PPG		 7th▲ up 3 9th▲ up 1 11th▼ down 1
Draw
1.50 PPG		 11th▼ down 1 10th— holds 14th▼ down 4
Loss
1.38 PPG		 13th▼ down 3 14th▼ down 4 18th▼ down 8

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 7th if every rival drops points, and as low as 14th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

1% finish 1st
20% top 4
81% below the top 4
7.7 average finish
  1. 1st 1%
  2. 2nd 3%
  3. 3rd 7%
  4. 4th 9%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 11%
  7. 7th 10%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 10%
  10. 10th 8%
  11. 11th 6%
  12. 12th 6%
  13. 13th 4%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.33 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.50 (+0.93) 1st (2.32) 27 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 24 for their projection
2 Fever United FC NTX 2.43 (+0.86) 2nd (2.06) 26 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.25 (+0.68) 3rd (2.05) 23 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 1.88 (+0.31) 5th (1.79) 18 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.88 (+0.31) 9th (1.65) 18 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.86 (+0.29) 4th (1.98) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 1.75 (+0.18) 13th (1.51) Win next game
8 Sting NTX 1.63 (+0.06) 14th (1.41) A point next game
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.57 (+0.00) 10th (1.61) A point next game

How the results connect

11 chains · 15 teams

Paths of results that link FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX to Texas Spurs FC NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

7 favour us
4 favour them
+1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
3–0 0–4 0–4 2–2 5–1 0–2 0–1 0–2 3–3 1–1 2–2 1–1 2–3 3–2 6–3 0–2 1–0 2–0 3–0 3–2 3–1 0–0 1–2 2–8 FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th DKSC NTX 17th Sting Brave NTX 24th SOLAR BLUE NTX 16th Fever United FC NTX 2nd FC Dallas Youth Nav… 9th Atletico Dallas You… 20th FC Dallas Youth Red… 19th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 13th DKSC WHITE NTX 18th Kernow Storm FC NTX 7th Dallas Texans Red N… 5th Dallas Texans NTX 15th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 23rd Texas Spurs FC NTX 12th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

11 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -0.35 · 17th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Mon Jan 1
TBD
no score posted		 FC Dallas Youth White NTX
6th · 4-1-2 · GD +7		 Home
●●●●○ Tough
39%		 1–1 1.42 1.55 Upside
Sun Oct 25
11:40 AM		 Texas Spurs FC NTX
12th · 3-3-2 · GD +6		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
39%		 1–1 1.38 1.53 Upside
Thu Oct 29
06:30 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
23rd · 1-0-6 · GD -24		 Away
Railroad Park 		●○○○○ Favorable
82%		 3–1 2.56 1.64 Bank it
Sun Nov 1
08:00 AM		 SOLAR WHITE NTX
22nd · 1-0-5 · GD -13		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
72%		 2–1 2.31 1.70 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM		 Dallas Texans NTX
15th · 3-1-4 · GD +0		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
41%		 1–1 1.49 1.68 Upside
Sun Apr 11
11:40 AM		 Nido Dallas Blue NTX
13th · 4-0-4 · GD -2		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
55%		 1–1 1.90 1.70 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
03:20 PM		 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX
14th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
80%		 3–1 2.51 1.75 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
03:20 PM		 NTX Celtic FC NTX
11th · 3-3-2 · GD +11		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
35%		 1–1 1.28 1.72 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 97% 1.6
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 69% 3.8
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 74% 3.5
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 23% 7.2
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 8% 9.4
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 58% 4.7
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 2% 11.4
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.1
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 7% 9.7
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 20% 7.7
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 22% 7.1
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 12% 8.4
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 2% 11.5
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.2
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 4% 10.1
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.7
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.4
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.4
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.2
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.7
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.2
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.