TableChase Clubs

Atletico Dallas Youth NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · Atletico Dallas Youth (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 1 hour ago.
Add schedule to calendar
1st
6-2-0 record · 8 played
2.50 points per game
+22 goal diff · 28–6
WDWWDlast 5
96% chance of top 4 · expected finish 1.7
-0.41 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:10 PM

Open the match preview →

Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 2.50 PPG
vs
SOLAR RED NTX
21st · 0.63 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●○○○○ Favorable to win

Most likely score 2–0 (expected goals 3.0 for, 0.8 against · 2.56 expected points)

Season so farAtletico Dallas Youth NTXSOLAR RED NTX
Position1st21st
Record (W-D-L)6-2-01-2-5
Points per game2.500.63
Goals for / game3.51.1
Goals against / game0.81.6
Clean sheets41
Held scoreless02
Form (recent first)D W W D WL D L D L
Biggest win8–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Black3–0 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
Worst loss—1–4 at Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+1.76-0.42
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.41-0.21

Common opponents: Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX — we 5–0; they 1–4. Nido Dallas Blue NTX — we 1–0; they 2–3. Sting Brave NTX — we 5–1; they 0–1. Kernow Storm FC NTX Black — we 8–0; they 3–0. FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX — we 1–0; they 1–1. BVBIA DFW NTX — we 2–2; they 1–2.

Game plan

  • Expected win — the trap is complacency
    Model gives a 82% chance; likely score 2–0.

    Treat the first 15 minutes like a final: score early, then the game manages itself. This is the ideal game to give rotation players real minutes in the second half without risking points.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR RED NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Atletico Dallas Youth NTX – SOLAR RED NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 2.56 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Win
2.56 PPG
1st— holds 1st— holds 1st— holds
Draw
2.33 PPG
2nd▼ down 1 1st— holds 2nd▼ down 1
Loss
2.22 PPG
3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2 3rd▼ down 2

Can we move up this round? No. With a 2–0 win we stay 1st even if every rival loses, whatever the rivals do.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

62% finish 1st
96% top 4
4% below the top 4
1.7 average finish
  1. 1st 62%
  2. 2nd 21%
  3. 3rd 9%
  4. 4th 4%
  5. 5th 2%
  6. 6th 1%
  7. 7th 1%
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th
  10. 10th
  11. 11th
  12. 12th
  13. 13th
  14. 14th
  15. 15th
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

Top of the table. The job is to stay there: see the path below for where points are most at risk.

How the results connect

17 chains · 10 teams

Paths of results that link Atletico Dallas Youth NTX to SOLAR RED NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

17 favour us
0 favour them
+3.9 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–2 2–1 1–0 1–1 1–0 3–2 8–0 0–3 5–1 1–0 5–0 4–1 1–1 1–0 4–1 2–1 1–4 1–2 1–2 0–2 Atletico Dallas You… 1st BVBIA DFW NTX 4th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 9th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 13th Kernow Storm FC NTX… 23rd Sting Brave NTX 24th Atletico Dallas You… 20th Sting NTX 8th Fever United FC NTX 2nd SOLAR RED NTX 21st

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.37 · 10th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
05:10 PM
SOLAR RED NTX
21st · 1-2-5 · GD -4
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
2–0 2.56 2.51 Bank it
Thu Oct 29
08:15 PM
Fever United FC NTX
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +9
Away
Railroad Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
2–1 1.75 2.43 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
11:40 AM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
19th · 2-2-4 · GD +0
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
63%
2–1 2.10 2.40 Swing game
Sat Apr 3
05:10 PM
DKSC WHITE NTX
18th · 2-2-3 · GD -3
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
79%
2–0 2.49 2.41 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
01:30 PM
Nido Dallas White NTX
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +19
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
2–1 1.56 2.34 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
11:40 AM
Kernow Storm FC NTX
7th · 4-2-2 · GD +2
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
67%
2–0 2.20 2.33 Swing game
Sun Apr 25
01:30 PM
Dallas Texans Red NTX
5th · 5-0-3 · GD +5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
66%
2–1 2.17 2.32 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 96% 1.7
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 70% 3.8
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 73% 3.6
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 24% 7.0
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 9% 9.3
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 59% 4.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 3% 11.4
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.1
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 9% 9.5
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 17% 7.8
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 23% 7.1
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 11% 8.5
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 2% 11.5
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.2
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 3% 10.2
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.8
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.4
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.3
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.2
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.8
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.1
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.