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Dallas Texans NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU16 · 24 teams · Dallas Texans (all teams)

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15th
3-1-4 record · 8 played
1.25 points per game
+0 goal diff · 10–10
LDWLWlast 5
3% chance of top 4 · expected finish 10.3
+0.27 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sun Oct 25, 07:00 PM

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Dallas Texans NTX
15th · 1.25 PPG
at
SOLAR WHITE NTX
22nd · 0.50 PPG

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 4 ↗

windrawloss

●●○○○ Lean win to win

Most likely score 2–1 (expected goals 2.1 for, 1.1 against · 2.03 expected points)

Season so farDallas Texans NTXSOLAR WHITE NTX
Position15th22nd
Record (W-D-L)3-1-41-0-5
Points per game1.250.50
Goals for / game1.31.0
Goals against / game1.33.2
Clean sheets30
Held scoreless22
Form (recent first)W L W D LL L L L L
Biggest win2–0 vs NTX Celtic FC NTX3–1 vs SOLAR BLUE NTX
Worst loss0–2 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX1–6 at DKSC NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.11-1.37
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)+0.27+0.10

Common opponents: DKSC NTX — we 2–3; they 1–6.

Game plan

  • They leak goals — be greedy
    SOLAR WHITE NTX concede 3.2/game; worst result 1–6 at DKSC NTX.

    Commit numbers forward, shoot early and often, and attack second balls. Goal difference is the tiebreaker on PPG, so keep playing to score for the full game — rotate players rather than pace.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 2 time(s): 0–2 vs Dallas Texans Red NTX, 0–0 vs FC Dallas Youth White NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Swing game — small margins
    Win 61% / draw 20% / loss 19%.

    Games like this are decided by one set piece or one transition. Prioritise the strongest XI for the full game, be disciplined with fouls near the box, and have a clear late-game plan for both "protect the lead" and "chase".

  • Confidence is low on their side
    SOLAR WHITE NTX have lost 5 straight (form: LLLLL).

    Teams on losing runs go quiet after conceding. An early goal usually ends the contest — start fast.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 07:00 PM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • What a win does
    Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX sit 14th on 1.29 PPG; we are on 1.25.

    A point moves us above Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Sunday goes…

Where we'd sit after the SOLAR WHITE NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (Dallas Texans NTX – SOLAR WHITE NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 14 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Win · 1.44 PPG
14th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 2 16th▼ down 1
Win
1.44 PPG
14th▲ up 1 13th▲ up 2 16th▼ down 1
Draw
1.22 PPG
17th▼ down 2 14th▲ up 1 19th▼ down 4
Loss
1.11 PPG
18th▼ down 3 15th— holds 20th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 2–1 win we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 16th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
3% top 4
97% below the top 4
10.3 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 1%
  4. 4th 2%
  5. 5th 4%
  6. 6th 6%
  7. 7th 9%
  8. 8th 10%
  9. 9th 11%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 10%
  12. 12th 11%
  13. 13th 8%
  14. 14th 7%
  15. 15th 5%
  16. 16th 3%
  17. 17th 2%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th <1%
  20. 20th <1%
  21. 21st <1%
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd <1%
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 7 remaining known games (max 2.07 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.50 (+1.25) 1st (2.32) 28 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 Fever United FC NTX 2.43 (+1.18) 2nd (2.06) 27 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 2.25 (+1.00) 3rd (2.05) 24 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 1.88 (+0.63) 5th (1.79) 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 1.88 (+0.63) 9th (1.65) 19 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 1.86 (+0.61) 4th (1.98) 18 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 20 for their projection
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 1.75 (+0.50) 13th (1.51) 17 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
8 Sting NTX 1.63 (+0.38) 14th (1.41) 15 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 12 for their projection
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 1.57 (+0.32) 10th (1.61) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 15 for their projection
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 1.57 (+0.32) 7th (1.72) 14 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 1.50 (+0.25) 6th (1.76) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 17 for their projection
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 1.50 (+0.25) 8th (1.67) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 16 for their projection
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 1.50 (+0.25) 12th (1.52) 13 of 21 pts to pass their current pace, 13 for their projection
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 1.29 (+0.04) 18th (1.04) A point next game

How the results connect

13 chains · 12 teams

Paths of results that link Dallas Texans NTX to SOLAR WHITE NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

9 favour us
3 even
1 favour them
+3.5 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
2–3 6–1 2–0 0–0 1–3 1–0 0–3 2–0 0–2 2–3 4–1 0–3 3–0 1–2 0–1 3–3 0–0 1–2 2–2 2–2 2–0 4–0 Dallas Texans NTX 15th DKSC NTX 17th NTX Celtic FC NTX 11th FC Dallas Youth Red… 19th Dallas Texans Red N… 5th DKSC WHITE NTX 18th Kernow Storm FC NTX 7th SOLAR BLUE NTX 16th FC Dallas Youth Nav… 9th Fever United FC NTX 2nd BVBIA DFW NTX 4th SOLAR WHITE NTX 22nd

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

12 chains

Position over the season

13 game days

1st 12th 24th Aug 22 Sep 5 Sep 13 Sep 27 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty -1.03 · 24th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
22nd · 1-0-5 · GD -13
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
61%
2–1 2.03 1.34 Swing game
Thu Oct 29
06:30 PM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
13th · 4-0-4 · GD -2
Home
Railroad Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
46%
1–1 1.63 1.37 Swing game
Sun Nov 1
05:10 PM
Kernow Storm FC NTX Black
23rd · 1-0-6 · GD -24
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
72%
2–1 2.31 1.45 Bank it
Sun Apr 4
09:50 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
10th · 3-2-2 · GD +6
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
33%
1–1 1.25 1.44 Upside
Sun Apr 11
07:00 PM
Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX
14th · 3-0-4 · GD -13
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.24 1.50 Swing game
Sat Apr 17
03:20 PM
Sting Brave NTX
24th · 1-0-8 · GD -25
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
77%
2–0 2.46 1.57 Bank it
Sun Apr 25
07:00 PM
Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
20th · 2-1-5 · GD -9
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
51%
1–1 1.78 1.58 Swing game

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 8620 286+22 202.50 WDWWD -0.41 +0.37 97% 1.7
2 Fever United FC NTX 7520 189+9 172.43 WWWDW +0.10 +0.30 67% 4.0
3 Nido Dallas White NTX 8602 2910+19 182.25 WLWWL -0.47 +0.45 74% 3.5
4 BVBIA DFW NTX 8431 168+8 151.88 DWWDD +0.40 +0.14 23% 7.1
5 Dallas Texans Red NTX 8503 1510+5 151.88 WWLLL +0.23 +0.56 8% 9.4
6 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 7412 147+7 131.86 WLDWW -0.24 -0.54 59% 4.5
7 Kernow Storm FC NTX 8422 119+2 141.75 DWLLW +0.30 +0.51 3% 11.3
8 Sting NTX 8413 1717+0 131.63 WLLWD -0.23 +0.42 1% 13.0
9 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 7322 124+8 111.57 WDDWL +0.08 +0.41 11% 9.3
10 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 7322 148+6 111.57 LDWDW -0.23 -0.35 19% 7.7
11 NTX Celtic FC NTX 8332 198+11 121.50 DWLWW -0.49 -0.16 23% 7.0
12 Texas Spurs FC NTX 8332 2115+6 121.50 DWWWL -0.30 -0.47 12% 8.5
13 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 8404 1113-2 121.50 WWLWL +0.01 -0.47 2% 11.5
14 Fort Worth Vaqueros FC NTX 7304 1225-13 91.29 LLWLW -0.15 -0.16 0% 18.1
15 Dallas Texans NTX 8314 1010+0 101.25 LDWLW +0.27 -1.03 3% 10.3
16 SOLAR BLUE NTX 8242 1519-4 101.25 WDDLD +0.24 +0.40 0% 16.8
17 DKSC NTX 8314 1218-6 101.25 DLWWL +0.05 -0.68 0% 14.7
18 DKSC WHITE NTX 7223 811-3 81.14 LWLDW +0.17 +0.66 0% 18.5
19 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 8224 1111+0 81.00 DLLDW +0.40 +0.44 0% 16.4
20 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 8215 1019-9 70.88 LWLDL -0.27 -0.05 0% 19.1
21 SOLAR RED NTX 8125 913-4 50.63 LDLDL -0.21 +0.48 0% 20.7
22 SOLAR WHITE NTX 6105 619-13 30.50 LLLLL +0.10 -0.31 0% 21.1
23 Kernow Storm FC NTX Black 7106 731-24 30.43 LLLWL +0.48 -0.50 0% 22.6
24 Sting Brave NTX 9108 833-25 30.33 LLLLL +0.36 -0.71 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (1.80 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.