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NTX Celtic FC NTX

ECNL Regional League Boys · North Texas BU13 · 24 teams · NTX Celtic FC (all teams)

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9th
3-0-2 record · 5 played
1.80 points per game
+7 goal diff · 11–4
WWLLWlast 5
6% chance of top 4 · expected finish 8.8
-0.23 schedule faced · avg opponent rating

Next game — Sat Oct 24, 08:00 AM

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NTX Celtic FC NTX
9th · 1.80 PPG
at

Dallas Soccer Park, Field 6 ↗

windrawloss

●●●●○ Tough to win

Most likely score 1–1 (expected goals 1.4 for, 1.2 against · 1.47 expected points)

Season so farNTX Celtic FC NTXFC Dallas Youth White NTX
Position9th13th
Record (W-D-L)3-0-22-1-2
Points per game1.801.40
Goals for / game2.21.6
Goals against / game0.81.0
Clean sheets31
Held scoreless12
Form (recent first)W L L W WW W L L D
Biggest win6–0 vs Sting Bold NTX5–1 vs Nido Dallas Blue NTX
Worst loss0–1 at Dallas Texans NTX0–2 at FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
Model rating (net goals vs avg)+0.82+0.39
Schedule faced (avg opp. rating)-0.23-0.38

Common opponents: Dallas Texans NTX — we 0–1; they 0–1. Sting Brave NTX — we 1–0; they 2–0.

Game plan

  • Hard to break down
    FC Dallas Youth White NTX concede only 1.0/game with 1 clean sheet(s).

    Patience and width: move the ball quickly side to side to pull the block apart, and treat set pieces as your best chance — rehearse two corner routines and a near-post free-kick delivery.

  • Finishing wins the tight ones
    Held scoreless 1 time(s): 0–1 at Dallas Texans NTX.

    Against a low block, the first goal usually comes from a cross or a cut-back, not a dribble. Get 2–3 bodies in the box on every wide entry and finish practice this week at game speed.

  • Underdog — play free, stay organised
    Model gives 40%; a draw (26%) would be a good result.

    Keep the shape compact, make them play in front of you, and hit space behind their full-backs on transitions. A point here is a win for the table; a win is a season-changer.

  • Away game
    Kickoff 08:00 AM at Dallas Soccer Park.

    Arrive 75 minutes early to see the surface and goal size; plan a longer dynamic warm-up after a drive. Away wins are worth the same 3 points — keep the routine identical to home.

  • Early kickoff
    Game time 08:00 AM.

    Light breakfast 2+ hours before, longer warm-up, and a loud start — early games are won by whoever is awake at the whistle.

  • What a win does
    FC Dallas Youth Red NTX sit 8th on 2.00 PPG; we are on 1.80.

    A win moves us above FC Dallas Youth Red NTX on PPG (if they don't play). GD is the next tiebreak, so every goal matters — keep attacking with a lead.

If Saturday goes…

Where we'd sit after the FC Dallas Youth White NTX game. The table is ordered by points per game, so one result can move us several places. Type any score in the first row (NTX Celtic FC NTX – FC Dallas Youth White NTX) to see where it lands us; it resets when you reload. Likely results plays out the model's most likely score in the 10 other games that week (Mon Oct 19 – Sun Oct 25); the outer columns are the best and worst the rivals can do.

Our resultRivals don't playLikely resultsEvery rival wins
–
Draw · 1.67 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 13th▼ down 4
Win
2.00 PPG
8th▲ up 1 8th▲ up 1 9th— holds
Draw
1.67 PPG
9th— holds 9th— holds 13th▼ down 4
Loss
1.50 PPG
12th▼ down 3 10th▼ down 1 14th▼ down 5

Can we move up this round? Yes. With a 1–1 draw we finish as high as 8th if every rival drops points, and as low as 13th if every rival wins.

Where we finish

2,000 simulated seasons

0% finish 1st
6% top 4
94% below the top 4
8.8 average finish
  1. 1st
  2. 2nd <1%
  3. 3rd 2%
  4. 4th 3%
  5. 5th 7%
  6. 6th 10%
  7. 7th 12%
  8. 8th 14%
  9. 9th 13%
  10. 10th 11%
  11. 11th 9%
  12. 12th 7%
  13. 13th 5%
  14. 14th 3%
  15. 15th 2%
  16. 16th 1%
  17. 17th <1%
  18. 18th <1%
  19. 19th
  20. 20th
  21. 21st
  22. 22nd
  23. 23rd
  24. 24th

Every remaining game in the division is played out with the forecast's goal odds, 2,000 times, and the table is re-sorted each time. Green marks the top 4.

Climbing the table

What it takes to pass each team above us, from our 10 remaining known games (max 2.60 PPG if we win out).

#TeamPPGProj.To pass them
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 3.00 (+1.20) 1st (2.70) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 32 for their projection — out of reach on the known schedule
2 TAG Soccer NTX 3.00 (+1.20) 2nd (2.43) 36 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 28 for their projection
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 2.60 (+0.80) 3rd (2.26) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
4 Attack FC NTX 2.60 (+0.80) 4th (2.23) 30 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 25 for their projection
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 2.40 (+0.60) 6th (1.97) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 21 for their projection
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 2.40 (+0.60) 5th (2.10) 27 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 23 for their projection
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 2.25 (+0.45) 8th (1.80) 25 of 30 pts to pass their current pace, 19 for their projection
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 2.00 (+0.20) 7th (1.81) Win next game

How the results connect

6 chains · 7 teams

Paths of results that link NTX Celtic FC NTX to FC Dallas Youth White NTX through teams both have faced, drawn as one map. Teams sit in columns by how many games away from us they are. Each arrow is one game, pointing away from us, and its colour is the result for the team it starts from. Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain and see its net goal margin.

4 favour us
1 even
1 favour them
+2.2 goals per chain on average. The results point our way.
won lost drew· result for the team the arrow starts from
0–1 1–0 1–0 0–2 2–3 5–1 0–1 2–0 8–0 1–5 11–0 NTX Celtic FC NTX 9th Dallas Texans NTX 11th Sting Brave NTX 16th TAG Soccer NTX 2nd FC Dallas Youth Blu… 6th Nido Dallas Blue NTX 24th FC Dallas Youth Whi… 13th

Hover or tap an arrow to trace a chain, or step through them with the arrows. Open full screen and turn your phone to see the whole map.

6 chains

Position over the season

9 game days

1st 12th 24th Sep 12 Sep 20 Sep 27 Oct 11 Oct 18

The table re-sorted after each date on which a game was played. Shaded band is the top 4.

The path

run-in difficulty +0.08 · 11th hardest of 24

DateOpponentWhereDifficultyWinLikelyExp. ptsRun. PPGPriority
Sat Oct 24
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth White NTX
13th · 2-1-2 · GD +3
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
40%
1–1 1.47 1.74 Upside
Sun Oct 25
07:00 PM
Nido Dallas Blue NTX
24th · 0-0-5 · GD -38
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
96%
5–0 2.92 1.91 Bank it
Sat Nov 7
11:40 AM
Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX
14th · 2-0-3 · GD -5
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
69%
2–1 2.22 1.95 Swing game
Sat Feb 6
08:00 AM
Fever United FC NTX
15th · 2-0-3 · GD -7
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●○○○ Lean win
75%
3–1 2.38 2.00 Bank it
Sat Feb 20
09:50 AM
SOLAR BLUE NTX
17th · 1-1-2 · GD +2
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●○○ Toss-up
48%
2–1 1.66 1.96 Swing game
Sun Feb 21
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX
6th · 4-0-1 · GD +8
Away
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
30%
1–1 1.15 1.89 Upside
Sat Feb 27
08:00 AM
Attack FC NTX
4th · 4-1-0 · GD +18
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
29%
1–1 1.09 1.82 Upside
Sat Mar 6
09:50 AM
DKSC NTX
21st · 0-1-3 · GD -15
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●○○○○ Favorable
82%
3–0 2.56 1.88 Bank it
Sat Apr 3
08:00 AM
FC Dallas Youth NTX
3rd · 4-1-0 · GD +29
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●● Very tough
24%
1–2 0.89 1.81 Upside
Sat Apr 10
11:40 AM
SOLAR WHITE NTX
7th · 3-0-1 · GD +11
Home
Dallas Soccer Park
●●●●○ Tough
41%
1–1 1.46 1.79 Upside

"Far trip" = the venue's zip is outside our home sectional area (first three digits), a rough travel flag, not a distance. Venue names open in Google Maps. "Bank it" = expected win, dropping points here hurts most. "Swing game" = near coin-flip, where the finish is decided. "Upside" = underdog, nothing to lose. Running PPG assumes the expected points from every game up to that row.

Standings

#TeamGPWDLGFGAGDPtsPPGFormSoSRun-inTop 4Exp. finish
1 Kernow Storm FC NTX 6600 403+37 183.00 WWWWW -1.40 +0.56 99% 1.3
2 TAG Soccer NTX 5500 245+19 153.00 WWWWW -0.42 -0.01 88% 2.8
3 FC Dallas Youth NTX 5410 345+29 132.60 WWWWD -1.51 +1.06 70% 3.8
4 Attack FC NTX 5410 224+18 132.60 WDWWW -0.17 +0.26 64% 4.2
5 Atletico Dallas Youth NTX 5401 2211+11 122.40 WWWWL -1.32 -0.10 19% 6.8
6 FC Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5401 124+8 122.40 LWWWW +0.23 -0.30 35% 5.5
7 SOLAR WHITE NTX 4301 154+11 92.25 WLWW -2.14 +0.61 10% 8.4
8 FC Dallas Youth Red NTX 5311 1811+7 102.00 LDWWW -0.33 +0.09 6% 8.5
9 NTX Celtic FC NTX 5302 114+7 91.80 WWLLW -0.23 +0.08 6% 8.8
10 Dallas Texans Red NTX 5221 88+0 81.60 DDWWL +0.94 -0.40 1% 10.8
11 Dallas Texans NTX 5221 79-2 81.60 LWWDD +0.66 +0.31 0% 14.0
12 DKSC WHITE NTX 4202 117+4 61.50 WLLW +0.11 -0.09 2% 11.1
13 FC Dallas Youth White NTX 5212 85+3 71.40 DLLWW -0.38 +0.75 0% 13.4
14 Atletico Dallas Youth Blue NTX 5203 1116-5 61.20 WWLLL +0.37 -0.49 0% 14.0
15 Fever United FC NTX 5203 1017-7 61.20 LWLLW -0.40 +0.70 0% 18.3
16 Sting Brave NTX 6204 229+13 61.00 LWLLW -0.67 -0.15 1% 10.4
17 SOLAR BLUE NTX 4112 1210+2 41.00 LLDW -0.54 +0.47 0% 15.4
18 SOLAR RED NTX 5113 617-11 40.80 WLDLL -0.20 -0.46 0% 18.4
19 Sting Bold NTX 5104 629-23 30.60 LLWLL +1.11 -0.68 0% 19.5
20 Nido Dallas White NTX 6033 1015-5 30.50 LLDDL +0.80 -1.29 0% 15.3
21 DKSC NTX 4013 318-15 10.25 LLDL +1.81 +0.02 0% 20.7
22 FC Dallas Youth Navy NTX 6006 734-27 00.00 LLLLL +0.93 +0.16 0% 22.8
23 Sting NTX 5005 440-36 00.00 LLLLL +1.03 -0.80 0% 22.6
24 Nido Dallas Blue NTX 5005 139-38 00.00 LLLLL +1.57 -0.77 0% 23.0

Tap a team to see every game it has played (opponent's current position in brackets) and what's next. Ordered the way the league publishes it: points per game, then goal difference. The green edge marks the top 4. SoS is strength of schedule, the average model rating of opponents faced — positive means a harder road than average. "Top 4" and "Exp. finish" come from playing the rest of the season 2,000 times with the forecast model.

How the forecast works: every played game feeds each team's attack and defence rating, adjusted for who it was against — a goal past a strong defence counts for more than one past a weak one. Ratings are shrunk toward the league average (2.55 goals per team per game) by 3 "prior" games so early blowouts don't dominate, and results older than about 120 days count half. Expected goals for a matchup multiply those, with a 8% home bump, and a Poisson score grid gives win/draw/loss odds.