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Fever United FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · Fever United (all teams)

Scores refresh automatically every 2 hours · last pulled 57 minutes ago.
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2nd
5-2-0 record · 7 played
2.43 points per game
+9 goal diff · 18–9
WWWDWlast 5
67% chance of top 4 · expected finish 3.9
+0.10 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 05:10 PM

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Fever United FC NTX
2nd · 2.43 PPG
at
FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
19th · 1.00 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●○○ Toss-up to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.8 for, 1.3 against · 1.67 expected points)

Season so farFever United FC NTXFC Dallas Youth Red NTX
Position2nd19th
Record (W-D-L)5-2-02-2-4
Points per game2.431.00
Goals for / game2.61.4
Goals against / game1.31.4
Clean sheets11
Held scoreless03
Form (recent first)W D W W WW D L L D
Biggest win4–1 vs SOLAR WHITE NTX4–0 at DKSC NTX
Worst loss—0–3 at FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.92+0.12
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.10+0.40

Common opponents: Dallas Texans Red NTX — we 3–2; they 0–1. SOLAR RED NTX — we 1–0; they 1–1.

Game plan

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 48% / draw 23% / loss 29%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Away game
    Kickoff 05:10 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Atletico Dallas Youth NTX sit 1st on 2.50 PPG; we are on 2.43.

    A win moves us above Atletico Dallas Youth NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth Red NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Fever United FC NTX – FC Dallas Youth Red NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 2.25 PPG		 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Win
2.50 PPG		 2nd— holds 2nd— holds 2nd— holds
Draw
2.25 PPG		 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1
Loss
2.13 PPG		 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1 3rd▼ down 1

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 1st if every rival drops points, and as low as 3rd if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

13% finish 1st
67% top 4
33% below the top 4
3.9 average finish
  1. 1st 13%
  2. 2nd 20%
  3. 3rd 19%
  4. 4th 15%
  5. 5th 11%
  6. 6th 7%
  7. 7th 5%
  8. 8th 3%
  9. 9th 3%
  10. 10th 1%
  11. 11th 1%
  12. 12th 1%
  13. 13th <1%
  14. 14th <1%
  15. 15th <1%
  16. 16th
  17. 17th
  18. 18th
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 8 remaining known games (max 2.73 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.50 (+0.07) 1st (2.32) Win next game

How the results connect

15 chains · 13 teams

Paths of results that link Fever United FC NTX to FC Dallas Youth Red NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

10 favour us
2 even
3 favour them
+1.6 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
1–0 1–1 3–2 1–0 1–1 2–0 1–3 3–2 3–0 0–4 2–1 2–0 2–2 0–2 1–0 2–1 2–1 0–0 3–0 1–1 2–0 6–3 2–2 Fever United FC NTX 2nd SOLAR RED NTX 21st Dallas Texans Red N… 5th BVBIA DFW NTX 4th FC Dallas Youth Blu… 10th NTX Celtic FC NTX 11th Nido Dallas White N… 3rd DKSC NTX 17th Dallas Texans NTX 15th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 6th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 9th Texas Spurs FC NTX 12th FC Dallas Youth Red… 19th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.30 · 11th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
05:10 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX
19th · 2-2-4 · GD +0		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
48%		 1–1 1.67 2.33 Swing game
Thu Oct 29
08:15 PM		 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX
1st · 6-2-0 · GD +22		 Home
Railroad Park 		●●●●○ Tough
28%		 1–2 1.05 2.19 Upside
Sun Nov 1
11:40 AM		 Nido Dallas White NTX
3rd · 6-0-2 · GD +19		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
38%		 2–2 1.33 2.11 Upside
Sun Nov 8
03:20 PM		 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX
14th · 3-0-4 · GD -13		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●○○○○ Favorable
79%		 3–1 2.49 2.14 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
03:20 PM		 DKSC WHITE NTX
18th · 2-2-3 · GD -3		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
65%		 2–1 2.15 2.14 Swing game
Sun Apr 11
07:00 PM		 Kernow Storm FC NTX
7th · 4-2-2 · GD +2		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●○○ Toss-up
53%		 1–1 1.81 2.12 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
11:40 AM		 SOLAR BLUE NTX
16th · 2-4-2 · GD -4		 Home
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●○○○ Lean win
70%		 3–1 2.26 2.13 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
01:30 PM		 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX
9th · 3-2-2 · GD +8		 Away
Dallas Soccer Park		 ●●●●○ Tough
31%		 1–1 1.19 2.06 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 97% 1.6
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 67% 3.9
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 74% 3.6
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 24% 7.1
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 10% 9.3
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 57% 4.7
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 2% 11.4
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.0
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 9% 9.6
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 19% 7.8
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 24% 7.0
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 11% 8.5
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 2% 11.4
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.1
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 4% 10.1
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.7
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.6
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.4
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.2
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.7
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.2
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.