TableChase Clubs

DKSC WHITE NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · DKSC (all teams)

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18th
2-2-3 record · 7 played
1.14 points per game
-3 goal diff · 8–11
LWLDWlast 5
0% chance of top 4 · expected finish 18.3
+0.17 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 07:00 PM

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DKSC WHITE NTX
18th · 1.14 PPG
vs

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●● Very tough to win

Most likely score 0–1 (expected goals 0.8 for, 1.5 against · 0.88 expected points)

Season so farDKSC WHITE NTXFC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Position18th9th
Record (W-D-L)2-2-33-2-2
Points per game1.141.57
Goals for / game1.11.7
Goals against / game1.60.6
Clean sheets14
Held scoreless33
Form (recent first)W D L W LL W D D W
Biggest win2–0 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX6–0 vs Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX
Worst loss0–4 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)-0.24+0.74
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.17+0.08

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX concede only 0.6/game with 4 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 3 time(s): 0–1 at DKSC NTX, 0–4 at FC Dallas Youth White NTX, 0–1 vs Kernow Storm FC NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 21%; a draw (27%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • What a win does
    DKSC NTX sit 17th on 1.25 PPG; we are on 1.14.

    A point moves us above DKSC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (DKSC WHITE NTX – FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 13 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Loss · 1.00 PPG
19th▼ down 1 20th▼ down 2 21st▼ down 3
Win
1.38 PPG
14th▲ up 4 15th▲ up 3 18th— holds
Draw
1.13 PPG
18th— holds 16th▲ up 2 19th▼ down 1
Loss
1.00 PPG
19th▼ down 1 20th▼ down 2 21st▼ down 3

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 0–1 loss we finish as high as 17th if every rival drops points, and as low as 21st if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
0% top 4
100% below the top 4
18.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd
  3. 3rd
  4. 4th
  5. 5th
  6. 6th <1%
  7. 7th
  8. 8th <1%
  9. 9th <1%
  10. 10th <1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th 2%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 6%
  16. 16th 9%
  17. 17th 12%
  18. 18th 15%
  19. 19th 17%
  20. 20th 15%
  21. 21st 11%
  22. 22nd 7%
  23. 23rd 2%
  24. 24th <1%

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.13 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.50 (+1.36) 1st (2.32) 30 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 27 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Fever United FC NTX 2.43 (+1.29) 2nd (2.06) 29 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.25 (+1.11) 3rd (2.05) 26 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 1.88 (+0.74) 5th (1.79) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.88 (+0.74) 9th (1.65) 21 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.86 (+0.72) 4th (1.98) 20 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 22 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 1.75 (+0.61) 13th (1.51) 19 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
8 Sting NTX 1.63 (+0.49) 14th (1.41) 17 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 14 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.57 (+0.43) 10th (1.61) 16 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.57 (+0.43) 7th (1.72) 16 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.50 (+0.36) 6th (1.76) 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 1.50 (+0.36) 8th (1.67) 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 18 for their projection
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.50 (+0.36) 12th (1.52) 15 of 24 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 1.29 (+0.15) 18th (1.04) A point next game
15 Dallas Texans NTX 1.25 (+0.11) 11th (1.58) A point next game
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 1.25 (+0.11) 16th (1.13) A point next game
17 DKSC NTX 1.25 (+0.11) 15th (1.31) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 14 teams

Paths of results that link DKSC WHITE NTX to FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
2 even
7 favour them
-1.4 goals per chain on average. The results point their way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–0 1–0 0–3 3–3 0–0 0–0 2–2 1–0 2–1 1–0 0–1 6–1 0–2 0–3 2–0 2–0 1–1 2–2 1–3 2–0 3–1 0–6 0–4 2–1 DKSC WHITE NTX 18th Dallas Texans Red N… 5th SOLAR BLUE NTX 16th Dallas Texans NTX 15th DKSC NTX 17th Texas Spurs FC NTX 12th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 6th FC Dallas Youth Red… 19th NTX Celtic FC NTX 11th Atletico Dallas You… 1st SOLAR WHITE NTX 22nd FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th Fort Worth Vaqueros… 14th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 9th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.66 · 1st hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
07:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
9th · 3-2-2 · GD +8
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
21%
0–1 0.88 1.11 Upside
Sun Oct 25
01:30 PM
BVBIA DFW NTX
4th · 4-3-1 · GD +8
Away
Fairview Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
17%
0–1 0.72 1.07 Upside
Sat Nov 7
07:00 PM
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
19th · 2-2-4 · GD +0
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
26%
1–1 1.04 1.06 Upside
Sun Nov 8
11:40 AM
SOLAR RED NTX
21st · 1-2-5 · GD -4
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
36%
1–1 1.35 1.09 Upside
Sat Apr 3
05:10 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 6-2-0 · GD +22
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
8%
0–2 0.38 1.03 Upside
Sun Apr 4
03:20 PM
Fever United FC NTX
2nd · 5-2-0 · GD +9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
16%
1–2 0.66 1.00 Upside
Sat Apr 17
11:40 AM
Nido Dallas White NTX
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +19
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
11%
1–2 0.48 0.97 Upside
Sun Apr 18
09:50 AM
Sting NTX
8th · 4-1-3 · GD +0
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
39%
1–1 1.39 0.99 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 98% 1.7
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 68% 3.9
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 75% 3.4
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 22% 7.1
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 9% 9.4
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 59% 4.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 2% 11.5
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.0
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 9% 9.4
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 18% 7.8
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 23% 7.0
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 11% 8.6
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 3% 11.4
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.2
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 3% 10.2
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.7
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.5
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.3
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.1
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.8
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.1
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.1

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.